SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›AIR FORCE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|TROY CALHOUN|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
AIR FORCE78 FPIMWC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
7FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1220 BC / 32
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs7.1-4.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.4
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HSTONY BROOK—W 38-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 26-33523838-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AUTAH STATE#22L 32-42268585-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HNEVADA—L 25-28374141-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HNAVY—W 35-7172222+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 17-21436464-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AUNLV—W 41-35311919+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HBOISE STATE#23L 38-48537979-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AARMY#19L 14-1773636-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HNEW MEXICO—W 42-24332424+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AWYOMING—L 27-35164848-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HCOLORADO STATE—W 27-19462222+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET89NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
ARION WORTHMANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
DONALD HAMMOND IIIQB JURET
★2—00%——
ISAIAH SANDERSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
MIKE SCHMIDTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
WARREN BRYANQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
17
BEAU ENGLISH IIIQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET46NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
CHRISTIAN MALLARDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
TAVEN BIRDOWFB SERET
★3—00%——
43
COLTON PARTONFB SERET
★2—00%——
19
NOLAN ERIKSENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
JOSHUA STONERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
KADIN REMSBERGRB SERET
★3—00%——
36
PARKER WILSONFB SERET
UNR—00%——
29
JOSEPH SAUCIERRB JURET
UNR—00%——
34
COLE FAGANFB JURET
UNR—00%——
9
MALIK MILLERRB SERET
★3—00%——
32
MATTHEW MURLAFB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
JAKEEM PATRICKRB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
34
TIMOTHY JACKSONFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
OMAR FATTAHFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
BENJAMIN WATERSWR SERET
★2—00%——
87
KADE WAGUESPACKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
7
GERAUD SANDERSWR SERET
★2—00%——
3
RONALD CLEVELANDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
ANDREW SMITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
JAKE MATKOVICHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
GARRETT AMYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
MARCUS BENNETTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
21
D'MOREA WICKSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
23
ISAIAH SAMPSONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
27
BEN PETERSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
BRANDON LEWISWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
LESLEY DALGERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
RHETT HARMSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
LUKE MILLERTE JURET
★2—00%——
13
LUKE BOHENEKWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
DANIEL MORRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JAKE SPIEWAKWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
DEANDRE HUGHESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVID EUREHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHRIS KANEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
KAMAKANI CROSBYHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
MALIK RODGERSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TIM MCCLENDONHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JACE WATERSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
GARY MOSSOP JR.HS RECRUITS★3UNR
MAX MASSINGALEHS RECRUITDUAL★2UNR
JACE BOBOHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
ALEX LUEDEKEHS RECRUITTE★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JA'MEL SANDERSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
NATE ROMINENOT LISTEDQBUNR—
GRANT ROSSNOT LISTED?UNR—
TYLER WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JAKE LACOSTENOT LISTEDWRUNR—
SANTO COPPOLANOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JACK FLORNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
BENTON WASHINGTONNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
LUKE STREBELNOT LISTED?UNR—
AUBREY DUTY-TYSONNOT LISTEDFBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#122NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 32 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7779COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST72% BACK72th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG72% BACK72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR89%89th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE