SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›SLATE›2026›WEEK 6›MISS @ VAN›OVERVIEWMARKET FIGURES ARE BOOK CONSENSUS, NEVER MODEL OUTPUT
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
THIS WEEK
USM @ TROY0
JXST @ KENN0
NMSU @ FIU0
MOST @ WKU0
SHSU @ LIB0
USA @ ARST0
USF @ UTSA0
FSU @ LOU0
IOWA @ WASH0
WYO @ SJSU0
WSU @ USU0
ISU @ BYU0
HAW @ ASU0
MINN @ PUR0
JMU @ GASO0
ILL @ MSU0
MISS @ VAN0
SYR @ UVA0
CLT @ UNT0
MD @ OSU0
HOU @ KSU0
USC @ PSU0
ODU @ APP0
TENN @ ARK0
UCF @ OKST0
LSU @ UK0
CMU @ OHIO0
CONN @ TEM0
WAKE @ NCSU0
RICE @ ECU0
ARIZ @ WVU0
UNC @ PITT0
CCU @ MRSH0
BALL @ NU0
KENT @ WMU0
UCLA @ ORE0
SAC @ BGSU0
KU @ UTAH0
M-OH @ MASS0
TA&M @ MIZ0
IU @ NEB0
UL @ LT0
NEV @ UTEP0
SC @ FLA0
VT @ CAL0
DUKE @ GT0
UAB @ MEM0
UGA @ ALA0
BUF @ TOL0
TULN @ ARMY0
STAN @ ND0
TEX @ OU0
EMU @ AKR0
TLSA @ NAVY0
SDSU @ ORST0
NDSU @ UNLV0
AF @ NIU0
BOIS @ FRES0
FIDELITY
MEASURED
DERIVED
≈ ESTIMATED
DOT MARKS
OLE MISS
VANDERBILT
OVERVIEWPRESEASON PROFILE
MATCHUPHEAD TO HEAD
TEAMROOMS & PLAYERS
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SAT 00:00 ET|FIRSTBANK STADIUMCONFTENSIONVACATEDTALENT GAP20|O/UCOLLISION
75
AP · FPI
TEAM
PTS
2025
TAL
OFF
DEF
RET
PACE
SOS ▾
IMP
ML
SPREAD
AWAY
#8AP
13FPI
MISSSECOLE MISS
3-0
91
93
72
50%
72
99
0.0
—
—
HOME
—AP
43FPI
VANSECVANDERBILT
3-0
70
100
44
35%
28
85
0.0
—
—
IMP = IMPLIED TEAM TOTAL FROM SPREAD + O/U · OFF AND DEF ARE SCOUT TEAM GRADES AS FBS PERCENTILES · EVERY MEASURED FIGURE IS 2026CONSENSUS
DATA BASISNOTHING ON THIS TAB IS MEASURED YET · 2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
MEASURED0 OF 12 GAMES
Real 2026 data. It accumulates weekly and replaces carried figures metric by metric, on the schedules below.
CARRIED14 ROOMS
What each roster did last season, applied player by player. Transfers name the school.
PROGRAM PRIOR2 STAFFS
The programme's own prior identity — or, where the staff is new, the coach's career fingerprint with its sample.
PRESEASON FACT6 PER TEAM
Talent, recruiting, vacated usage, portal and coach status. Preseason inputs.
ABSENT2 CLASSES
Current season luck and situational splits. Shown absent with the reason, never estimated.
FLIPS TO MEASUREDABSENTNOT MEASURED. This asks how many weeks into a season each number becomes trustworthy, which is a within-season question. The back-test measures relationships between one season and the next, so it cannot answer it.
CEILING CHARACTERIDENTITY · NOT QUALITY
MISS61CEILING
EXPLOSIVE
46
PROE
66
TEMPO
72
EXPLOSIVE46p
46
PROE66p
66
TEMPO72p
72
VAN50CEILING
EXPLOSIVE
41
PROE
80
TEMPO
28
EXPLOSIVE41p
41
PROE80p
80
TEMPO28p
28
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
2025 SEASONCARRIED FORWARD · 2026 HAS NO GAMES YET
MISSRECORD OVERSTATES
11-1ACTUALvs9.7-2.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE+1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-1
POINT MARGIN / GAME+17.2
OLE MISS won 11 of 12 against a scoring profile describing 9.7. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
VANRECORD MATCHES
10-2ACTUALvs9.6-2.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
POINT MARGIN / GAME+17.5
VANDERBILT won 10 of 12 against a scoring profile describing 9.6. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
TEAM LEDGEROLE MISSVANDERBILT2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
VACATED USAGE — AND DID THE ROSTER REFILL ITOPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
VACATED USAGE BY ROOMLEFT OPEN, LARGEST FIRST
WR/TE78%Dae'Quan WrightTE · 22% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONHarrison Wallace IIIWR · 16% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONDe'Zhaun StriblingDRAFTED · 14% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION4 FURTHER DEPARTURES
LB73%TJ DotteryPORTAL · LSU · 34% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONTahj ChambersLB · 14% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONJaden YatesPORTAL · HOUSTON · 13% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION2 FURTHER DEPARTURES
DB66%Kapena GushikenS · 15% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONWydett Williams Jr.S · 15% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONChris Graves Jr.PORTAL · MISSOURI · 13% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION3 FURTHER DEPARTURES
DL44%Zxavian HarrisDT · 20% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONPrincewill UmanmielenPORTAL · LSU · 14% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONDa'Shawn WomackPORTAL · AUBURN · 8% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION5 FURTHER DEPARTURES
OL43%Jayden WilliamsDRAFTED · 19% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONDiego PoundsOL · 19% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION3 FURTHER DEPARTURES
RB19%Logan DiggsRB · 14% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONDamien TaylorRB · 5% OF ROOM PARTICIPATION
QB15%Austin SimmonsPORTAL · MISSOURI · 15% OF ROOM PARTICIPATION
SHARE OF LAST SEASON'S ROOM PARTICIPATION THAT DEPARTED, LARGEST FIRST · OPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
PORTAL & CLASS INTAKE — WHO CAME INHEADCOUNT, NOT A PROJECTION
WR/TEDarrell Gill Jr. · PORTAL ★4 · SYRACUSEHoratio Fields · PORTAL ★4 · AUBURNJohntay Cook · PORTAL ★3 · SYRACUSE2 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
LBLuke Ferrelli · PORTAL ★4 · CALIFORNIAAnt Davis · SIGNEE ★3Ja'Michael Garrett · SIGNEE ★3PARTIAL
DBJay Crawford · PORTAL ★4 · AUBURNEdwin Joseph · PORTAL ★4 · FLORIDA STATEJoenel Aguero · PORTAL ★3 · GEORGIA3 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
DLBlake Purchase · PORTAL ★4 · OREGONMichai Boireau · PORTAL ★4 · FLORIDAJordan Renaud · PORTAL ★4 · ALABAMA3 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
OLCarius Curne · PORTAL ★4 · LSUEmanuel Tucker · SIGNEE ★4PARTIAL
RBMakhi Frazier · PORTAL ★3 · MICHIGAN STATEDamarius Yates · SIGNEE ★4INTACT
QBDeuce Knight · PORTAL ★4 · AUBURNINTACT
PORTAL AND SIGNING-CLASS ARRIVALS AT EACH ROOM THAT LOST VOLUME · A HEADCOUNT, NEVER A USAGE PROJECTION
CARRIED GRADES & TEAM FACTS — THIS ROSTER, TODAYCARRIED FROM 2025, RE-HOMED PLAYER BY PLAYER · OLE MISS
CARRIED COMPOSITE
49.577 PCTL
CARRIED OFFENSE
66.196 PCTL
CARRIED DEFENSE
39.047 PCTL
ROOM
GRADE
FBS PCTL
OPP-ADJ
TAL
RET
N
OBS
QB78786410071 OF 7 GRADED
RB6363805573 OF 7 GRADED
WR/TE5959872225CARRIED FROM 2025 · NOTHING GRADED YET
OL606074018CARRIED FROM 2025 · NOTHING GRADED YET
DL818194531710 OF 17 GRADED
LB63638728134 OF 13 GRADED
DB71718745267 OF 26 GRADED
TEAM FACTS — FULLY KNOWN NOWPRESEASON FACT
TALENT COMPOSITE91st91
BLUE-CHIP RATIO54%92
RECRUITING CLASS#22 · 8/22 BC84
CLASS RANK TREND-1 · 3 CYCLES48
PORTAL NET BLUE-CHIP+3 · 28 IN / 25 OUT—
COACH STATUSNEW HEAD COACH—
EVERY ROW HERE IS KNOWABLE TODAY — NONE OF IT WAITS ON A GAME
COACH PRIOR — WHO APPLIES, AND WHAT A CHANGE MOVESBASIS · PROGRAM PRIOR
VANCLARK LEA6TH SEASON4 SEASONS · 1 PROGRAMME
The programme's own prior season applies, under the same returning staff.
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
4141
PACE
1010
PASS RATE
4646
EXPLOSIVENESS
8282
FOURTH-DOWN AGGRESSION
6464
HAVOC
5050
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A RETURNING STAFF
|Δ PACE|1.37sn=929
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|6.72%n=931
|Δ HAVOC|2.10%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE|4.28%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|4.07%n=311
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
MISSPETE GOLDINGFIRST SEASONNO CAREER RECORD
A new staff, so the coach's own career fingerprint stands in for the programme's prior season.
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A NEW STAFF
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|8.61%n=240
|Δ HAVOC|2.50%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE|5.18%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|5.24%n=87
|Δ PACE|1.63sn=240
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
POSITION GROUPS — WHERE THE VOLUME LIVESMISS OFFENSEVAN OFFENSERETURNINGDEPARTED
COLLAPSE ALL
▾QBOLE MISS OFFENSE
NATIONAL
5OF 138
TAL
64
PERF
78
RET
100
NATIONAL
66OF 136
RET
20
FULL DEFENSEVANDERBILT DEFENSE
MISS QUARTERBACKSn=70% VACATED
QUARTERBACKS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
TRINIDAD CHAMBLISSQBRET
914TH YR7664★3+37
DEUCE KNIGHTQBPORTAL · AUBURN
521ST YR—99★4+27 2025
AJ MADDOXQBRET
482ND YR—88★4—
WALKER HOWARDQBPORTAL · LOUISIANA
484TH YR—45★3-55 2025
JACK PATTERSONQBTRUE FR
352ND YR—34★3—
SHOW ALL 7
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
VAN DEFENSE — GROUP GRADES3 ROOMS · 58 PLAYERS24% VACATED
DEFENSIVE ROOMS · GROUP GRADES
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
5860%8%
LINEBACKERSLB
58100%9%
SECONDARYDB
5875%30%
THE QUARTERBACK PLAYS THE WHOLE SIDE — SHOWN AS ITS THREE ROOM GRADES, NOT MAN FOR MAN · PER PLAYER DETAIL LIVES IN THE OTHER DRAWERS
▾OLOLE MISS OFFENSE
NATIONAL
40OF 138
TAL
74
PERF
60
RET
0
DL
39OF 138
DL RET
60
LB
34OF 138
LB RET
100
FRONT-7VANDERBILT DEFENSE
MISS OFFENSIVE LINEn=18100% VACATED
FIVE-MAN LINE BY GRADE
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
TROY EVERETTOLPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
634TH YR—45★3+41 2025
PATRICK KUTASOLRET
544TH YR—98★4-10 2025
DELANO TOWNSENDOLRET
523RD YR—24★3+29 2025
CONNOR HOWESOLRET
502ND YR—80★3—
JOHN WAYNE OLIVEROLRET
502ND YR—81★3—
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
VAN FRONT-7n=35 · 2 ROOMS24% VACATED
PASS RUSH · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
JAYLON STONEDLRET
754TH YR—85★3-4 2025
TALAN CARTERDLPORTAL · JACKSONVILLE STATE
672ND YR—45★3-14 2025
GLENN SEABROOKS IIIDLRET
563RD YR7750★3-40
BRYAN LONGWELLLBRET
544TH YR9650★3+23
MILES CAPERSEDGERET
514TH YR9539★3+38
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
▾RBOLE MISS OFFENSE
NATIONAL
23OF 138
TAL
80
PERF
63
RET
55
DL
39OF 138
DL RET
60
LB
34OF 138
LB RET
100
FRONT-7VANDERBILT DEFENSE
MISS RUNNING BACKSn=745% VACATED
BACKFIELD · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
KEWAN LACYRBRET
823RD YR9685★3-10
JT LINDSEYRBPORTAL · LSU
491ST YR—64★3—
MAKHI FRAZIERRBPORTAL · MICHIGAN STATE
413RD YR7185★3-36
JOSHUA DYERBPORTAL · SOUTHERN UTAH
523RD YR—9★3—
SHEKAI MILLS-KNIGHTRBRET
491ST YR—94★4—
SHOW ALL 7
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
VAN FRONT-72 ROOMS · 35 PLAYERS22% VACATED
ROOMS IN THE COMPOSITE
WT
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
0.555860%8%
LINEBACKERSLB
0.4558100%9%
EACH ROOM ON ITS OWN GRADE, NOT LISTED MAN FOR MAN · THE WEIGHTS DEFINE WHO PLAYS WHOM
▾WR/TEOLE MISS OFFENSE
NATIONAL
38OF 138
TAL
87
PERF
59
RET
22
DB
33OF 138
DB RET
75
SECONDARYVANDERBILT DEFENSE
MISS PASS CATCHERSn=2578% VACATED
PASS CATCHERS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
LUKE HASZTERET
764TH YR7797★4+33
MICHAEL SMITHTETRUE FR
542ND YR—78★3-22 2025
DEUCE ALEXANDERWRRET
543RD YR9492★4+18
DARRELL GILL JR.WRPORTAL · SYRACUSE
514TH YR—99★4+18 2025
CALEB CUNNINGHAMWRRET
501ST YR—99★5—
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
VAN SECONDARYn=23 · 1 ROOM25% VACATED
COVERAGE · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
CJ HEARDSRET
873RD YR9645★3+41
MARTEL HIGHTCBRET
514TH YR9786★4-39
CAYDEN DANIELSCBRET
502ND YR3670★3—
CARSON LAWRENCESRET
492ND YR—88★4—
MASON LEWISSTRUE FR
481ST YR—79★3—
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
RETURNINGPORTAL — PRIOR SCHOOL AND PORTAL STARS NAMEDLAST YR ≈ — RATES FROM HIS LAST MEASURED SEASON, NOT THE PROJECTED ROLEDEPARTEDVS COH = PRODUCTION vs OWN RECRUITING COHORT MEDIAN · CURVE = AHEAD / ON / BEHIND AT ±8 · PT% IS HIS SHARE OF HIS OWN ROOM · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
TEAM QUALITYHOUSE GRADE + REFERENCES
METRIC
MISS
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
VAN
SCOUT TEAM GRADE
52.2
47.7
— OFFENSE
50.3
56.3
— DEFENSE
54.1
39.0
SP+ OVERALL
15.2
10.1
FPI
17.7
6.1
ELO
1859
1742
TALENT
886
727
PRODUCTION
89
79
TALENT − PRODUCTION ▾
−3
−17
BLUE CHIP RATIO
0.54
0.21
SCOUT TEAM GRADE DECOMPOSES INTO OFFENSE AND DEFENSE, EACH BUILT FROM THE POSITION ROOM GRADES ABOVE · ROOM WEIGHTS ARE MEASURED AGAINST UNIT EPA, NOT ASSUMED · SPECIAL TEAMS ARE NOT IN IT YET
FIVE FACTORS2025 · NATIONAL PERCENTILES
METRIC
MISS
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
VAN
OFF EFFICIENCY
92
97
DEF EFFICIENCY
72
47
OFF EXPLOSIVENESS
67
97
DEF EXPLOSIVENESS
31
23
FINISHING DRIVES
91
100
FIELD POSITION
74
41
TURNOVER MARGIN
39
45
THE FIVE FACTORS ARE CORRELATED, NOT FIVE INDEPENDENT DIALS · TURNOVER MARGIN IS THE LEAST STABLE OF THEM YEAR OVER YEAR
TEAM IDENTITYTENDENCIES THAT SET VOLUME
METRIC
MISS
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
VAN
PASS RATE
58.7%
50.0%
PACE
26.2s
29.4s
RUN RATE — STANDARD DNS
44.6%
56.1%
PASS RATE — PASSING DNS
67.2%
65.4%
PLAYS / GAME
68.7
61.3
GARBAGE TIME SHARE
2.9%
0.0%
EVERY ROW HERE IS COUNTED FROM PLAY BY PLAY · NONE OF IT IS A QUALITY RATING — FURTHER RIGHT IS MORE OF THE THING, NOT BETTER · SCHEME DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH-IS-GOOD · CELL SHADE = FBS PERCENTILE OF THE VALUE · DOTS PLOT BOTH TEAMS ON ONE 0–100 TRACK (GOLD = MISS, ORANGE = VAN) · MEASURED FIGURES ARE 2026, GARBAGE-TIME FILTERED
≈ MARKS AN ESTIMATED VALUE · A CARRIED FIGURE IS WHAT A PLAYER DID LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL
VACATED VOLUME IS STATED AS OPEN AND NEVER ASSIGNED TO A SUCCESSOR · SPREAD, TOTAL, ML AND IMPLIED TOTALS ARE CONSENSUS MARKET FIGURES · NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE