SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›AIR FORCE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|TROY CALHOUN|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
AIR FORCE#22 AP 38 FPIMWC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
5FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1070 BC / 55
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs9.5-2.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.6
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HCOLGATE—W 48-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14ACOLORADO—W 30-23663838+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20ABOISE STATE#23L 19-30527272+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 41-24312424+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ANAVY#20L 25-34147777+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HFRESNO STATE—W 43-24403939+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AHAWAI'I—W 56-26294747+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HUTAH STATE—W 31-7303737+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HARMY—W 17-1374545+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ACOLORADO STATE—W 38-21454040+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ANEW MEXICO—W 44-222599+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HWYOMING—W 20-6235050+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET90NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
MIKE SCHMIDTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
CHANCE STEVENSONQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
DONALD HAMMOND IIIQB JURET
★2—00%——
9
ZAC LARRIERQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
ISAIAH SANDERSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
WARREN BRYANQB SERET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET45NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
CHRISTIAN MALLARDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
TAVEN BIRDOWFB SERET
★3—00%——
43
COLTON PARTONFB SERET
★2—00%——
19
NOLAN ERIKSENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
JOSHUA STONERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
KADIN REMSBERGRB SERET
★3—00%——
32
MATTHEW MURLAFB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
TIMOTHY JACKSONFB JURET
UNR—00%——
44
OMAR FATTAHFB SERET
UNR—00%——
48
ROBERT GROSSFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
JAKEEM PATRICKRB SORET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
BENJAMIN WATERSWR SERET
★2—00%——
87
KADE WAGUESPACKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
LUKE MILLERTE JURET
★2—00%——
80
DANIEL MORRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
GERAUD SANDERSWR SERET
★2—00%——
82
RHETT HARMSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
27
BEN PETERSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
23
DANE KINAMONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
LESLEY DALGERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
LUKE BOHENEKWR JURET
UNR—00%——
11
JAKE SPIEWAKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
DEANDRE HUGHESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NATE POLKHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KYLE PATTERSONHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DEMETRIS DORCEUSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
NATHAN PETERSONHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
TREY TAYLORHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KAYMEN ST. JUNIOUSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DESMOND DORCEUSHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JOE QUILLINHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
MALIK SCURLOCKHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
COLLIN SUTTONHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT28 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AUSTIN CUTTINGNFL DRAFT R7LSUNR—
ARION WORTHMANELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
ABRAHAM NUNOELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
DANNY HIGHLANDELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
RONALD CLEVELANDELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
ANDREW SMITHELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JAKE MATKOVICHELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
KYLE FLOYDELIGIBILITY UPOLBUNR—
MATTHEW PHILICHIELIGIBILITY UP?UNR—
DAILEN SUTTONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#107NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 55 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7815COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST58% BACK58th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG58% BACK58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR90%90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE