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HOME›SLATE›2023›WEEK 3›PRES @ WOF›OVERVIEWMARKET FIGURES ARE BOOK CONSENSUS, NEVER MODEL OUTPUT
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
THIS WEEK
JMU @ TROY79
ISU @ OHIO75
NMSU @ UNM72
LOU @ IU71
UL @ UAB70
WKU @ OSU67
TCU @ HOU67
MINN @ UNC66
BGSU @ MICH66
PSU @ ILL65
TENN @ FLA65
HAW @ ORE65
CMU @ ND64
ALA @ USF64
SDSU @ ORST64
FAU @ CLEM64
KSU @ MIZ63
SYR @ PUR63
FSU @ BC62
OU @ TLSA62
ULM @ TA&M62
WASH @ MSU62
LIB @ BUF61
SC @ UGA61
WYO @ TEX61
PITT @ WVU60
UTEP @ ARIZ60
NU @ DUKE59
GT @ MISS59
UNT @ LT58
BYU @ ARK58
UVA @ MD57
USA @ OKST57
VT @ RUTG55
NIU @ NEB54
ARMY @ UTSA53
USU @ AF53
SJSU @ TOL52
WAKE @ ODU51
FRES @ ASU51
TULN @ USM50
VAN @ UNLV50
LSU @ MSST49
GASO @ WIS49
WMU @ IOWA49
FIU @ CONN47
KU @ NEV47
ECU @ APP45
AKR @ UK45
NAVY @ MEM44
GAST @ CLT44
MASS @ EMU41
M-OH @ CIN38
CSU @ COLO38
FIDELITY
MEASURED
DERIVED
≈ ESTIMATED
DOT MARKS
PRESBYTERIAN
WOFFORD
OVERVIEWPRESEASON PROFILE
MATCHUPHEAD TO HEAD
TEAMROOMS & PLAYERS
VINTAGE2023
SAT 18:00 ET|GIBBS STADIUMNONCONFTENSIONVACATEDTALENT GAP|O/UCOLLISION
75
AP · FPI
TEAM
PTS
2025
TAL
OFF
DEF
RET
PACE
SOS ▾
IMP
ML
SPREAD
AWAY
—AP
—FPI
PRESPFLPRESBYTERIAN
23
4-7
0
0
0
0%
0
—
0.0
—
—
HOME
—AP
—FPI
WOFSOCONWOFFORD
20
2-9
0
0
0
0%
0
—
0.0
—
—
IMP = IMPLIED TEAM TOTAL FROM SPREAD + O/U · OFF AND DEF ARE SCOUT TEAM GRADES AS FBS PERCENTILES · EVERY MEASURED FIGURE IS 2023CONSENSUS
FINALPRES23—WOF20
PRES
OFFICIAL BOX SCORE
WOF
23
POINTS
20
405
TOTAL YARDS
310
281 (16-42)
PASSING
117 (12-24)
124 (32)
RUSHING
193 (32)
21
FIRST DOWNS
12
8-20
THIRD DOWN
5-14
2-3
FOURTH DOWN
1-1
32:59
TIME OF POSS.
27:01
2-15
PENALTIES
7-68
1
TURNOVERS
0
—
SACKS
—
—
QB HURRIES
—
PRES
DERIVED · PLAY BY PLAY
WOF
0.090
SEASON 0.114
EPA / PLAY
0.185
SEASON 0.006
34.2%
SEASON 32.2%
SUCCESS RATE
35.7%
SEASON 34.0%
16.5%
SEASON 14.1%
EXPLOSIVE RATE
16.1%
SEASON 10.4%
5.38
SEASON 5.32
YARDS / PLAY
5.16
SEASON 4.26
0.185
SEASON 0.130
EPA ALLOWED
0.090
SEASON 0.174
35.7%
SEASON 41.9%
SUCCESS ALLOWED
34.2%
SEASON 43.5%
16.1%
SEASON 10.6%
EXPLOSIVE ALLOWED
16.5%
SEASON 14.8%
29.0%
SEASON 15.9%
STUFF RATE
21.2%
SEASON 13.2%
OFFICIAL FIGURES ARE THE BOX SCORE AS SCORED. DERIVED FIGURES COME FROM PLAY BY PLAY WITH GARBAGE TIME REMOVED, SO THEY COUNT A DIFFERENT SET OF PLAYS AND WILL NOT TIE OUT AGAINST THE OFFICIAL COLUMN. A BRIGHTENED SIDE LEADS THAT ROW BY THE DIRECTION IN ITS TOOLTIP; TIME OF POSSESSION IS UNMARKED BECAUSE IT IS A TENDENCY, NOT A VIRTUE. SEASON AVERAGES ARE REGULAR SEASON ONLY. MARKET FIGURES ARE BOOK CONSENSUS, NEVER MODEL OUTPUT.
DATA BASISNOTHING ON THIS TAB IS MEASURED YET · 2023 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
MEASURED0 OF 12 GAMES
Real 2026 data. It accumulates weekly and replaces carried figures metric by metric, on the schedules below.
CARRIED14 ROOMS
What each roster did last season, applied player by player. Transfers name the school.
PROGRAM PRIOR2 STAFFS
The programme's own prior identity — or, where the staff is new, the coach's career fingerprint with its sample.
PRESEASON FACT1 PER TEAM
Talent, recruiting, vacated usage, portal and coach status. Preseason inputs.
ABSENT2 CLASSES
Current season luck and situational splits. Shown absent with the reason, never estimated.
FLIPS TO MEASUREDABSENTNOT MEASURED. This asks how many weeks into a season each number becomes trustworthy, which is a within-season question. The back-test measures relationships between one season and the next, so it cannot answer it.
CEILING CHARACTERIDENTITY · NOT QUALITY
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
No 2023 record, and no earlier season to carry forward for these teams.
TEAM LEDGERPRESBYTERIANWOFFORD2023 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
VACATED USAGE — AND DID THE ROSTER REFILL ITOPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
VACATED USAGE BY ROOMLEFT OPEN, LARGEST FIRST
QB0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
RB0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
WR/TE0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
OL0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
DL0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
LB0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
DB0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
SHARE OF LAST SEASON'S ROOM PARTICIPATION THAT DEPARTED, LARGEST FIRST · OPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
PORTAL & CLASS INTAKE — WHO CAME INHEADCOUNT, NOT A PROJECTION
QBNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
RBNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
WR/TENO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
OLNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
DLNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
LBNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
DBNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
PORTAL AND SIGNING-CLASS ARRIVALS AT EACH ROOM THAT LOST VOLUME · A HEADCOUNT, NEVER A USAGE PROJECTION
CARRIED GRADES & TEAM FACTS — THIS ROSTER, TODAYCARRIED FROM 2025, RE-HOMED PLAYER BY PLAYER · PRESBYTERIAN
CARRIED COMPOSITE
0.00 PCTL
CARRIED OFFENSE
0.00 PCTL
CARRIED DEFENSE
0.00 PCTL
ROOM
GRADE
FBS PCTL
OPP-ADJ
TAL
RET
N
OBS
QB————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
RB————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
WR/TE————2CARRIED FROM 2022 · NOTHING GRADED YET
OL————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
DL————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
LB————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
DB————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
TEAM FACTS — FULLY KNOWN NOWPRESEASON FACT
PORTAL NET BLUE-CHIP0 · 0 IN / 1 OUT—
EVERY ROW HERE IS KNOWABLE TODAY — NONE OF IT WAITS ON A GAME
COACH PRIOR — WHO APPLIES, AND WHAT A CHANGE MOVESBASIS · PROGRAM PRIOR
WOF—FIRST SEASONNO CAREER RECORD
A new staff, so the coach's own career fingerprint stands in for the programme's prior season.
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A NEW STAFF
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|8.61%n=240
|Δ HAVOC|2.50%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE|5.18%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|5.24%n=87
|Δ PACE|1.63sn=240
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
PRES—FIRST SEASONNO CAREER RECORD
A new staff, so the coach's own career fingerprint stands in for the programme's prior season.
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A NEW STAFF
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|8.61%n=240
|Δ HAVOC|2.50%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE|5.18%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|5.24%n=87
|Δ PACE|1.63sn=240
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
POSITION GROUPS — WHERE THE VOLUME LIVESPRES OFFENSEWOF OFFENSERETURNINGDEPARTED
COLLAPSE ALL
▾QBPRESBYTERIAN OFFENSE
NATIONAL
—
TAL
—
PERF
—
RET
—
NATIONAL
—
RET
—
FULL DEFENSEWOFFORD DEFENSE
PRES QUARTERBACKSn=0RETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
QUARTERBACKS BY GRADE
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
WOF DEFENSE — GROUP GRADES3 ROOMS · 24 PLAYERS46% VACATED
DEFENSIVE ROOMS · GROUP GRADES
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
—58%0%
LINEBACKERSLB
—85%0%
SECONDARYDB
—41%0%
THE QUARTERBACK PLAYS THE WHOLE SIDE — SHOWN AS ITS THREE ROOM GRADES, NOT MAN FOR MAN · PER PLAYER DETAIL LIVES IN THE OTHER DRAWERS
▾OLPRESBYTERIAN OFFENSE
NATIONAL
—
TAL
—
PERF
—
RET
—
DL
—
DL RET
58
LB
—
LB RET
85
FRONT-7WOFFORD DEFENSE
PRES OFFENSIVE LINEn=0RETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
FIVE-MAN LINE BY GRADE
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
WOF FRONT-7n=14 · 2 ROOMS31% VACATED
PASS RUSH · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
BRANDON MAINADLRET
—4TH YR——UNR—
ELI PURCELLLBRET
—4TH YR——UNR—
JALEN MARSHALLLBRET
—4TH YR——★3—
BENNY RADICIALBRET
—4TH YR——UNR—
NICK MORGANLBTRUE FR
—4TH YR——UNR—
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
▾RBPRESBYTERIAN OFFENSE
NATIONAL
—
TAL
—
PERF
—
RET
—
DL
—
DL RET
58
LB
—
LB RET
85
FRONT-7WOFFORD DEFENSE
PRES RUNNING BACKSn=0RETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
BACKFIELD BY GRADE
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
WOF FRONT-72 ROOMS · 14 PLAYERS30% VACATED
ROOMS IN THE COMPOSITE
WT
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
0.55—58%0%
LINEBACKERSLB
0.45—85%0%
EACH ROOM ON ITS OWN GRADE, NOT LISTED MAN FOR MAN · THE WEIGHTS DEFINE WHO PLAYS WHOM
▾WR/TEPRESBYTERIAN OFFENSE
NATIONAL
—
TAL
—
PERF
—
RET
—
DB
—
DB RET
41
SECONDARYWOFFORD DEFENSE
PRES PASS CATCHERSn=2RETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
PASS CATCHERS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
TERIK MULDERTERET
—4TH YR——★3—
SHAWN LODGEWRRET
—4TH YR——UNR—
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
WOF SECONDARYn=10 · 1 ROOM59% VACATED
COVERAGE · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
MAXIMUS PULLEYDBTRUE FR
484TH YR——UNR—
JAHAAD SCALESSTRUE FR
411ST YR——★3—
ISAIAH WADSWORTHDBRET
—4TH YR——★3—
R.J. BRUNSONDBTRUE FR
—3RD YR——UNR—
ELI CAMPBELLDBTRUE FR
—3RD YR——★3—
SHOW ALL 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
RETURNINGPORTAL — PRIOR SCHOOL AND PORTAL STARS NAMEDLAST YR ≈ — RATES FROM HIS LAST MEASURED SEASON, NOT THE PROJECTED ROLEDEPARTEDVS COH = PRODUCTION vs OWN RECRUITING COHORT MEDIAN · CURVE = AHEAD / ON / BEHIND AT ±8 · PT% IS HIS SHARE OF HIS OWN ROOM · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH-IS-GOOD · CELL SHADE = FBS PERCENTILE OF THE VALUE · DOTS PLOT BOTH TEAMS ON ONE 0–100 TRACK (GOLD = PRES, ORANGE = WOF) · MEASURED FIGURES ARE 2023, GARBAGE-TIME FILTERED
≈ MARKS AN ESTIMATED VALUE · A CARRIED FIGURE IS WHAT A PLAYER DID LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL
VACATED VOLUME IS STATED AS OPEN AND NEVER ASSIGNED TO A SUCCESSOR · SPREAD, TOTAL, ML AND IMPLIED TOTALS ARE CONSENSUS MARKET FIGURES · NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE