SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|TROY CALHOUN|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
AIR FORCE56 FPIMWC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
0FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
42%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1140 BC / 44
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs10.2-1.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.4
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE64
PERFORMANCE64
TALENT19
CONTINUITY42
DEFENSE28
PERFORMANCE28
TALENT20
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
27MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HNORTHERN IOWA—W 48-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HCOLORADO—W 41-105655+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AWYOMING—L 14-17112424+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HNEVADA—W 48-202444+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HNAVY—W 13-1002929+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AUTAH STATE—L 27-34171717+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AUNLV—W 42-7152222+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HBOISE STATE—L 14-19486161-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AARMY—W 13-714444+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HNEW MEXICO—W 35-31211+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HCOLORADO STATE—W 24-122755+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ASAN DIEGO STATE—W 13-3183636+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 22HBAYLOR—W 30-15717878-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB36TAL11PERF36RET98ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
HAAZIQ DANIELSQB SERET
UNR★25897%+41EMERGED
15
BEN BRITTAINQB SERET
★2—42%——
5
JENSEN JONESQB SERET
UNR—01%——
9
ZAC LARRIERQB SERET
UNR—00%——
17
CANNON TURNERQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
7
JACKSON DARLINGTONQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
TY BLACKQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB46TAL9PERF46RET98ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
BRAD ROBERTSRB SERET
★2—9647%+13—
24
JOHN LEE ELDRIDGE IIIRB SERET
UNR—7620%+42—
4
EMMANUEL MICHELFB SERET
★2—537%——
44
OMAR FATTAHFB SERET
UNR—424%——
33
JET HARRISRB SERET
UNR—332%-23—
26
OWEN BURKRB SERET
★2—322%-52—
28
AIDEN CALVERTRB SENO SNAPS
★3—161%——
10
JALEN JOHNSONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—161%——
36
SIONE ANGILAURB SONO SNAPS
UNR—90%——
30
KALE GIBBSRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE48TAL49PERF48RET89ONE OWNERn=2 · 3 METRICS · 4 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
82
CALEB RILLOSTE SERET
UNR★39668%-38EMERGED
88
KYLE PATTERSONTE SERET
★3—6722%——
7
DAVID CORMIERWR SERET
★3—6066%+38—
27
BEN JEFFERSONWR SERET
★2—506%——
8
DEANDRE HUGHESWR SERET
UNR—475%——
81
JAMES BRYANTTE SERET
UNR—468%——
2
AMARI TERRYWR SERET
UNR—444%——
21
CADE HARRISWR SENO SNAPS
★2—3111%——
2
BRANDON ENGELWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—299%——
23
DANE KINAMONWR SERET
UNR—289%——
81
ROCKY BEERSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★3171%—EMERGED
82
CONNOR MCINTEETE SENO SNAPS
★2—171%——
6
CAMERON BREIERWR SENO SNAPS
★2—102%——
11
WYATT WILSONWR SERET
UNR—71%——
4
KENDIN ALEXANDERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—01%——
94
KALEB TOMPKINSTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
RORY WHITEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
25
CONNER CAREYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL59TAL25PERF59RET5n=9 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL41TAL15PERF41RET65n=5 · 7 METRICS · 27 OBS
▸LB47TAL32PERF47RET89n=6 · 11 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸DB47TAL16PERF47RET95n=6 · 8 METRICS · 38 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACK CURTISHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
COOPER ROYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JARIS MCINTOSHHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JEREMIAH JACKSONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
DALLAS DALEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KEMPER HODGESHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
KADE FREWHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LUKE SUDULHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
AIDEN LALHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BOBBY PILAND JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAKE SPIEWAKELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JAMES JONES IVELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
WARREN BRYANELIGIBILITY UPQB★2—
CORVAN TAYLORELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
BRANDON GOODINGELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
KENNY NGAIMAELIGIBILITY UPNTUNR—
BRICE HONAKERELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
MCKENLY O'NEALELIGIBILITY UPDT★2—
DALTON KINGELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
CJ MCNEALELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#114NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 44 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8004COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST86% BACK86th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG86% BACK86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR5%5th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST95%95th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE