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HOME›SLATE›2026›WEEK 6›KENT @ WMU›OVERVIEWMARKET FIGURES ARE BOOK CONSENSUS, NEVER MODEL OUTPUT
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
THIS WEEK
USM @ TROY0
JXST @ KENN0
NMSU @ FIU0
MOST @ WKU0
SHSU @ LIB0
USA @ ARST0
USF @ UTSA0
FSU @ LOU0
IOWA @ WASH0
WYO @ SJSU0
WSU @ USU0
ISU @ BYU0
HAW @ ASU0
MINN @ PUR0
JMU @ GASO0
ILL @ MSU0
MISS @ VAN0
SYR @ UVA0
CLT @ UNT0
MD @ OSU0
HOU @ KSU0
USC @ PSU0
ODU @ APP0
TENN @ ARK0
UCF @ OKST0
LSU @ UK0
CMU @ OHIO0
CONN @ TEM0
WAKE @ NCSU0
RICE @ ECU0
ARIZ @ WVU0
UNC @ PITT0
CCU @ MRSH0
BALL @ NU0
KENT @ WMU0
UCLA @ ORE0
SAC @ BGSU0
KU @ UTAH0
M-OH @ MASS0
TA&M @ MIZ0
IU @ NEB0
UL @ LT0
NEV @ UTEP0
SC @ FLA0
VT @ CAL0
DUKE @ GT0
UAB @ MEM0
UGA @ ALA0
BUF @ TOL0
TULN @ ARMY0
STAN @ ND0
TEX @ OU0
EMU @ AKR0
TLSA @ NAVY0
SDSU @ ORST0
NDSU @ UNLV0
AF @ NIU0
BOIS @ FRES0
FIDELITY
MEASURED
DERIVED
≈ ESTIMATED
DOT MARKS
KENT STATE
WESTERN MICHIGAN
OVERVIEWPRESEASON PROFILE
MATCHUPHEAD TO HEAD
TEAMROOMS & PLAYERS
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SAT 00:00 ET|WALDO STADIUMCONFTENSIONVACATEDTALENT GAP16|O/UCOLLISION
75
AP · FPI
TEAM
PTS
2025
TAL
OFF
DEF
RET
PACE
SOS ▾
IMP
ML
SPREAD
AWAY
—AP
136FPI
KENTMACKENT STATE
1-1
6
26
6
64%
24
12
0.0
—
—
HOME
—AP
65FPI
WMUMACWESTERN MICHIGAN
1-1
22
9
46
100%
32
13
0.0
—
—
IMP = IMPLIED TEAM TOTAL FROM SPREAD + O/U · OFF AND DEF ARE SCOUT TEAM GRADES AS FBS PERCENTILES · EVERY MEASURED FIGURE IS 2026CONSENSUS
DATA BASISNOTHING ON THIS TAB IS MEASURED YET · 2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
MEASURED0 OF 12 GAMES
Real 2026 data. It accumulates weekly and replaces carried figures metric by metric, on the schedules below.
CARRIED14 ROOMS
What each roster did last season, applied player by player. Transfers name the school.
PROGRAM PRIOR2 STAFFS
The programme's own prior identity — or, where the staff is new, the coach's career fingerprint with its sample.
PRESEASON FACT6 PER TEAM
Talent, recruiting, vacated usage, portal and coach status. Preseason inputs.
ABSENT2 CLASSES
Current season luck and situational splits. Shown absent with the reason, never estimated.
FLIPS TO MEASUREDABSENTNOT MEASURED. This asks how many weeks into a season each number becomes trustworthy, which is a within-season question. The back-test measures relationships between one season and the next, so it cannot answer it.
CEILING CHARACTERIDENTITY · NOT QUALITY
KENT39CEILING
EXPLOSIVE
77
PROE
15
TEMPO
24
EXPLOSIVE77p
77
PROE15p
15
TEMPO24p
24
WMU28CEILING
EXPLOSIVE
46
PROE
4
TEMPO
32
EXPLOSIVE46p
46
PROE4p
4
TEMPO32p
32
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
2025 SEASONCARRIED FORWARD · 2026 HAS NO GAMES YET
KENTRECORD OVERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs3.0-9.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE+2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
POINT MARGIN / GAME-12.3
KENT STATE won 5 of 12 against a scoring profile describing 3.0. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
WMURECORD MATCHES
9-4ACTUALvs8.4-4.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
POINT MARGIN / GAME+5.4
WESTERN MICHIGAN won 9 of 13 against a scoring profile describing 8.4. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
TEAM LEDGERKENT STATEWESTERN MICHIGAN2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
VACATED USAGE — AND DID THE ROSTER REFILL ITOPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
VACATED USAGE BY ROOMLEFT OPEN, LARGEST FIRST
LB86%Mason WoodsLB · 22% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONCJ YoungPORTAL · MIAMI (OH) · 20% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONJamond MathisPORTAL · TEXAS TECH · 16% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION3 FURTHER DEPARTURES
DL61%Mattheus CarrollDL · 14% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONMason MaddoxDL · 14% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONAntoine Campbell Jr.DL · 13% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION2 FURTHER DEPARTURES
RB56%Gavin GarciaPORTAL · THE CITADEL · 29% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONJordan NubinRB · 17% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONJahzae KimbroughPORTAL · SOUTH CAROLINA STATE · 10% OF ROOM PARTICIPATION
OL53%Garrett MastersonOL · 19% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONAshton RiveraOL · 17% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONMatt PajusteOL · 11% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION1 FURTHER DEPARTURE
DB50%Jaire RawlisonPORTAL · WEST VIRGINIA · 18% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONTerrell MillerCB · 14% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONTevin TuckerPORTAL · NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL · 14% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION1 FURTHER DEPARTURE
WR/TE47%Da'Shawn MartinPORTAL · VIRGINIA · 16% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONSebastian BrownWR · 12% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONChristian BerryTE · 11% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION1 FURTHER DEPARTURE
QB13%CJ MontesQB · 8% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONDevin KargmanPORTAL · CONCORD · 6% OF ROOM PARTICIPATION
SHARE OF LAST SEASON'S ROOM PARTICIPATION THAT DEPARTED, LARGEST FIRST · OPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
PORTAL & CLASS INTAKE — WHO CAME INHEADCOUNT, NOT A PROJECTION
LBHayden Dawahare · PORTAL ★3 · KENTUCKYNate Gregory · PORTAL ★3 · COASTAL CAROLINARocco Nicholl · PORTAL ★3 · SOUTH FLORIDA2 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
DLKale Webb · SIGNEE ★3Jacob Broach · SIGNEE ★3Eckley Bridges · SIGNEE ★32 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
RBJakorion Caffey · PORTAL ★3 · CINCINNATIJackson Farley · SIGNEE ★3Brandon White · SIGNEE ★3REFILLED
OLWilliam Johnson III · SIGNEE ★3Colin Prichard · SIGNEE ★3Gavin Kanar · SIGNEE ★31 MORE ARRIVALPARTIAL
DBDavion Pritchard · PORTAL ★3 · PITTSBURGHNorey Johnson · PORTAL ★3 · HOUSTON CHRISTIANLennox Lemon · SIGNEE ★31 MORE ARRIVALREFILLED
WR/TEJavier Willis · PORTAL ★3 · TIFFIN UNIVERSITYZymir Reed · SIGNEE ★3Brendyn Smith · SIGNEE ★3PARTIAL
QBEthan Thanthanavong · PORTAL ★3 · DEFIANCE COLLEGEINTACT
PORTAL AND SIGNING-CLASS ARRIVALS AT EACH ROOM THAT LOST VOLUME · A HEADCOUNT, NEVER A USAGE PROJECTION
CARRIED GRADES & TEAM FACTS — THIS ROSTER, TODAYCARRIED FROM 2025, RE-HOMED PLAYER BY PLAYER · KENT STATE
CARRIED COMPOSITE
38.244 PCTL
CARRIED OFFENSE
55.081 PCTL
CARRIED DEFENSE
30.421 PCTL
ROOM
GRADE
FBS PCTL
OPP-ADJ
TAL
RET
N
OBS
QB4343319663 OF 6 GRADED
RB45451445106 OF 10 GRADED
WR/TE535335942211 OF 22 GRADED
OL31313433199 OF 19 GRADED
DL383825731912 OF 19 GRADED
LB38383434129 OF 12 GRADED
DB353529651613 OF 16 GRADED
TEAM FACTS — FULLY KNOWN NOWPRESEASON FACT
TALENT COMPOSITE6th6
BLUE-CHIP RATIO2%10
RECRUITING CLASS#122 · 0/18 BC9
CLASS RANK TREND-25 · 3 CYCLES0
PORTAL NET BLUE-CHIP-1 · 11 IN / 15 OUT—
COACH STATUSRETURNING · 2nd YR—
EVERY ROW HERE IS KNOWABLE TODAY — NONE OF IT WAITS ON A GAME
COACH PRIOR — WHO APPLIES, AND WHAT A CHANGE MOVESBASIS · PROGRAM PRIOR
WMULANCE TAYLOR4TH SEASON3 SEASONS · 1 PROGRAMME
The programme's own prior season applies, under the same returning staff.
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
1010
PACE
5454
PASS RATE
1010
EXPLOSIVENESS
1414
FOURTH-DOWN AGGRESSION
8686
HAVOC
7070
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A RETURNING STAFF
|Δ PACE|1.37sn=929
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|6.72%n=931
|Δ HAVOC|2.10%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE|4.28%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|4.07%n=311
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
KENTMARK CARNEY2TH SEASON1 SEASON · 1 PROGRAMME
The programme's own prior season applies, under the same returning staff.
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
1111
PACE
00
PASS RATE
2727
EXPLOSIVENESS
9595
FOURTH-DOWN AGGRESSION
6969
HAVOC
1111
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A RETURNING STAFF
|Δ PACE|1.37sn=929
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|6.72%n=931
|Δ HAVOC|2.10%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE|4.28%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|4.07%n=311
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
POSITION GROUPS — WHERE THE VOLUME LIVESKENT OFFENSEWMU OFFENSERETURNINGDEPARTED
COLLAPSE ALL
▾QBKENT STATE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
104OF 138
TAL
31
PERF
43
RET
96
NATIONAL
56OF 136
RET
20
FULL DEFENSEWESTERN MICHIGAN DEFENSE
KENT QUARTERBACKSn=64% VACATED
QUARTERBACKS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
DRU DESHIELDSQBRET
493RD YR6532★3+13
NOLAN GOODQBRET
481ST YR2032★3—
ETHAN THANTHANAVONGQBPORTAL · DEFIANCE COLLEGE
382ND YR217★3—
DEANTE RUFFINQBRET
491ST YR—53★3—
GAVIN PEEPSQBTRUE FR
301ST YR——UNR—
SHOW ALL 6
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
WMU DEFENSE — GROUP GRADES3 ROOMS · 49 PLAYERS49% VACATED
DEFENSIVE ROOMS · GROUP GRADES
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
5311%0%
LINEBACKERSLB
5521%0%
SECONDARYDB
4481%11%
THE QUARTERBACK PLAYS THE WHOLE SIDE — SHOWN AS ITS THREE ROOM GRADES, NOT MAN FOR MAN · PER PLAYER DETAIL LIVES IN THE OTHER DRAWERS
▾OLKENT STATE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
132OF 138
TAL
34
PERF
31
RET
33
DL
59OF 138
DL RET
11
LB
40OF 138
LB RET
21
FRONT-7WESTERN MICHIGAN DEFENSE
KENT OFFENSIVE LINEn=1967% VACATED
FIVE-MAN LINE · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
BEN MIDEAOLTRUE FR
493RD YR——UNR—
WILLIAM JOHNSON IIIOLTRUE FR
491ST YR—52★3—
MOFE ADEWOLEOLTRUE FR
494TH YR——UNR—
CECIL WILSONOLRET
483RD YR——UNR—
JAXON DUNNOLRET
482ND YR—16★3-6 2025
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
WMU FRONT-7n=30 · 2 ROOMS85% VACATED
PASS RUSH · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
ZAVIAN TIBBSDTTRUE FR
544TH YR47—UNR—
WILL GERIGDERET
524TH YR39—UNR—
JUSTYCE BETTSLBTRUE FR
522ND YR9—UNR—
KJ BURLEYDETRUE FR
522ND YR12—UNR—
JORI BENSONDTRET
504TH YR——UNR—
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
▾RBKENT STATE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
106OF 138
TAL
14
PERF
45
RET
45
DL
59OF 138
DL RET
11
LB
40OF 138
LB RET
21
FRONT-7WESTERN MICHIGAN DEFENSE
KENT RUNNING BACKSn=1055% VACATED
BACKFIELD · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
MASON KINGRBPORTAL · ILLINOIS STATE
504TH YR42—UNR-52
BRANDON WHITERBTRUE FR
491ST YR1431★3—
HUNTER HOPPERTONFBRET
484TH YR—2★3-57 2025
JAKORION CAFFEYRBPORTAL · CINCINNATI
482ND YR1617★3—
AYDEN HARRISRBRET
472ND YR4426★3-41
SHOW ALL 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
WMU FRONT-72 ROOMS · 30 PLAYERS85% VACATED
ROOMS IN THE COMPOSITE
WT
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
0.555311%0%
LINEBACKERSLB
0.455521%0%
EACH ROOM ON ITS OWN GRADE, NOT LISTED MAN FOR MAN · THE WEIGHTS DEFINE WHO PLAYS WHOM
▾WR/TEKENT STATE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
52OF 138
TAL
35
PERF
53
RET
94
DB
111OF 138
DB RET
81
SECONDARYWESTERN MICHIGAN DEFENSE
KENT PASS CATCHERSn=226% VACATED
PASS CATCHERS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
ARDELL BANKSWRRET
543RD YR—79★3+18 2025
DA'REALYST CLARKWRRET
504TH YR33—UNR—
TERIK MULDERTERET
494TH YR475★3+41
WAYNE HARRISWRRET
472ND YR7224★30
JAY JAY ETHERIDGEWRRET
423RD YR5656★3-25
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
WMU SECONDARYn=19 · 1 ROOM19% VACATED
COVERAGE · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
JOSHUA FRANKLINDBRET
594TH YR81—UNR-8
JOEY POPESRET
583RD YR7313★2+11
JARVARIUS SIMSCBRET
544TH YR959★3-15
DAEH MCCULLOUGHSPORTAL · LOUISVILLE
523RD YR—28★3—
JORDON THOMASCBRET
494TH YR1488★4—
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
RETURNINGPORTAL — PRIOR SCHOOL AND PORTAL STARS NAMEDLAST YR ≈ — RATES FROM HIS LAST MEASURED SEASON, NOT THE PROJECTED ROLEDEPARTEDVS COH = PRODUCTION vs OWN RECRUITING COHORT MEDIAN · CURVE = AHEAD / ON / BEHIND AT ±8 · PT% IS HIS SHARE OF HIS OWN ROOM · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
TEAM QUALITYHOUSE GRADE + REFERENCES
METRIC
KENT
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
WMU
SCOUT TEAM GRADE
37.5
48.1
— OFFENSE
40.6
53.5
— DEFENSE
34.3
42.7
SP+ OVERALL
-21.5
-2.2
FPI
-21.2
0.7
ELO
1035
1534
TALENT
523
572
PRODUCTION
7
35
TALENT − PRODUCTION ▾
0
−20
BLUE CHIP RATIO
0.02
0.06
SCOUT TEAM GRADE DECOMPOSES INTO OFFENSE AND DEFENSE, EACH BUILT FROM THE POSITION ROOM GRADES ABOVE · ROOM WEIGHTS ARE MEASURED AGAINST UNIT EPA, NOT ASSUMED · SPECIAL TEAMS ARE NOT IN IT YET
FIVE FACTORS2025 · NATIONAL PERCENTILES
METRIC
KENT
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
WMU
OFF EFFICIENCY
3
50
DEF EFFICIENCY
21
83
OFF EXPLOSIVENESS
89
0
DEF EXPLOSIVENESS
48
58
FINISHING DRIVES
47
8
FIELD POSITION
63
9
TURNOVER MARGIN
20
84
THE FIVE FACTORS ARE CORRELATED, NOT FIVE INDEPENDENT DIALS · TURNOVER MARGIN IS THE LEAST STABLE OF THEM YEAR OVER YEAR
TEAM IDENTITYTENDENCIES THAT SET VOLUME
METRIC
KENT
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
WMU
PASS RATE
43.2%
40.2%
PACE
30.5s
29.5s
RUN RATE — STANDARD DNS
62.3%
63.9%
PASS RATE — PASSING DNS
53.7%
48.7%
PLAYS / GAME
59.0
61.0
GARBAGE TIME SHARE
3.4%
1.6%
EVERY ROW HERE IS COUNTED FROM PLAY BY PLAY · NONE OF IT IS A QUALITY RATING — FURTHER RIGHT IS MORE OF THE THING, NOT BETTER · SCHEME DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH-IS-GOOD · CELL SHADE = FBS PERCENTILE OF THE VALUE · DOTS PLOT BOTH TEAMS ON ONE 0–100 TRACK (GOLD = KENT, ORANGE = WMU) · MEASURED FIGURES ARE 2026, GARBAGE-TIME FILTERED
≈ MARKS AN ESTIMATED VALUE · A CARRIED FIGURE IS WHAT A PLAYER DID LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL
VACATED VOLUME IS STATED AS OPEN AND NEVER ASSIGNED TO A SUCCESSOR · SPREAD, TOTAL, ML AND IMPLIED TOTALS ARE CONSENSUS MARKET FIGURES · NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE