SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›AIR FORCE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|TROY CALHOUN|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
AIR FORCE66 FPIMWC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
1FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#900 BC / 51
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs9.1-2.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+11.9
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
38MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HLAFAYETTE—W 35-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11ANAVY—W 23-372222+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HUTAH STATE#24L 45-49233939+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 31-7492929+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ANEW MEXICO—W 38-101988+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HWYOMING—W 24-14134141+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ABOISE STATE—W 24-17506969-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HSAN DIEGO STATE#25L 14-20316262-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HARMY—L 14-2155252+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ACOLORADO STATE—W 35-21333333+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ANEVADA—W 41-39294949+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HUNLV—W 48-14221212+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
JENSEN JONESQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
WARREN BRYANQB SERET
★2—00%——
9
ZAC LARRIERQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
HAAZIQ DANIELSQB SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
15
BEN BRITTAINQB SERET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET50NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
JOHN LEE ELDRIDGE IIIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
OMAR FATTAHFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
CJ MCNEALRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
ELIJA ROBINSONFB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
OWEN BURKRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
33
JET HARRISRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
EMMANUEL MICHELFB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
20
BRAD ROBERTSRB SERET
★2—00%——
15
JORDAN GIDREYRB SORET
UNR—00%——
13
JACOB TRACHRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
48
ROBERT GROSSFB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
JAKE SPIEWAKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
AMARI TERRYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
DALTON KINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
27
BEN JEFFERSONWR SERET
★2—00%——
82
CALEB RILLOSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
6
MICAH DAVISWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
13
BRANDON LEWISWR JURET
★2—00%——
7
DAVID CORMIERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
8
DEANDRE HUGHESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
DANE KINAMONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
KYLE PATTERSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
25
CONNER CAREYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
WYATT WILSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
25
JOSH MCCONNELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
RORY WHITEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
JAMES BRYANTTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARCEESE YETTSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KADEN MEREDITHHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CHRISTIEN HAWKSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ISAIAH HENDERSONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DRU POLIDORE JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TRE ROBERSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ZACH MYERSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAMAL MARSHALLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BRAYLON FOWLERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TYLAN HINESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JADON PEARSONELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
ELISHA PALMELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
JOSHUA STONERELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
KADIN REMSBERGELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
PARKER NORENELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
MATTHEW MURLAELIGIBILITY UPFBUNR—
DANIEL MORRISELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
GEORGE SILVANICELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
KUPONO BLAKEELIGIBILITY UPOL★2—
NOLAN LAUFENBERGELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#90NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 51 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7950COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
02 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST72% BACK72th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG72% BACK72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE