SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›AIR FORCE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|TROY CALHOUN|—RECORD3-3|CONF—
AIR FORCE74 FPIMWC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
3FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1070 BC / 49
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-3ACTUALvs4.6-1.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.3
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE6 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
5OCT 3HNAVY—W 40-7152020+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24ASAN JOSÉ STATE#24L 6-17324747-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HBOISE STATE—L 30-49517373-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HNEW MEXICO—W 28-0211010+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3AUTAH STATE—W 35-73288+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
16DEC 19AARMY—L 7-1076060-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
JENSEN JONESQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
WARREN BRYANQB SERET
★2—00%——
15
BEN BRITTAINQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
4
HAAZIQ DANIELSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET59NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
JOSHUA STONERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
KADIN REMSBERGRB SERET
★3—00%——
32
MATTHEW MURLAFB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
TIMOTHY JACKSONFB JURET
UNR—00%——
10
CJ MCNEALRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
ELIJA ROBINSONFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
ROBERT GROSSFB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
BRAD ROBERTSRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
15
JORDAN GIDREYRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
DANIEL MORRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JAKE SPIEWAKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
DALTON KINGTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
RHETT HARMSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
MICAH DAVISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
27
BEN PETERSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
BRANDON LEWISWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
88
KYLE PATTERSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
CORBIN BLANCHARDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
WYATT WILSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
LOGAN MANNWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
JOSH MCCONNELLWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
BEN JEFFERSONWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
SETH MEADORWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BLAKE BURRISHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
WESLEY NDAGOHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
ADAM KARASHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
LINCOLN TUIOTI-MARINERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
RYAN IVESHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JALEN HODOHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ALEC MOCKHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
OLAWALE FAMILONIHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
KAISER CAMBRA-CHOHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CAMERON EVERTSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT44 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAIAH SANDERSSTANFORDQBUNRUNR
ZANE LEWISELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
GRANT THEILELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
BENJAMIN WATERSELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
GARRETT KAUPPILAELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
CHRISTIAN MALLARDELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
TAVEN BIRDOWELIGIBILITY UPFB★3—
COLTON PARTONELIGIBILITY UPFB★2—
KYLE JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
KADE WAGUESPACKELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#107NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 49 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8003COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST36% BACK36th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG36% BACK36th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE