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HOME›SLATE›2024›WEEK 2›TUSK @ GRAM›OVERVIEWMARKET FIGURES ARE BOOK CONSENSUS, NEVER MODEL OUTPUT
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
THIS WEEK
DUKE @ NU75
KU @ ILL75
ARK @ OKST73
TEX @ MICH72
GT @ SYR71
MSST @ ASU68
BGSU @ PSU67
TTU @ WSU67
CAL @ AUB66
USF @ ALA66
WMU @ OSU66
ARMY @ FAU65
JXST @ LOU65
HOU @ OU65
PITT @ CIN64
NIU @ ND64
SHSU @ UCF64
ISU @ IOWA63
COLO @ NEB63
SC @ UK62
MTSU @ MISS62
EMU @ WASH61
BOIS @ ORE61
USA @ OHIO60
TENN @ NCSU60
USU @ USC60
BUF @ MIZ59
BYU @ SMU58
KSU @ TULN58
BAY @ UTAH57
GASO @ NEV56
TEM @ NAVY54
APP @ CLEM54
UTSA @ TXST53
ECU @ ODU50
SJSU @ AF50
CLT @ UNC48
UVA @ WAKE48
MRSH @ VT46
MSU @ MD44
CMU @ FIU43
UL @ KENN40
ORST @ SDSU38
AKR @ RUTG37
TROY @ MEM36
UAB @ ULM35
TLSA @ ARST34
MASS @ TOL31
LIB @ NMSU30
FIDELITY
MEASURED
DERIVED
≈ ESTIMATED
DOT MARKS
TUSKEGEE
GRAMBLING
OVERVIEWPRESEASON PROFILE
MATCHUPHEAD TO HEAD
TEAMROOMS & PLAYERS
VINTAGE2024
SAT 19:00 ET|EDDIE ROBINSON STADIUMNONCONFTENSIONVACATEDTALENT GAP|O/UCOLLISION
75
AP · FPI
TEAM
PTS
2025
TAL
OFF
DEF
RET
PACE
SOS ▾
IMP
ML
SPREAD
AWAY
—AP
—FPI
TUSKSIACTUSKEGEE
20
5-6
0
0
0
0%
0
—
0.0
—
—
HOME
—AP
—FPI
GRAMSWACGRAMBLING
37
5-7
0
0
0
0%
0
—
0.0
—
—
IMP = IMPLIED TEAM TOTAL FROM SPREAD + O/U · OFF AND DEF ARE SCOUT TEAM GRADES AS FBS PERCENTILES · EVERY MEASURED FIGURE IS 2024CONSENSUS
FINALTUSK20—GRAM37
TUSK
OFFICIAL BOX SCORE
GRAM
20
POINTS
37
380
TOTAL YARDS
384
275 (21-39)
PASSING
322 (18-30)
105 (30)
RUSHING
62 (26)
23
FIRST DOWNS
14
5-17
THIRD DOWN
4-12
0-0
FOURTH DOWN
0-0
30:25
TIME OF POSS.
29:35
5-45
PENALTIES
16-166
2
TURNOVERS
0
—
SACKS
—
—
QB HURRIES
—
TUSK
DERIVED · PLAY BY PLAY
GRAM
0.165
SEASON 0.069
EPA / PLAY
0.281
SEASON 0.031
38.9%
SEASON 36.1%
SUCCESS RATE
37.9%
SEASON 33.4%
25.0%
SEASON 19.6%
EXPLOSIVE RATE
25.9%
SEASON 14.5%
5.88
SEASON 4.96
YARDS / PLAY
6.24
SEASON 4.38
0.281
SEASON 0.349
EPA ALLOWED
0.165
SEASON 0.166
37.9%
SEASON 40.2%
SUCCESS ALLOWED
38.9%
SEASON 39.9%
25.9%
SEASON 24.5%
EXPLOSIVE ALLOWED
25.0%
SEASON 17.7%
30.8%
SEASON 28.8%
STUFF RATE
34.5%
SEASON 26.7%
OFFICIAL FIGURES ARE THE BOX SCORE AS SCORED. DERIVED FIGURES COME FROM PLAY BY PLAY WITH GARBAGE TIME REMOVED, SO THEY COUNT A DIFFERENT SET OF PLAYS AND WILL NOT TIE OUT AGAINST THE OFFICIAL COLUMN. A BRIGHTENED SIDE LEADS THAT ROW BY THE DIRECTION IN ITS TOOLTIP; TIME OF POSSESSION IS UNMARKED BECAUSE IT IS A TENDENCY, NOT A VIRTUE. SEASON AVERAGES ARE REGULAR SEASON ONLY. MARKET FIGURES ARE BOOK CONSENSUS, NEVER MODEL OUTPUT.
DATA BASISNOTHING ON THIS TAB IS MEASURED YET · 2024 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
MEASURED0 OF 12 GAMES
Real 2026 data. It accumulates weekly and replaces carried figures metric by metric, on the schedules below.
CARRIED14 ROOMS
What each roster did last season, applied player by player. Transfers name the school.
PROGRAM PRIOR2 STAFFS
The programme's own prior identity — or, where the staff is new, the coach's career fingerprint with its sample.
PRESEASON FACT0 PER TEAM
Talent, recruiting, vacated usage, portal and coach status. Preseason inputs.
ABSENT2 CLASSES
Current season luck and situational splits. Shown absent with the reason, never estimated.
FLIPS TO MEASUREDABSENTNOT MEASURED. This asks how many weeks into a season each number becomes trustworthy, which is a within-season question. The back-test measures relationships between one season and the next, so it cannot answer it.
CEILING CHARACTERIDENTITY · NOT QUALITY
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
No 2024 record, and no earlier season to carry forward for these teams.
TEAM LEDGERTUSKEGEEGRAMBLING2024 PRESEASON · NO GAMES PLAYED
VACATED USAGE — AND DID THE ROSTER REFILL ITOPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
VACATED USAGE BY ROOMLEFT OPEN, LARGEST FIRST
QB0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
RB0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
WR/TE0%Antonio MeeksPORTAL · LOUISVILLE · SHARE NOT MEASURED
OL0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
DL0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
LB0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
DB0%NOBODY LEFTTHE WHOLE ROOM RETURNS
SHARE OF LAST SEASON'S ROOM PARTICIPATION THAT DEPARTED, LARGEST FIRST · OPEN VOLUME IS A FACT, NOT AN ASSIGNMENT
PORTAL & CLASS INTAKE — WHO CAME INHEADCOUNT, NOT A PROJECTION
QBNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
RBNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
WR/TENO STARTING ROLE OPENEDINTACT
OLNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
DLNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
LBNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
DBNO DEPARTURE TO REFILLINTACT
PORTAL AND SIGNING-CLASS ARRIVALS AT EACH ROOM THAT LOST VOLUME · A HEADCOUNT, NEVER A USAGE PROJECTION
CARRIED GRADES & TEAM FACTS — THIS ROSTER, TODAYCARRIED FROM 2025, RE-HOMED PLAYER BY PLAYER · TUSKEGEE
CARRIED COMPOSITE
0.00 PCTL
CARRIED OFFENSE
0.00 PCTL
CARRIED DEFENSE
0.00 PCTL
ROOM
GRADE
FBS PCTL
OPP-ADJ
TAL
RET
N
OBS
QB————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
RB————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
WR/TE————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
OL————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
DL————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
LB————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
DB————0NO GRADING EVIDENCE
TEAM FACTS — FULLY KNOWN NOWPRESEASON FACT
EVERY ROW HERE IS KNOWABLE TODAY — NONE OF IT WAITS ON A GAME
COACH PRIOR — WHO APPLIES, AND WHAT A CHANGE MOVESBASIS · PROGRAM PRIOR
GRAM—FIRST SEASONNO CAREER RECORD
A new staff, so the coach's own career fingerprint stands in for the programme's prior season.
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A NEW STAFF
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|8.61%n=240
|Δ HAVOC|2.50%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE|5.18%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|5.24%n=87
|Δ PACE|1.63sn=240
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
TUSK—FIRST SEASONNO CAREER RECORD
A new staff, so the coach's own career fingerprint stands in for the programme's prior season.
HOW MUCH IDENTITY MOVES WITH A NEW STAFF
|Δ EXPLOSIVENESS|8.61%n=240
|Δ HAVOC|2.50%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE|5.18%n=240
|Δ PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED|5.24%n=87
|Δ PACE|1.63sn=240
MEDIAN ABSOLUTE SEASON-TO-SEASON SHIFT · 2016-2026 · MAGNITUDE, NOT DIRECTION — A NEW STAFF MOVES PASS RATE AND PACE BARELY MORE THAN A RETURNING ONE
POSITION GROUPS — WHERE THE VOLUME LIVESTUSK OFFENSEGRAM OFFENSERETURNINGDEPARTED
COLLAPSE ALL
▾QBTUSKEGEE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
—
TAL
—
PERF
—
RET
—
NATIONAL
—
RET
—
FULL DEFENSEGRAMBLING DEFENSE
TUSK QUARTERBACKSn=0RETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
QUARTERBACKS BY GRADE
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
GRAM DEFENSE — GROUP GRADES3 ROOMS · 37 PLAYERSRETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
DEFENSIVE ROOMS · GROUP GRADES
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
——9%
LINEBACKERSLB
——0%
SECONDARYDB
——0%
THE QUARTERBACK PLAYS THE WHOLE SIDE — SHOWN AS ITS THREE ROOM GRADES, NOT MAN FOR MAN · PER PLAYER DETAIL LIVES IN THE OTHER DRAWERS
▾OLTUSKEGEE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
—
TAL
—
PERF
—
RET
—
DL
—
DL RET
—
LB
—
LB RET
—
FRONT-7GRAMBLING DEFENSE
TUSK OFFENSIVE LINEn=0RETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
FIVE-MAN LINE BY GRADE
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
GRAM FRONT-7n=20 · 2 ROOMSRETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
PASS RUSH · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
ISAAC WASHINGTONDETRUE FR
524TH YR——★3—
JON HORTONDETRUE FR
474TH YR——★4—
JALEN RUDOLPHDTPORTAL · UTEP
463RD YR——★3—
BRYCE CAGEDLPORTAL · UTAH STATE
454TH YR——★3—
ANDREW JONESLBRET
454TH YR——★3—
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
▾RBTUSKEGEE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
—
TAL
—
PERF
—
RET
—
DL
—
DL RET
—
LB
—
LB RET
—
FRONT-7GRAMBLING DEFENSE
TUSK RUNNING BACKSn=0RETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
BACKFIELD BY GRADE
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
GRAM FRONT-72 ROOMS · 20 PLAYERSRETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
ROOMS IN THE COMPOSITE
WT
GRD
RET
BLU
DEFENSIVE LINEDL
0.55——9%
LINEBACKERSLB
0.45——0%
EACH ROOM ON ITS OWN GRADE, NOT LISTED MAN FOR MAN · THE WEIGHTS DEFINE WHO PLAYS WHOM
▾WR/TETUSKEGEE OFFENSE
NATIONAL
—
TAL
—
PERF
—
RET
—
DB
—
DB RET
—
SECONDARYGRAMBLING DEFENSE
TUSK PASS CATCHERSn=0RETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
PASS CATCHERS BY GRADE
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
PARTICIPATION SHARE IS OF THIS ROOM · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
GRAM SECONDARYn=17 · 1 ROOMRETURNING SHARE NOT MEASURED
COVERAGE · PLAYED THIS SEASON FIRST
OVR
EXP
PT%
TAL
★REC
vsCOH
CISCO CASTONSTRUE FR
353RD YR——★3—
KEVIN THOMAS JR.DBRET
—4TH YR——UNR—
MARKEL LINZERDBTRUE FR
—2ND YR——UNR—
KEN PIERRE-CHARLESDBRET
—4TH YR——UNR—
BLAKE DAVISCBTRUE FR
—4TH YR——UNR—
SHOW TOP 10
THE DEFENDERS THIS ROOM FACES, BY GRADE · THESE SIX COLUMNS DESCRIBE THE ROSTER · PASS RUSH AND COVERAGE DETAIL LIVES ON THE MATCHUP TAB
RETURNINGPORTAL — PRIOR SCHOOL AND PORTAL STARS NAMEDLAST YR ≈ — RATES FROM HIS LAST MEASURED SEASON, NOT THE PROJECTED ROLEDEPARTEDVS COH = PRODUCTION vs OWN RECRUITING COHORT MEDIAN · CURVE = AHEAD / ON / BEHIND AT ±8 · PT% IS HIS SHARE OF HIS OWN ROOM · UNIT-AGAINST-UNIT AND USAGE DETAIL IS ON THE MATCHUP TAB
EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH-IS-GOOD · CELL SHADE = FBS PERCENTILE OF THE VALUE · DOTS PLOT BOTH TEAMS ON ONE 0–100 TRACK (GOLD = TUSK, ORANGE = GRAM) · MEASURED FIGURES ARE 2024, GARBAGE-TIME FILTERED
≈ MARKS AN ESTIMATED VALUE · A CARRIED FIGURE IS WHAT A PLAYER DID LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL
VACATED VOLUME IS STATED AS OPEN AND NEVER ASSIGNED TO A SUCCESSOR · SPREAD, TOTAL, ML AND IMPLIED TOTALS ARE CONSENSUS MARKET FIGURES · NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE