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HOME›SLATE›2026›WEEK 13›TEM @ MEM›OVERVIEWMARKET FIGURES ARE BOOK CONSENSUS, NEVER MODEL OUTPUT
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
THIS WEEK
M-OH @ WMU0
KENT @ EMU0
TCU @ TTU0
TULN @ USF0
TEM @ MEM0
FAU @ ECU0
NEB @ IOWA0
MSST @ MISS0
TOL @ OHIO0
BUF @ AKR0
APP @ USA0
NDSU @ SJSU0
FLA @ FSU0
MINN @ WIS0
TEX @ TA&M0
WVU @ UTAH0
USC @ UCLA0
TENN @ VAN0
CONN @ WYO0
AUB @ ALA0
CCU @ JMU0
NAVY @ CLT0
NCSU @ UNC0
DUKE @ WAKE0
TLSA @ UTSA0
BAY @ HOU0
ARMY @ RICE0
GT @ UGA0
LSU @ ARK0
LOU @ UK0
LT @ GASO0
PUR @ IU0
SMU @ STAN0
UCF @ COLO0
MRSH @ ULM0
PSU @ MD0
KU @ OKST0
WASH @ ORE0
PITT @ CAL0
OU @ MIZ0
USM @ ODU0
UVA @ VT0
SC @ CLEM0
ND @ SYR0
ASU @ ARIZ0
UAB @ UNT0
BC @ MIA0
KSU @ ISU0
UL @ GAST0
CIN @ BYU0
MSU @ RUTG0
UTEP @ NIU0
ILL @ NU0
CMU @ BALL0
MICH @ OSU0
MASS @ BGSU0
KENN @ WKU0
LIB @ MOST0
SHSU @ FIU0
NMSU @ MTSU0
TROY @ ARST0
JXST @ DEL0
AF @ UNM0
NEV @ UNLV0
SAC @ HAW0
FIDELITY
MEASURED
DERIVED
≈ ESTIMATED
DOT MARKS
TEMPLE
MEMPHIS
OVERVIEWPRESEASON PROFILE
MATCHUPHEAD TO HEAD
TEAMROOMS & PLAYERS
VINTAGE2026
FRI 00:00 ET|SIMMONS BANK LIBERTY STADIUMCONFTENSIONVACATEDTALENT GAP9|O/UCOLLISION
75
AP · FPI
TEAM
PTS
2025
TAL
OFF
DEF
RET
PACE
SOS ▾
IMP
ML
SPREAD
AWAY
—AP
85FPI
TEMAACTEMPLE
1-2
42
47
21
37%
28
—
0.0
—
—
HOME
—AP
71FPI
MEMAACMEMPHIS
3-1
52
70
30
6%
27
—
0.0
—
—
IMP = IMPLIED TEAM TOTAL FROM SPREAD + O/U · OFF AND DEF ARE SCOUT TEAM GRADES AS FBS PERCENTILES · EVERY MEASURED FIGURE IS 2026CONSENSUS
DATA BASISNOTHING ON THIS TAB IS MEASURED YET · 2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
MEASURED0 OF 12 GAMES
Real 2026 data. It accumulates weekly and replaces carried figures metric by metric, on the schedules below.
CARRIED14 ROOMS
What each roster did last season, applied player by player. Transfers name the school.
PROGRAM PRIOR2 STAFFS
The programme's own prior identity — or, where the staff is new, the coach's career fingerprint with its sample.
PRESEASON FACT6 PER TEAM
Talent, recruiting, vacated usage, portal and coach status. Preseason inputs.
ABSENT2 CLASSES
Current season luck and situational splits. Shown absent with the reason, never estimated.
FLIPS TO MEASUREDABSENTNOT MEASURED. This asks how many weeks into a season each number becomes trustworthy, which is a within-season question. The back-test measures relationships between one season and the next, so it cannot answer it.
CEILING CHARACTERIDENTITY · NOT QUALITY
TEM43CEILING
EXPLOSIVE
61
PROE
39
TEMPO
28
EXPLOSIVE61p
61
PROE39p
39
TEMPO28p
28
MEM56CEILING
EXPLOSIVE
82
PROE
60
TEMPO
27
EXPLOSIVE82p
82
PROE60p
60
TEMPO27p
27
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
TEMRECORD MATCHES
1-2ACTUALvs1.6-1.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
POINT MARGIN / GAME+1.7
TEMPLE won 1 of 3 against a scoring profile describing 1.6. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
MEMRECORD MATCHES
3-1ACTUALvs2.6-1.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
POINT MARGIN / GAME+7.5
MEMPHIS won 3 of 4 against a scoring profile describing 2.6. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
TEAM LEDGERTEMPLEMEMPHIS2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
VACATED USAGE — AND DID THE ROSTER REFILL ITOPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
VACATED USAGE BY ROOMLEFT OPEN, LARGEST FIRST
QB100%Evan SimonQB · 90% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONGevani McCoyQB · 10% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION1 FURTHER DEPARTURE
DL76%Allan HayeDT · 18% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONDemerick MorrisDT · 14% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONKJ MilesPORTAL · MEMPHIS · 13% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION4 FURTHER DEPARTURES
RB70%Jay DuckerRB · 56% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONTerrez WorthyRB · 12% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION1 FURTHER DEPARTURE
DB58%Ben OsuekeCB · 17% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONJaylen CastleberryCB · 15% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONDontae PollardS · 10% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION3 FURTHER DEPARTURES
LB49%Cam'Ron StewartLB · 11% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONKatin SurprenantLB · 11% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONTyrese WhitakerPORTAL · TENNESSEE TECH · 10% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION4 FURTHER DEPARTURES
WR/TE21%Kajiya HollawayneWR · 18% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION4 FURTHER DEPARTURES
OL20%Diego BarajasOL · 19% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION3 FURTHER DEPARTURES
SHARE OF LAST SEASON'S ROOM PARTICIPATION THAT DEPARTED, LARGEST FIRST · OPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
PORTAL & CLASS INTAKE — WHO CAME INHEADCOUNT, NOT A PROJECTION
QBBrody Norman · SIGNEE ★3Brady Palmer · SIGNEE ★3PARTIAL
DLQuante Gillians · PORTAL ★3 · SYRACUSEJude Okeleke · SIGNEE ★3Jayden Brown · SIGNEE ★34 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
RBR.J. Blount · SIGNEE ★3Ameir Morrow · SIGNEE ★3PARTIAL
DBAlex Hanks · SIGNEE ★3Daron Harris · SIGNEE ★3PARTIAL
LBNONE THIS CYCLEOPEN
WR/TEJayce Freeman · PORTAL ★3 · STONY BROOKJoey Schlaffer · PORTAL ★3 · PENN STATEKenedy Uzoma · PORTAL ★3 · NORTH CAROLINA5 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
OLJohn Stone · PORTAL ★3 · RUTGERSKaron Spencer · SIGNEE ★3John Watkins · SIGNEE ★31 MORE ARRIVALREFILLED
PORTAL AND SIGNING-CLASS ARRIVALS AT EACH ROOM THAT LOST VOLUME · A HEADCOUNT, NEVER A USAGE PROJECTION
CARRIED GRADES & TEAM FACTS — THIS ROSTER, TODAYCARRIED FROM 2025, RE-HOMED PLAYER BY PLAYER · TEMPLE
CARRIED COMPOSITE
50.279 PCTL
CARRIED OFFENSE
76.198 PCTL
CARRIED DEFENSE
35.439 PCTL
ROOM
GRADE
FBS PCTL
OPP-ADJ
TAL
RET
N
OBS
QB414150052 OF 5 GRADED
RB3939458183 OF 8 GRADED
WR/TE4343287119CARRIED FROM 2025 · NOTHING GRADED YET
OL555545019CARRIED FROM 2025 · NOTHING GRADED YET
DL31311924177 OF 17 GRADED
LB43434278179 OF 17 GRADED
DB424258342413 OF 24 GRADED
TEAM FACTS — FULLY KNOWN NOWPRESEASON FACT
TALENT COMPOSITE42nd42
BLUE-CHIP RATIO6%29
RECRUITING CLASS#68 · 0/29 BC50
CLASS RANK TREND+47 · 3 CYCLES100
PORTAL NET BLUE-CHIP+1 · 23 IN / 26 OUT—
COACH STATUSRETURNING · 2nd YR—
EVERY ROW HERE IS KNOWABLE TODAY — NONE OF IT WAITS ON A GAME
COACH PRIOR — WHO APPLIES, AND WHAT A CHANGE MOVESBASIS · PROGRAM PRIOR
MEMCHARLES HUFFFIRST SEASON4 SEASONS · 3 PROGRAMMES
A new staff, so the coach's own career fingerprint stands in for the programme's prior season.
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
3434
PACE
3434
PASS RATE
3636
EXPLOSIVENESS
8484
FOURTH-DOWN AGGRESSION
1919
HAVOC
7474
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A NEW STAFF
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|8.61%n=240
|Δ HAVOC|2.50%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE|5.18%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|5.24%n=87
|Δ PACE|1.63sn=240
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
TEMK.C. KEELER2TH SEASON4 SEASONS · 2 PROGRAMMES
The programme's own prior season applies, under the same returning staff.
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
2828
PACE
3434
PASS RATE
2828
EXPLOSIVENESS
1818
FOURTH-DOWN AGGRESSION
2525
HAVOC
2727
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A RETURNING STAFF
|Δ PACE|1.37sn=929
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|6.72%n=931
|Δ HAVOC|2.10%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE|4.28%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|4.07%n=311
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
POSITION GROUPS — WHERE THE VOLUME LIVESTEM OFFENSEMEM OFFENSERETURNINGDEPARTED
COLLAPSE ALL
▾QBTEMPLE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
108OF 138
TAL
50
PERF
41
RET
0
NATIONAL
96OF 136
RET
15
FULL DEFENSEMEMPHIS DEFENSE
TEM QUARTERBACKSn=5100% VACATED
QUARTERBACKS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
AJANI SHEPPARDQBPORTAL · WASHINGTON STATE
494TH YR2428★3+14
JAXON SMOLIKQBPORTAL · PENN STATE
493RD YR2075★3—
LAMAR BESTQBTRUE FR
351ST YR—46★3—
CAMREN BOYKINQBRET
352ND YR—32★3—
BRODY NORMANQBTRUE FR
351ST YR—63★3—
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
MEM DEFENSE — GROUP GRADES3 ROOMS · 55 PLAYERS85% VACATED
DEFENSIVE ROOMS · GROUP GRADES
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
5514%10%
LINEBACKERSLB
560%0%
SECONDARYDB
4420%0%
THE QUARTERBACK PLAYS THE WHOLE SIDE — SHOWN AS ITS THREE ROOM GRADES, NOT MAN FOR MAN · PER PLAYER DETAIL LIVES IN THE OTHER DRAWERS
▾OLTEMPLE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
55OF 138
TAL
45
PERF
55
RET
0
DL
52OF 138
DL RET
14
LB
39OF 138
LB RET
0
FRONT-7MEMPHIS DEFENSE
TEM OFFENSIVE LINEn=19100% VACATED
FIVE-MAN LINE · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
ZACH AAMLANDOLPORTAL · RUTGERS
374TH YR—17★3—
JACKSON PRUITTOLRET
774TH YR—65★3+22 2025
GIAKOBY HILLSOLRET
643RD YR——UNR-7 2025
MAUSA PALUOLRET
544TH YR——UNR—
JOHN STONEOLPORTAL · RUTGERS
524TH YR—45★3—
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
MEM FRONT-7n=34 · 2 ROOMS91% VACATED
PASS RUSH · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
MIKE MONTGOMERYLBTRUE FR
714TH YR8645★3-28
J'MOND TAPPDLPORTAL · SOUTHERN MISS
694TH YR8845★3+45
TAYLOR BURTONDLRET
594TH YR68—UNR+28
XAVIER MILESDLPORTAL · CHARLOTTE
553RD YR6326★3-28
ZACH RUFFINLBPORTAL · SOUTHERN MISS
532ND YR4669★4—
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
▾RBTEMPLE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
114OF 138
TAL
45
PERF
39
RET
81
DL
52OF 138
DL RET
14
LB
39OF 138
LB RET
0
FRONT-7MEMPHIS DEFENSE
TEM RUNNING BACKSn=819% VACATED
BACKFIELD · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
KEVEUN MASONRBRET
582ND YR5452★3+19
DE'CARLOS YOUNGRBRET
522ND YR2247★3-7
HUNTER SMITHRBRET
524TH YR8217★3+11
SAMUEL BROWN VRBPORTAL · RUTGERS
514TH YR8828★3-23
R.J. BLOUNTRBTRUE FR
351ST YR—68★3—
SHOW ALL 8
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
MEM FRONT-72 ROOMS · 34 PLAYERS92% VACATED
ROOMS IN THE COMPOSITE
WT
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
0.555514%10%
LINEBACKERSLB
0.45560%0%
EACH ROOM ON ITS OWN GRADE, NOT LISTED MAN FOR MAN · THE WEIGHTS DEFINE WHO PLAYS WHOM
▾WR/TETEMPLE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
103OF 138
TAL
28
PERF
43
RET
71
DB
112OF 138
DB RET
20
SECONDARYMEMPHIS DEFENSE
TEM PASS CATCHERSn=1929% VACATED
PASS CATCHERS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
PETER CLARKETERET
844TH YR7661★3+46
JOJO BERMUDEZWRRET
544TH YR809★3+10
JOEY SCHLAFFERTEPORTAL · PENN STATE
504TH YR245★3—
COLIN CHASEWRRET
474TH YR8528★3-1
RYDER KUSCHTERET
462ND YR6723★3-42
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
MEM SECONDARYn=21 · 1 ROOM80% VACATED
COVERAGE · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
IAN FOSTERSPORTAL · SOUTHERN MISS
513RD YR9678★3+23
ELLIS ELLIS JR.CBPORTAL · AUSTIN PEAY
504TH YR2364★3—
DYLAN KINGSPORTAL · SOUTHERN MISS
494TH YR6227★3-6
CHAUNCEY LOGAN JR.CBRET
464TH YR9945★3-32
DYLAN SMITHSPORTAL · OKLAHOMA STATE
453RD YR9528★3-25
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
RETURNINGPORTAL — PRIOR SCHOOL AND PORTAL STARS NAMEDLAST YR ≈ — RATES FROM HIS LAST MEASURED SEASON, NOT THE PROJECTED ROLEDEPARTEDVS COH = PRODUCTION vs OWN RECRUITING COHORT MEDIAN · CURVE = AHEAD / ON / BEHIND AT ±8 · PT% IS HIS SHARE OF HIS OWN ROOM · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
TEAM QUALITYHOUSE GRADE + REFERENCES
METRIC
TEM
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
MEM
SCOUT TEAM GRADE
42.4
53.5
— OFFENSE
36.2
57.4
— DEFENSE
48.7
49.5
SP+ OVERALL
-6.2
0.4
FPI
-4.6
-0.8
ELO
1330
1529
TALENT
631
670
PRODUCTION
36
50
TALENT − PRODUCTION ▾
+6
+2
BLUE CHIP RATIO
0.06
0.10
SCOUT TEAM GRADE DECOMPOSES INTO OFFENSE AND DEFENSE, EACH BUILT FROM THE POSITION ROOM GRADES ABOVE · ROOM WEIGHTS ARE MEASURED AGAINST UNIT EPA, NOT ASSUMED · SPECIAL TEAMS ARE NOT IN IT YET
FIVE FACTORSNATIONAL PERCENTILES
METRIC
TEM
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
MEM
OFF EFFICIENCY
35
65
DEF EFFICIENCY
15
33
OFF EXPLOSIVENESS
61
82
DEF EXPLOSIVENESS
42
11
FINISHING DRIVES
58
67
FIELD POSITION
66
100
TURNOVER MARGIN
76
31
THE FIVE FACTORS ARE CORRELATED, NOT FIVE INDEPENDENT DIALS · TURNOVER MARGIN IS THE LEAST STABLE OF THEM YEAR OVER YEAR
TEAM IDENTITYTENDENCIES THAT SET VOLUME
METRIC
TEM
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
MEM
PASS RATE
34.8%
42.0%
PACE
29.4s
29.4s
4TH-DOWN GO RATE
25%
21%
RUN RATE — STANDARD DNS
72.2%
63.9%
PASS RATE — PASSING DNS
52.9%
58.5%
PLAYS / GAME
61.3
61.2
GARBAGE TIME SHARE
0.0%
0.0%
EVERY ROW HERE IS COUNTED FROM PLAY BY PLAY · NONE OF IT IS A QUALITY RATING — FURTHER RIGHT IS MORE OF THE THING, NOT BETTER · SCHEME DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH-IS-GOOD · CELL SHADE = FBS PERCENTILE OF THE VALUE · DOTS PLOT BOTH TEAMS ON ONE 0–100 TRACK (GOLD = TEM, ORANGE = MEM) · MEASURED FIGURES ARE 2026, GARBAGE-TIME FILTERED
≈ MARKS AN ESTIMATED VALUE · A CARRIED FIGURE IS WHAT A PLAYER DID LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL
VACATED VOLUME IS STATED AS OPEN AND NEVER ASSIGNED TO A SUCCESSOR · SPREAD, TOTAL, ML AND IMPLIED TOTALS ARE CONSENSUS MARKET FIGURES · NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE