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SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›SLATE›2026›WEEK 5›ARMY @ LT›OVERVIEWMARKET FIGURES ARE BOOK CONSENSUS, NEVER MODEL OUTPUT
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUITTHIS WEEK
WKU @ NMSU0
UNT @ TLSA0
LIB @ DEL0
PITT @ VT0
PSU @ NU0
BAY @ ASU0
MEM @ CLT0
ODU @ GAST0
MIA @ CLEM0
MD @ NEB0
AUB @ TENN0
ARMY @ LT0
EMU @ MASS0
BYU @ TCU0
BC @ SMU0
FLA @ MIZ0
WVU @ ISU0
AKR @ CMU0
STAN @ WAKE0
UVA @ FSU0
LOU @ NCSU0
TOL @ BALL0
ARK @ TA&M0
UK @ SC0
BGSU @ M-OH0
VAN @ UGA0
CIN @ ARIZ0
ULM @ USA0
TEM @ USF0
MICH @ MINN0
WMU @ BUF0
TTU @ COLO0
UTEP @ UNM0
MRSH @ JMU0
OHIO @ KENT0
UTSA @ RICE0
ND @ UNC0
PUR @ ILL0
UCF @ HOU0
ALA @ MSST0
WASH @ USC0
OSU @ IOWA0
ARST @ UL0
GASO @ CCU0
MTSU @ KU0
MSU @ WIS0
NAVY @ AF0
SYR @ CONN0
CAL @ UNLV0
WYO @ NDSU0
ORST @ CSU0
USU @ BOIS0
IU @ RUTG0
FRES @ WSU0
TXST @ SDSU0
SJSU @ HAW0
FIDELITY
MEASURED
DERIVED
≈ ESTIMATED
DOT MARKS
ARMY
LOUISIANA TECH
OVERVIEWPRESEASON PROFILE
MATCHUPHEAD TO HEAD
TEAMROOMS & PLAYERS
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SAT 00:00 ET|JOE AILLET STADIUMNONCONFTENSIONVACATEDTALENT GAP9|O/UCOLLISION75
AP · FPI
TEAM
PTS
2025
TAL
OFF
DEF
RET
PACE
SOS ▾
IMP
ML
SPREAD
AWAY
—AP
78FPI
ARMYAACARMY
1-1
1
20
30
80%
49
42
0.0
—
—
HOME
—AP
94FPI
LTSBCLOUISIANA TECH
1-1
10
12
19
64%
11
20
0.0
—
—
IMP = IMPLIED TEAM TOTAL FROM SPREAD + O/U · OFF AND DEF ARE SCOUT TEAM GRADES AS FBS PERCENTILES · EVERY MEASURED FIGURE IS 2026CONSENSUS
DATA BASISNOTHING ON THIS TAB IS MEASURED YET · 2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
MEASURED0 OF 12 GAMES
Real 2026 data. It accumulates weekly and replaces carried figures metric by metric, on the schedules below.
CARRIED14 ROOMS
What each roster did last season, applied player by player. Transfers name the school.
PROGRAM PRIOR2 STAFFS
The programme's own prior identity — or, where the staff is new, the coach's career fingerprint with its sample.
PRESEASON FACT6 PER TEAM
Talent, recruiting, vacated usage, portal and coach status. Preseason inputs.
ABSENT2 CLASSES
Current season luck and situational splits. Shown absent with the reason, never estimated.
FLIPS TO MEASUREDABSENTNOT MEASURED. This asks how many weeks into a season each number becomes trustworthy, which is a within-season question. The back-test measures relationships between one season and the next, so it cannot answer it.
CEILING CHARACTERIDENTITY · NOT QUALITY
ARMY20CEILING
EXPLOSIVE9
PROE0
TEMPO49
EXPLOSIVE9p9
PROE0p0
TEMPO49p49
LT41CEILING
EXPLOSIVE99
PROE13
TEMPO11
EXPLOSIVE99p99
PROE13p13
TEMPO11p11
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
2025 SEASONCARRIED FORWARD · 2026 HAS NO GAMES YET
ARMYRECORD MATCHES
6-6ACTUALvs6.1-5.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-5
POINT MARGIN / GAME+0.3
ARMY won 6 of 12 against a scoring profile describing 6.1. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
LTRECORD MATCHES
7-5ACTUALvs7.8-4.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
POINT MARGIN / GAME+6.3
LOUISIANA TECH won 7 of 12 against a scoring profile describing 7.8. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
TEAM LEDGERARMYLOUISIANA TECH2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
VACATED USAGE — AND DID THE ROSTER REFILL ITOPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
VACATED USAGE BY ROOMLEFT OPEN, LARGEST FIRST
LB92%Kalib FortnerLB · 32% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONAndon ThomasLB · 32% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONEric FordLB · 27% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION1 FURTHER DEPARTURE
DB68%Casey LarkinS · 17% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONCollin MattesonS · 16% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONGavin ShieldsS · 16% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION2 FURTHER DEPARTURES
RB57%Hayden ReedRB · 38% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONBriggs BartoshRB · 19% OF ROOM PARTICIPATION
DL38%Jack LatoreDL · 20% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONJacob TuiotiDL · 11% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONDeshontez GrayDL · 7% OF ROOM PARTICIPATION
OL25%Will JeffcoatOL · 20% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION4 FURTHER DEPARTURES
QB25%Dewayne ColemanQB · 25% OF ROOM PARTICIPATION
WR/TE20%Noah ShortWR · 19% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION1 FURTHER DEPARTURE
SHARE OF LAST SEASON'S ROOM PARTICIPATION THAT DEPARTED, LARGEST FIRST · OPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
PORTAL & CLASS INTAKE — WHO CAME INHEADCOUNT, NOT A PROJECTION
LBPhillip Goodrich · SIGNEE ★3Caleb Fowler · SIGNEEPARTIAL
DBLuke Langford · SIGNEEBrooks Dupree · SIGNEEGerrit Gray · SIGNEE1 MORE ARRIVALPARTIAL
RBKaio Oliveira · SIGNEEPARTIAL
DLDominic Basrawala · SIGNEE ★3Bruce Roberts · SIGNEEHans Pederson · SIGNEE1 MORE ARRIVALPARTIAL
OLMaverick Diede · SIGNEE ★3Declan Nason · SIGNEEJaxon Newton · SIGNEE2 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
QBSkylar Hamilton · SIGNEEMatthew O'Grady · SIGNEECJ Gray · SIGNEEINTACT
WR/TEJack VanProoyen · SIGNEEMason Mixon · SIGNEEPARTIAL
PORTAL AND SIGNING-CLASS ARRIVALS AT EACH ROOM THAT LOST VOLUME · A HEADCOUNT, NEVER A USAGE PROJECTION
CARRIED GRADES & TEAM FACTS — THIS ROSTER, TODAYCARRIED FROM 2025, RE-HOMED PLAYER BY PLAYER · ARMY
CARRIED COMPOSITE
43.662 PCTL
CARRIED OFFENSE
64.694 PCTL
CARRIED DEFENSE
33.431 PCTL
ROOM
GRADE
FBS PCTL
OPP-ADJ
TAL
RET
N
OBS
QB404066973 OF 7 GRADED
RB4343990134 OF 13 GRADED
WR/TE42421436395 OF 39 GRADED
OL636313034CARRIED FROM 2025 · NOTHING GRADED YET
DL212122972310 OF 23 GRADED
LB3131357269 OF 26 GRADED
DB484853793512 OF 35 GRADED
TEAM FACTS — FULLY KNOWN NOWPRESEASON FACT
TALENT COMPOSITE1st1
BLUE-CHIP RATIO0%4
RECRUITING CLASS#181 · 0/50 BC0
CLASS RANK TREND-29 · 3 CYCLES0
PORTAL NET BLUE-CHIP0 · 0 IN / 2 OUT—
COACH STATUSRETURNING · 11th YR—
EVERY ROW HERE IS KNOWABLE TODAY — NONE OF IT WAITS ON A GAME
COACH PRIOR — WHO APPLIES, AND WHAT A CHANGE MOVESBASIS · PROGRAM PRIOR
LTSONNY CUMBIE5TH SEASON4 SEASONS · 1 PROGRAMME
The programme's own prior season applies, under the same returning staff.
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
5353
PACE
6161
PASS RATE
5959
EXPLOSIVENESS
6262
FOURTH-DOWN AGGRESSION
4848
HAVOC
5555
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A RETURNING STAFF
|Δ PACE|1.37sn=929
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|6.72%n=931
|Δ HAVOC|2.10%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE|4.28%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|4.07%n=311
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
ARMYJEFF MONKEN11TH SEASON4 SEASONS · 1 PROGRAMME
The programme's own prior season applies, under the same returning staff.
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
00
PACE
2020
PASS RATE
00
EXPLOSIVENESS
11
FOURTH-DOWN AGGRESSION
100100
HAVOC
66
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A RETURNING STAFF
|Δ PACE|1.37sn=929
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|6.72%n=931
|Δ HAVOC|2.10%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE|4.28%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|4.07%n=311
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
POSITION GROUPS — WHERE THE VOLUME LIVESARMY OFFENSELT OFFENSERETURNINGDEPARTEDCOLLAPSE ALL
▾QBARMY OFFENSENATIONAL
109OF 138
TAL
6
PERF
40
RET
69
NATIONAL
64OF 136
RET
19
FULL DEFENSELOUISIANA TECH DEFENSE
ARMY QUARTERBACKSn=731% VACATED
QUARTERBACKS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
CALE HELLUMSQBRET
574TH YR48—UNR+18
BRYSON LUTERQBRET
412ND YR—6★2—
ETHAN WASHINGTONQBRET
362ND YR——UNR—
TANNER WILSONQBTRUE FR
351ST YR—17★3—
ANDREW HEIDELQBTRUE FR
351ST YR—22★3—
SHOW ALL 7
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
LT DEFENSE — GROUP GRADES3 ROOMS · 49 PLAYERS41% VACATED
DEFENSIVE ROOMS · GROUP GRADES
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
2366%7%
LINEBACKERSLB
5177%0%
SECONDARYDB
4849%0%
THE QUARTERBACK PLAYS THE WHOLE SIDE — SHOWN AS ITS THREE ROOM GRADES, NOT MAN FOR MAN · PER PLAYER DETAIL LIVES IN THE OTHER DRAWERS
▾OLARMY OFFENSENATIONAL
31OF 138
TAL
13
PERF
63
RET
0
DL
133OF 138
DL RET
66
LB
58OF 138
LB RET
77
FRONT-7LOUISIANA TECH DEFENSE
ARMY OFFENSIVE LINEn=34100% VACATED
FIVE-MAN LINE BY GRADE
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
HENRY APPLETONOLRET
804TH YR——UNR-11 2025
BRADY SMALLOLRET
754TH YR——UNR+29 2025
PAOLO GENNARELLIOLRET
744TH YR——UNR+35 2025
KYLE KLOSKAOLRET
504TH YR—13★2—
TEDDY WILLIAMSOLRET
504TH YR—13★2-53 2025
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
LT FRONT-7n=27 · 2 ROOMS29% VACATED
PASS RUSH · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
KOLBE FIELDSLBRET
694TH YR9167★3+15
JACOB BRADFORDDLRET
552ND YR—44★3—
JADON MAYFIELDLBRET
552ND YR7743★3+23
JUSTICE WILLIAMSDLPORTAL · WEST FLORIDA
524TH YR—88★4—
ZA'QWAUN NUNNDLTRUE FR
521ST YR—55★3—
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
▾RBARMY OFFENSENATIONAL
113OF 138
TAL
9
PERF
43
RET
90
DL
133OF 138
DL RET
66
LB
58OF 138
LB RET
77
FRONT-7LOUISIANA TECH DEFENSE
ARMY RUNNING BACKSn=1310% VACATED
BACKFIELD · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
GODSPOWER NWAWUIHERBRET
512ND YR34—UNR+35
JAKE RENDINARBRET
494TH YR559★2-40 2025
CARSON SMITHRBRET
484TH YR549★2-33 2025
DEMANI STEWARTRBRET
352ND YR——UNR—
TIM KLOSKARBRET
323RD YR—13★2—
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
LT FRONT-72 ROOMS · 27 PLAYERS29% VACATED
ROOMS IN THE COMPOSITE
WT
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
0.552366%7%
LINEBACKERSLB
0.455177%0%
EACH ROOM ON ITS OWN GRADE, NOT LISTED MAN FOR MAN · THE WEIGHTS DEFINE WHO PLAYS WHOM
▾WR/TEARMY OFFENSENATIONAL
107OF 138
TAL
14
PERF
42
RET
36
DB
88OF 138
DB RET
49
SECONDARYLOUISIANA TECH DEFENSE
ARMY PASS CATCHERSn=3964% VACATED
PASS CATCHERS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
PARKER POLOSKEYTERET
764TH YR——UNR-40 2025
BRADY ANDERSONWRRET
583RD YR5026★3+38
DAVID CLERKWRRET
524TH YR11—UNR—
BRADY MOTTWRRET
524TH YR11—UNR—
SAMARI HOWARDWRRET
504TH YR54—UNR-4
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
LT SECONDARYn=22 · 1 ROOM51% VACATED
COVERAGE · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
AMARI BUTLERDBRET
654TH YR——UNR+15 2025
KAM FRANKLINDBRET
633RD YR515★3-1
SAM FONGANGDBRET
554TH YR51—UNR+17
JORDAN MCRAEDBRET
523RD YR43—UNR—
TAEDEN ROGERSDBTRUE FR
502ND YR——UNR—
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
RETURNINGPORTAL — PRIOR SCHOOL AND PORTAL STARS NAMEDLAST YR ≈ — RATES FROM HIS LAST MEASURED SEASON, NOT THE PROJECTED ROLEDEPARTEDVS COH = PRODUCTION vs OWN RECRUITING COHORT MEDIAN · CURVE = AHEAD / ON / BEHIND AT ±8 · PT% IS HIS SHARE OF HIS OWN ROOM · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
TEAM QUALITYHOUSE GRADE + REFERENCES
METRIC
ARMY
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
LT
SCOUT TEAM GRADE47.4
57.0
— OFFENSE55.7
63.9
— DEFENSE39.0
50.1
SP+ OVERALL1.1
-5.3
FPI-2.8
-6.6
ELO1530
1405
TALENT304
543
PRODUCTION42
27
TALENT − PRODUCTION ▾−41
−1
BLUE CHIP RATIO0.00
0.04
SCOUT TEAM GRADE DECOMPOSES INTO OFFENSE AND DEFENSE, EACH BUILT FROM THE POSITION ROOM GRADES ABOVE · ROOM WEIGHTS ARE MEASURED AGAINST UNIT EPA, NOT ASSUMED · SPECIAL TEAMS ARE NOT IN IT YET
FIVE FACTORS2025 · NATIONAL PERCENTILES
METRIC
ARMY
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
LT
OFF EFFICIENCY48
30
DEF EFFICIENCY14
86
OFF EXPLOSIVENESS8
47
DEF EXPLOSIVENESS96
10
FINISHING DRIVES38
35
FIELD POSITION30
48
TURNOVER MARGIN69
95
THE FIVE FACTORS ARE CORRELATED, NOT FIVE INDEPENDENT DIALS · TURNOVER MARGIN IS THE LEAST STABLE OF THEM YEAR OVER YEAR
TEAM IDENTITYTENDENCIES THAT SET VOLUME
METRIC
ARMY
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
LT
PASS RATE18.3%
45.0%
PACE27.5s
33.0s
RUN RATE — STANDARD DNS84.9%
64.8%
PASS RATE — PASSING DNS32.0%
63.2%
PLAYS / GAME65.5
54.5
GARBAGE TIME SHARE3.8%
6.4%
EVERY ROW HERE IS COUNTED FROM PLAY BY PLAY · NONE OF IT IS A QUALITY RATING — FURTHER RIGHT IS MORE OF THE THING, NOT BETTER · SCHEME DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH-IS-GOOD · CELL SHADE = FBS PERCENTILE OF THE VALUE · DOTS PLOT BOTH TEAMS ON ONE 0–100 TRACK (GOLD = ARMY, ORANGE = LT) · MEASURED FIGURES ARE 2026, GARBAGE-TIME FILTERED
≈ MARKS AN ESTIMATED VALUE · A CARRIED FIGURE IS WHAT A PLAYER DID LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL
VACATED VOLUME IS STATED AS OPEN AND NEVER ASSIGNED TO A SUCCESSOR · SPREAD, TOTAL, ML AND IMPLIED TOTALS ARE CONSENSUS MARKET FIGURES · NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE

SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›SLATE›2026›WEEK 5›ARMY @ LT›OVERVIEWMARKET FIGURES ARE BOOK CONSENSUS, NEVER MODEL OUTPUT
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUITTHIS WEEK
WKU @ NMSU0
UNT @ TLSA0
LIB @ DEL0
PITT @ VT0
PSU @ NU0
BAY @ ASU0
MEM @ CLT0
ODU @ GAST0
MIA @ CLEM0
MD @ NEB0
AUB @ TENN0
ARMY @ LT0
EMU @ MASS0
BYU @ TCU0
BC @ SMU0
FLA @ MIZ0
WVU @ ISU0
AKR @ CMU0
STAN @ WAKE0
UVA @ FSU0
LOU @ NCSU0
TOL @ BALL0
ARK @ TA&M0
UK @ SC0
BGSU @ M-OH0
VAN @ UGA0
CIN @ ARIZ0
ULM @ USA0
TEM @ USF0
MICH @ MINN0
WMU @ BUF0
TTU @ COLO0
UTEP @ UNM0
MRSH @ JMU0
OHIO @ KENT0
UTSA @ RICE0
ND @ UNC0
PUR @ ILL0
UCF @ HOU0
ALA @ MSST0
WASH @ USC0
OSU @ IOWA0
ARST @ UL0
GASO @ CCU0
MTSU @ KU0
MSU @ WIS0
NAVY @ AF0
SYR @ CONN0
CAL @ UNLV0
WYO @ NDSU0
ORST @ CSU0
USU @ BOIS0
IU @ RUTG0
FRES @ WSU0
TXST @ SDSU0
SJSU @ HAW0
FIDELITY
MEASURED
DERIVED
≈ ESTIMATED
DOT MARKS
ARMY
LOUISIANA TECH
OVERVIEWPRESEASON PROFILE
MATCHUPHEAD TO HEAD
TEAMROOMS & PLAYERS
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SAT 00:00 ET|JOE AILLET STADIUMNONCONFTENSIONVACATEDTALENT GAP9|O/UCOLLISION75
AP · FPI
TEAM
PTS
2025
TAL
OFF
DEF
RET
PACE
SOS ▾
IMP
ML
SPREAD
AWAY
—AP
78FPI
ARMYAACARMY
1-1
1
20
30
80%
49
42
0.0
—
—
HOME
—AP
94FPI
LTSBCLOUISIANA TECH
1-1
10
12
19
64%
11
20
0.0
—
—
IMP = IMPLIED TEAM TOTAL FROM SPREAD + O/U · OFF AND DEF ARE SCOUT TEAM GRADES AS FBS PERCENTILES · EVERY MEASURED FIGURE IS 2026CONSENSUS
DATA BASISNOTHING ON THIS TAB IS MEASURED YET · 2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
MEASURED0 OF 12 GAMES
Real 2026 data. It accumulates weekly and replaces carried figures metric by metric, on the schedules below.
CARRIED14 ROOMS
What each roster did last season, applied player by player. Transfers name the school.
PROGRAM PRIOR2 STAFFS
The programme's own prior identity — or, where the staff is new, the coach's career fingerprint with its sample.
PRESEASON FACT6 PER TEAM
Talent, recruiting, vacated usage, portal and coach status. Preseason inputs.
ABSENT2 CLASSES
Current season luck and situational splits. Shown absent with the reason, never estimated.
FLIPS TO MEASUREDABSENTNOT MEASURED. This asks how many weeks into a season each number becomes trustworthy, which is a within-season question. The back-test measures relationships between one season and the next, so it cannot answer it.
CEILING CHARACTERIDENTITY · NOT QUALITY
ARMY20CEILING
EXPLOSIVE9
PROE0
TEMPO49
EXPLOSIVE9p9
PROE0p0
TEMPO49p49
LT41CEILING
EXPLOSIVE99
PROE13
TEMPO11
EXPLOSIVE99p99
PROE13p13
TEMPO11p11
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
2025 SEASONCARRIED FORWARD · 2026 HAS NO GAMES YET
ARMYRECORD MATCHES
6-6ACTUALvs6.1-5.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-5
POINT MARGIN / GAME+0.3
ARMY won 6 of 12 against a scoring profile describing 6.1. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
LTRECORD MATCHES
7-5ACTUALvs7.8-4.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
POINT MARGIN / GAME+6.3
LOUISIANA TECH won 7 of 12 against a scoring profile describing 7.8. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
TEAM LEDGERARMYLOUISIANA TECH2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
VACATED USAGE — AND DID THE ROSTER REFILL ITOPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
VACATED USAGE BY ROOMLEFT OPEN, LARGEST FIRST
LB92%Kalib FortnerLB · 32% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONAndon ThomasLB · 32% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONEric FordLB · 27% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION1 FURTHER DEPARTURE
DB68%Casey LarkinS · 17% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONCollin MattesonS · 16% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONGavin ShieldsS · 16% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION2 FURTHER DEPARTURES
RB57%Hayden ReedRB · 38% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONBriggs BartoshRB · 19% OF ROOM PARTICIPATION
DL38%Jack LatoreDL · 20% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONJacob TuiotiDL · 11% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONDeshontez GrayDL · 7% OF ROOM PARTICIPATION
OL25%Will JeffcoatOL · 20% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION4 FURTHER DEPARTURES
QB25%Dewayne ColemanQB · 25% OF ROOM PARTICIPATION
WR/TE20%Noah ShortWR · 19% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION1 FURTHER DEPARTURE
SHARE OF LAST SEASON'S ROOM PARTICIPATION THAT DEPARTED, LARGEST FIRST · OPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
PORTAL & CLASS INTAKE — WHO CAME INHEADCOUNT, NOT A PROJECTION
LBPhillip Goodrich · SIGNEE ★3Caleb Fowler · SIGNEEPARTIAL
DBLuke Langford · SIGNEEBrooks Dupree · SIGNEEGerrit Gray · SIGNEE1 MORE ARRIVALPARTIAL
RBKaio Oliveira · SIGNEEPARTIAL
DLDominic Basrawala · SIGNEE ★3Bruce Roberts · SIGNEEHans Pederson · SIGNEE1 MORE ARRIVALPARTIAL
OLMaverick Diede · SIGNEE ★3Declan Nason · SIGNEEJaxon Newton · SIGNEE2 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
QBSkylar Hamilton · SIGNEEMatthew O'Grady · SIGNEECJ Gray · SIGNEEINTACT
WR/TEJack VanProoyen · SIGNEEMason Mixon · SIGNEEPARTIAL
PORTAL AND SIGNING-CLASS ARRIVALS AT EACH ROOM THAT LOST VOLUME · A HEADCOUNT, NEVER A USAGE PROJECTION
CARRIED GRADES & TEAM FACTS — THIS ROSTER, TODAYCARRIED FROM 2025, RE-HOMED PLAYER BY PLAYER · ARMY
CARRIED COMPOSITE
43.662 PCTL
CARRIED OFFENSE
64.694 PCTL
CARRIED DEFENSE
33.431 PCTL
ROOM
GRADE
FBS PCTL
OPP-ADJ
TAL
RET
N
OBS
QB404066973 OF 7 GRADED
RB4343990134 OF 13 GRADED
WR/TE42421436395 OF 39 GRADED
OL636313034CARRIED FROM 2025 · NOTHING GRADED YET
DL212122972310 OF 23 GRADED
LB3131357269 OF 26 GRADED
DB484853793512 OF 35 GRADED
TEAM FACTS — FULLY KNOWN NOWPRESEASON FACT
TALENT COMPOSITE1st1
BLUE-CHIP RATIO0%4
RECRUITING CLASS#181 · 0/50 BC0
CLASS RANK TREND-29 · 3 CYCLES0
PORTAL NET BLUE-CHIP0 · 0 IN / 2 OUT—
COACH STATUSRETURNING · 11th YR—
EVERY ROW HERE IS KNOWABLE TODAY — NONE OF IT WAITS ON A GAME
COACH PRIOR — WHO APPLIES, AND WHAT A CHANGE MOVESBASIS · PROGRAM PRIOR
LTSONNY CUMBIE5TH SEASON4 SEASONS · 1 PROGRAMME
The programme's own prior season applies, under the same returning staff.
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
5353
PACE
6161
PASS RATE
5959
EXPLOSIVENESS
6262
FOURTH-DOWN AGGRESSION
4848
HAVOC
5555
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A RETURNING STAFF
|Δ PACE|1.37sn=929
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|6.72%n=931
|Δ HAVOC|2.10%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE|4.28%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|4.07%n=311
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
ARMYJEFF MONKEN11TH SEASON4 SEASONS · 1 PROGRAMME
The programme's own prior season applies, under the same returning staff.
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
00
PACE
2020
PASS RATE
00
EXPLOSIVENESS
11
FOURTH-DOWN AGGRESSION
100100
HAVOC
66
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A RETURNING STAFF
|Δ PACE|1.37sn=929
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|6.72%n=931
|Δ HAVOC|2.10%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE|4.28%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|4.07%n=311
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
POSITION GROUPS — WHERE THE VOLUME LIVESARMY OFFENSELT OFFENSERETURNINGDEPARTEDCOLLAPSE ALL
▾QBARMY OFFENSENATIONAL
109OF 138
TAL
6
PERF
40
RET
69
NATIONAL
64OF 136
RET
19
FULL DEFENSELOUISIANA TECH DEFENSE
ARMY QUARTERBACKSn=731% VACATED
QUARTERBACKS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
CALE HELLUMSQBRET
574TH YR48—UNR+18
BRYSON LUTERQBRET
412ND YR—6★2—
ETHAN WASHINGTONQBRET
362ND YR——UNR—
TANNER WILSONQBTRUE FR
351ST YR—17★3—
ANDREW HEIDELQBTRUE FR
351ST YR—22★3—
SHOW ALL 7
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
LT DEFENSE — GROUP GRADES3 ROOMS · 49 PLAYERS41% VACATED
DEFENSIVE ROOMS · GROUP GRADES
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
2366%7%
LINEBACKERSLB
5177%0%
SECONDARYDB
4849%0%
THE QUARTERBACK PLAYS THE WHOLE SIDE — SHOWN AS ITS THREE ROOM GRADES, NOT MAN FOR MAN · PER PLAYER DETAIL LIVES IN THE OTHER DRAWERS
▾OLARMY OFFENSENATIONAL
31OF 138
TAL
13
PERF
63
RET
0
DL
133OF 138
DL RET
66
LB
58OF 138
LB RET
77
FRONT-7LOUISIANA TECH DEFENSE
ARMY OFFENSIVE LINEn=34100% VACATED
FIVE-MAN LINE BY GRADE
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
HENRY APPLETONOLRET
804TH YR——UNR-11 2025
BRADY SMALLOLRET
754TH YR——UNR+29 2025
PAOLO GENNARELLIOLRET
744TH YR——UNR+35 2025
KYLE KLOSKAOLRET
504TH YR—13★2—
TEDDY WILLIAMSOLRET
504TH YR—13★2-53 2025
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
LT FRONT-7n=27 · 2 ROOMS29% VACATED
PASS RUSH · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
KOLBE FIELDSLBRET
694TH YR9167★3+15
JACOB BRADFORDDLRET
552ND YR—44★3—
JADON MAYFIELDLBRET
552ND YR7743★3+23
JUSTICE WILLIAMSDLPORTAL · WEST FLORIDA
524TH YR—88★4—
ZA'QWAUN NUNNDLTRUE FR
521ST YR—55★3—
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
▾RBARMY OFFENSENATIONAL
113OF 138
TAL
9
PERF
43
RET
90
DL
133OF 138
DL RET
66
LB
58OF 138
LB RET
77
FRONT-7LOUISIANA TECH DEFENSE
ARMY RUNNING BACKSn=1310% VACATED
BACKFIELD · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
GODSPOWER NWAWUIHERBRET
512ND YR34—UNR+35
JAKE RENDINARBRET
494TH YR559★2-40 2025
CARSON SMITHRBRET
484TH YR549★2-33 2025
DEMANI STEWARTRBRET
352ND YR——UNR—
TIM KLOSKARBRET
323RD YR—13★2—
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
LT FRONT-72 ROOMS · 27 PLAYERS29% VACATED
ROOMS IN THE COMPOSITE
WT
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
0.552366%7%
LINEBACKERSLB
0.455177%0%
EACH ROOM ON ITS OWN GRADE, NOT LISTED MAN FOR MAN · THE WEIGHTS DEFINE WHO PLAYS WHOM
▾WR/TEARMY OFFENSENATIONAL
107OF 138
TAL
14
PERF
42
RET
36
DB
88OF 138
DB RET
49
SECONDARYLOUISIANA TECH DEFENSE
ARMY PASS CATCHERSn=3964% VACATED
PASS CATCHERS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
PARKER POLOSKEYTERET
764TH YR——UNR-40 2025
BRADY ANDERSONWRRET
583RD YR5026★3+38
DAVID CLERKWRRET
524TH YR11—UNR—
BRADY MOTTWRRET
524TH YR11—UNR—
SAMARI HOWARDWRRET
504TH YR54—UNR-4
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
LT SECONDARYn=22 · 1 ROOM51% VACATED
COVERAGE · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
AMARI BUTLERDBRET
654TH YR——UNR+15 2025
KAM FRANKLINDBRET
633RD YR515★3-1
SAM FONGANGDBRET
554TH YR51—UNR+17
JORDAN MCRAEDBRET
523RD YR43—UNR—
TAEDEN ROGERSDBTRUE FR
502ND YR——UNR—
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
RETURNINGPORTAL — PRIOR SCHOOL AND PORTAL STARS NAMEDLAST YR ≈ — RATES FROM HIS LAST MEASURED SEASON, NOT THE PROJECTED ROLEDEPARTEDVS COH = PRODUCTION vs OWN RECRUITING COHORT MEDIAN · CURVE = AHEAD / ON / BEHIND AT ±8 · PT% IS HIS SHARE OF HIS OWN ROOM · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
TEAM QUALITYHOUSE GRADE + REFERENCES
METRIC
ARMY
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
LT
SCOUT TEAM GRADE47.4
57.0
— OFFENSE55.7
63.9
— DEFENSE39.0
50.1
SP+ OVERALL1.1
-5.3
FPI-2.8
-6.6
ELO1530
1405
TALENT304
543
PRODUCTION42
27
TALENT − PRODUCTION ▾−41
−1
BLUE CHIP RATIO0.00
0.04
SCOUT TEAM GRADE DECOMPOSES INTO OFFENSE AND DEFENSE, EACH BUILT FROM THE POSITION ROOM GRADES ABOVE · ROOM WEIGHTS ARE MEASURED AGAINST UNIT EPA, NOT ASSUMED · SPECIAL TEAMS ARE NOT IN IT YET
FIVE FACTORS2025 · NATIONAL PERCENTILES
METRIC
ARMY
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
LT
OFF EFFICIENCY48
30
DEF EFFICIENCY14
86
OFF EXPLOSIVENESS8
47
DEF EXPLOSIVENESS96
10
FINISHING DRIVES38
35
FIELD POSITION30
48
TURNOVER MARGIN69
95
THE FIVE FACTORS ARE CORRELATED, NOT FIVE INDEPENDENT DIALS · TURNOVER MARGIN IS THE LEAST STABLE OF THEM YEAR OVER YEAR
TEAM IDENTITYTENDENCIES THAT SET VOLUME
METRIC
ARMY
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
LT
PASS RATE18.3%
45.0%
PACE27.5s
33.0s
RUN RATE — STANDARD DNS84.9%
64.8%
PASS RATE — PASSING DNS32.0%
63.2%
PLAYS / GAME65.5
54.5
GARBAGE TIME SHARE3.8%
6.4%
EVERY ROW HERE IS COUNTED FROM PLAY BY PLAY · NONE OF IT IS A QUALITY RATING — FURTHER RIGHT IS MORE OF THE THING, NOT BETTER · SCHEME DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH-IS-GOOD · CELL SHADE = FBS PERCENTILE OF THE VALUE · DOTS PLOT BOTH TEAMS ON ONE 0–100 TRACK (GOLD = ARMY, ORANGE = LT) · MEASURED FIGURES ARE 2026, GARBAGE-TIME FILTERED
≈ MARKS AN ESTIMATED VALUE · A CARRIED FIGURE IS WHAT A PLAYER DID LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL
VACATED VOLUME IS STATED AS OPEN AND NEVER ASSIGNED TO A SUCCESSOR · SPREAD, TOTAL, ML AND IMPLIED TOTALS ARE CONSENSUS MARKET FIGURES · NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE