SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›SLATE›2026›WEEK 13›KU @ OKST›OVERVIEWMARKET FIGURES ARE BOOK CONSENSUS, NEVER MODEL OUTPUT
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
THIS WEEK
M-OH @ WMU0
KENT @ EMU0
TCU @ TTU0
TULN @ USF0
TEM @ MEM0
FAU @ ECU0
NEB @ IOWA0
MSST @ MISS0
TOL @ OHIO0
BUF @ AKR0
APP @ USA0
NDSU @ SJSU0
FLA @ FSU0
MINN @ WIS0
TEX @ TA&M0
WVU @ UTAH0
USC @ UCLA0
TENN @ VAN0
CONN @ WYO0
AUB @ ALA0
CCU @ JMU0
NAVY @ CLT0
NCSU @ UNC0
DUKE @ WAKE0
TLSA @ UTSA0
BAY @ HOU0
ARMY @ RICE0
GT @ UGA0
LSU @ ARK0
LOU @ UK0
LT @ GASO0
PUR @ IU0
SMU @ STAN0
UCF @ COLO0
MRSH @ ULM0
PSU @ MD0
KU @ OKST0
WASH @ ORE0
PITT @ CAL0
OU @ MIZ0
USM @ ODU0
UVA @ VT0
SC @ CLEM0
ND @ SYR0
ASU @ ARIZ0
UAB @ UNT0
BC @ MIA0
KSU @ ISU0
UL @ GAST0
CIN @ BYU0
MSU @ RUTG0
UTEP @ NIU0
ILL @ NU0
CMU @ BALL0
MICH @ OSU0
MASS @ BGSU0
KENN @ WKU0
LIB @ MOST0
SHSU @ FIU0
NMSU @ MTSU0
TROY @ ARST0
JXST @ DEL0
AF @ UNM0
NEV @ UNLV0
SAC @ HAW0
FIDELITY
MEASURED
DERIVED
≈ ESTIMATED
DOT MARKS
KANSAS
OKLAHOMA STATE
OVERVIEWPRESEASON PROFILE
MATCHUPHEAD TO HEAD
TEAMROOMS & PLAYERS
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SAT 00:00 ET|BOONE PICKENS STADIUMCONFTENSIONVACATEDTALENT GAP2|O/UCOLLISION
75
AP · FPI
TEAM
PTS
2025
TAL
OFF
DEF
RET
PACE
SOS ▾
IMP
ML
SPREAD
AWAY
—AP
62FPI
KUB12KANSAS
1-1
55
87
56
18%
73
—
0.0
—
—
HOME
—AP
54FPI
OKSTB12OKLAHOMA STATE
1-1
53
22
50
0%
99
—
0.0
—
—
IMP = IMPLIED TEAM TOTAL FROM SPREAD + O/U · OFF AND DEF ARE SCOUT TEAM GRADES AS FBS PERCENTILES · EVERY MEASURED FIGURE IS 2026CONSENSUS
DATA BASISNOTHING ON THIS TAB IS MEASURED YET · 2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
MEASURED0 OF 12 GAMES
Real 2026 data. It accumulates weekly and replaces carried figures metric by metric, on the schedules below.
CARRIED14 ROOMS
What each roster did last season, applied player by player. Transfers name the school.
PROGRAM PRIOR2 STAFFS
The programme's own prior identity — or, where the staff is new, the coach's career fingerprint with its sample.
PRESEASON FACT6 PER TEAM
Talent, recruiting, vacated usage, portal and coach status. Preseason inputs.
ABSENT2 CLASSES
Current season luck and situational splits. Shown absent with the reason, never estimated.
FLIPS TO MEASUREDABSENTNOT MEASURED. This asks how many weeks into a season each number becomes trustworthy, which is a within-season question. The back-test measures relationships between one season and the next, so it cannot answer it.
CEILING CHARACTERIDENTITY · NOT QUALITY
KU67CEILING
EXPLOSIVE
88
PROE
41
TEMPO
73
EXPLOSIVE88p
88
PROE41p
41
TEMPO73p
73
OKST45CEILING
EXPLOSIVE
10
PROE
25
TEMPO
99
EXPLOSIVE10p
10
PROE25p
25
TEMPO99p
99
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
2025 SEASONCARRIED FORWARD · 2026 HAS NO GAMES YET
KURECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs6.3-5.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
POINT MARGIN / GAME+1.3
KANSAS won 5 of 12 against a scoring profile describing 6.3. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
OKSTRECORD MATCHES
1-11ACTUALvs1.4-10.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING PROFILE-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-4
POINT MARGIN / GAME-19.2
OKLAHOMA STATE won 1 of 12 against a scoring profile describing 1.4. Both are facts about the same season; the market prices the first.
TEAM LEDGERKANSASOKLAHOMA STATE2026 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
VACATED USAGE — AND DID THE ROSTER REFILL ITOPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
VACATED USAGE BY ROOMLEFT OPEN, LARGEST FIRST
RB99%Daniel Hishaw Jr.RB · 49% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONLeshon WilliamsRB · 35% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONHarry Stewart IIIPORTAL · BOISE STATE · 9% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION1 FURTHER DEPARTURE
QB93%Jalon DanielsQB · 93% OF ROOM PARTICIPATION
WR/TE64%Boden GroenTE · 22% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONEmmanuel Henderson Jr.DRAFTED · 18% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONLevi WentzWR · 11% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION6 FURTHER DEPARTURES
OL61%Kobe BaynesOL · 19% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONBryce FosterOL · 19% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONEnrique Cruz Jr.DRAFTED · 17% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION5 FURTHER DEPARTURES
DL56%D.J. WithersDT · 13% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONJustice FinkleyDE · 12% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONTommy Dunn Jr.DT · 11% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION5 FURTHER DEPARTURES
LB55%Bangally KamaraLB · 33% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONJon Jon KamaraLB · 14% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION4 FURTHER DEPARTURES
DB39%Lyrik RawlsPORTAL · ARIZONA STATE · 16% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONDJ Graham IIDB · 12% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONDevin DyeS · 7% OF ROOM PARTICIPATIONROTATION5 FURTHER DEPARTURES
SHARE OF LAST SEASON'S ROOM PARTICIPATION THAT DEPARTED, LARGEST FIRST · OPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
PORTAL & CLASS INTAKE — WHO CAME INHEADCOUNT, NOT A PROJECTION
RBDylan Edwards · PORTAL ★3 · KANSAS STATEKory Amachree · SIGNEE ★3PARTIAL
QBJaylen Mason · SIGNEE ★3PARTIAL
WR/TEJailen Butler · PORTAL ★3 · OLD DOMINIONKevin Sullivan · SIGNEE ★3Jack Utz · SIGNEE ★33 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
OLConnor Stroh · PORTAL ★3 · TEXASNick Morrow · PORTAL ★3 · CALIFORNIAKaden Snyder · SIGNEE ★42 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
DLJibriel Conde · PORTAL ★3 · GRAND VALLEY STATE UNIVERSITYJibriel Conde · PORTAL ★3 · GRAND VALLEY STATETre'Von McAlpine · PORTAL ★3 · TULANE3 MORE ARRIVALSREFILLED
LBLandyn Watson · PORTAL ★3 · KENTUCKYJibreel Al-Amin · PORTAL ★3 · MARSHALLJosh Galbreath · SIGNEE ★31 MORE ARRIVALREFILLED
DBTrey Brown · SIGNEE ★3PARTIAL
PORTAL AND SIGNING-CLASS ARRIVALS AT EACH ROOM THAT LOST VOLUME · A HEADCOUNT, NEVER A USAGE PROJECTION
CARRIED GRADES & TEAM FACTS — THIS ROSTER, TODAYCARRIED FROM 2025, RE-HOMED PLAYER BY PLAYER · KANSAS
CARRIED COMPOSITE
43.964 PCTL
CARRIED OFFENSE
29.932 PCTL
CARRIED DEFENSE
51.876 PCTL
ROOM
GRADE
FBS PCTL
OPP-ADJ
TAL
RET
N
OBS
QB71718010062 OF 6 GRADED
RB595966286 OF 8 GRADED
WR/TE717158372315 OF 23 GRADED
OL686868511913 OF 19 GRADED
DL595960582018 OF 20 GRADED
LB54545945128 OF 12 GRADED
DB515159412018 OF 20 GRADED
TEAM FACTS — FULLY KNOWN NOWPRESEASON FACT
TALENT COMPOSITE55th55
BLUE-CHIP RATIO10%47
RECRUITING CLASS#61 · 1/18 BC55
CLASS RANK TREND-18 · 3 CYCLES14
PORTAL NET BLUE-CHIP0 · 31 IN / 26 OUT—
COACH STATUSRETURNING · 6th YR—
EVERY ROW HERE IS KNOWABLE TODAY — NONE OF IT WAITS ON A GAME
COACH PRIOR — WHO APPLIES, AND WHAT A CHANGE MOVESBASIS · PROGRAM PRIOR
OKSTERIC MORRISFIRST SEASON3 SEASONS · 1 PROGRAMME
A new staff, so the coach's own career fingerprint stands in for the programme's prior season.
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
9090
PACE
9191
PASS RATE
8484
EXPLOSIVENESS
9999
FOURTH-DOWN AGGRESSION
9898
HAVOC
22
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A NEW STAFF
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|8.61%n=240
|Δ HAVOC|2.50%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE|5.18%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|5.24%n=87
|Δ PACE|1.63sn=240
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
KULANCE LEIPOLD6TH SEASON4 SEASONS · 1 PROGRAMME
The programme's own prior season applies, under the same returning staff.
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
2222
PACE
1717
PASS RATE
1515
EXPLOSIVENESS
7979
FOURTH-DOWN AGGRESSION
5656
HAVOC
5050
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A RETURNING STAFF
|Δ PACE|1.37sn=929
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|6.72%n=931
|Δ HAVOC|2.10%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE|4.28%n=929
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|4.07%n=311
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
POSITION GROUPS — WHERE THE VOLUME LIVESKU OFFENSEOKST OFFENSERETURNINGDEPARTED
COLLAPSE ALL
▾QBKANSAS OFFENSE
NATIONAL
15OF 138
TAL
80
PERF
71
RET
100
NATIONAL
88OF 136
RET
4
FULL DEFENSEOKLAHOMA STATE DEFENSE
KU QUARTERBACKSn=60% VACATED
QUARTERBACKS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
ISAIAH MARSHALLQBRET
522ND YR880★3—
COLE BALLARDQBRET
493RD YR43—UNR+12
CHASE JENKINSQBPORTAL · RICE
483RD YR—45★3+36 2025
JAYLEN MASONQBTRUE FR
351ST YR—66★3—
BRAYLEN ROONEYQBTRUE FR
301ST YR——UNR—
SHOW ALL 6
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
OKST DEFENSE — GROUP GRADES3 ROOMS · 56 PLAYERS85% VACATED
DEFENSIVE ROOMS · GROUP GRADES
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
5435%4%
LINEBACKERSLB
404%0%
SECONDARYDB
4310%14%
THE QUARTERBACK PLAYS THE WHOLE SIDE — SHOWN AS ITS THREE ROOM GRADES, NOT MAN FOR MAN · PER PLAYER DETAIL LIVES IN THE OTHER DRAWERS
▾OLKANSAS OFFENSE
NATIONAL
18OF 138
TAL
68
PERF
68
RET
51
DL
53OF 138
DL RET
35
LB
97OF 138
LB RET
4
FRONT-7OKLAHOMA STATE DEFENSE
KU OFFENSIVE LINEn=1949% VACATED
FIVE-MAN LINE BY GRADE
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
AMIR HERRINGOLRET
673RD YR—85★3+34 2025
CONNOR STROHOLPORTAL · TEXAS
573RD YR—78★3+1 2025
ANDERSON KOPPOLRET
521ST YR—55★3—
DEANDRE HARPEROLRET
512ND YR—64★3—
JAMES LIVINGSTONOLRET
514TH YR—53★3—
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
OKST FRONT-7n=34 · 2 ROOMS78% VACATED
PASS RUSH · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
MALIK CHARLESDERET
824TH YR58—UNR+11
ETHAN WESLOSKILBPORTAL · NORTH TEXAS
684TH YR10045★3+21
JERRY LAWSONDTPORTAL · LOUISVILLE
624TH YR5485★3-9
SAADIQ CLEMENTSDTPORTAL · NORTH TEXAS
613RD YR6545★3-14
KEVIYAN HUDDLESTONDEPORTAL · NORTH TEXAS
593RD YR6764★3+1
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
▾RBKANSAS OFFENSE
NATIONAL
36OF 138
TAL
66
PERF
59
RET
2
DL
53OF 138
DL RET
35
LB
97OF 138
LB RET
4
FRONT-7OKLAHOMA STATE DEFENSE
KU RUNNING BACKSn=898% VACATED
BACKFIELD · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
JALEN DUPREERBPORTAL · COLORADO STATE
612ND YR7245★3+5
DYLAN EDWARDSRBPORTAL · KANSAS STATE
543RD YR8185★3+18
MICAH JOHNSONRBRET
522ND YR——UNR-23
YASIN WILLISRBPORTAL · SYRACUSE
453RD YR8064★3-18
JOHN KELLYRBRET
381ST YR172★3—
SHOW ALL 8
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
OKST FRONT-72 ROOMS · 34 PLAYERS79% VACATED
ROOMS IN THE COMPOSITE
WT
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
0.555435%4%
LINEBACKERSLB
0.45404%0%
EACH ROOM ON ITS OWN GRADE, NOT LISTED MAN FOR MAN · THE WEIGHTS DEFINE WHO PLAYS WHOM
▾WR/TEKANSAS OFFENSE
NATIONAL
11OF 138
TAL
58
PERF
71
RET
37
DB
115OF 138
DB RET
10
SECONDARYOKLAHOMA STATE DEFENSE
KU PASS CATCHERSn=2363% VACATED
PASS CATCHERS · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
NIK MCMILLANWRPORTAL · BUFFALO
664TH YR9445★3+25
CARSON BRUHNTERET
542ND YR3665★3—
BRYSON HAYESWRRET
521ST YR867★3—
TATE NAGYWRRET
522ND YR1143★3—
CAM PICKETTWRRET
484TH YR—45★3+12 2025
SHOW TOP 10
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
OKST SECONDARYn=22 · 1 ROOM90% VACATED
COVERAGE · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
CHRISTIAN BODNARSPORTAL · LIBERTY
743RD YR8428★3+11
LADAINIAN FIELDSCBRET
682ND YR5569★3+41
QUINTON HAMMONDSSPORTAL · NORTH TEXAS
633RD YR9164★3-17
MARKEITH WILLIAMSSPORTAL · MIAMI
544TH YR5845★3+32
EVAN JACKSONSPORTAL · NORTH TEXAS
524TH YR9764★3-2
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
RETURNINGPORTAL — PRIOR SCHOOL AND PORTAL STARS NAMEDLAST YR ≈ — RATES FROM HIS LAST MEASURED SEASON, NOT THE PROJECTED ROLEDEPARTEDVS COH = PRODUCTION vs OWN RECRUITING COHORT MEDIAN · CURVE = AHEAD / ON / BEHIND AT ±8 · PT% IS HIS SHARE OF HIS OWN ROOM · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
TEAM QUALITYHOUSE GRADE + REFERENCES
METRIC
KU
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
OKST
SCOUT TEAM GRADE
55.2
37.6
— OFFENSE
65.3
39.5
— DEFENSE
45.0
35.8
SP+ OVERALL
4.7
6.7
FPI
0.9
3.0
ELO
1485
1274
TALENT
685
673
PRODUCTION
58
72
TALENT − PRODUCTION ▾
−3
−8
BLUE CHIP RATIO
0.10
0.08
SCOUT TEAM GRADE DECOMPOSES INTO OFFENSE AND DEFENSE, EACH BUILT FROM THE POSITION ROOM GRADES ABOVE · ROOM WEIGHTS ARE MEASURED AGAINST UNIT EPA, NOT ASSUMED · SPECIAL TEAMS ARE NOT IN IT YET
FIVE FACTORS2025 · NATIONAL PERCENTILES
METRIC
KU
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
OKST
OFF EFFICIENCY
91
3
DEF EFFICIENCY
53
22
OFF EXPLOSIVENESS
6
19
DEF EXPLOSIVENESS
7
11
FINISHING DRIVES
67
7
FIELD POSITION
48
97
TURNOVER MARGIN
10
6
THE FIVE FACTORS ARE CORRELATED, NOT FIVE INDEPENDENT DIALS · TURNOVER MARGIN IS THE LEAST STABLE OF THEM YEAR OVER YEAR
TEAM IDENTITYTENDENCIES THAT SET VOLUME
METRIC
KU
FBS PCTL 0 ── 100
OKST
PASS RATE
42.4%
55.7%
PACE
25.9s
21.6s
RUN RATE — STANDARD DNS
64.1%
49.6%
PASS RATE — PASSING DNS
55.3%
67.3%
PLAYS / GAME
69.5
83.5
GARBAGE TIME SHARE
2.9%
0.0%
EVERY ROW HERE IS COUNTED FROM PLAY BY PLAY · NONE OF IT IS A QUALITY RATING — FURTHER RIGHT IS MORE OF THE THING, NOT BETTER · SCHEME DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH-IS-GOOD · CELL SHADE = FBS PERCENTILE OF THE VALUE · DOTS PLOT BOTH TEAMS ON ONE 0–100 TRACK (GOLD = KU, ORANGE = OKST) · MEASURED FIGURES ARE 2026, GARBAGE-TIME FILTERED
≈ MARKS AN ESTIMATED VALUE · A CARRIED FIGURE IS WHAT A PLAYER DID LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL
VACATED VOLUME IS STATED AS OPEN AND NEVER ASSIGNED TO A SUCCESSOR · SPREAD, TOTAL, ML AND IMPLIED TOTALS ARE CONSENSUS MARKET FIGURES · NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE