SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARIZONA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG 12|RICH RODRIGUEZ|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
ARIZONA43 FPIB12 · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
66FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#451 BC / 28
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs7.4-4.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.8
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
54MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HNORTHERN ARIZONA—W 62-24————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HHOUSTON—L 16-19586767-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15AUTEP—W 63-16700+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HUTAH—L 24-30718181-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ACOLORADO—W 45-42595050+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HUCLA—W 47-30926060-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ACALIFORNIA—W 45-44644242+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HWASHINGTON STATE—W 58-37556969-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AUSC#12L 35-49988787-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HOREGON STATE—W 49-28571515+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AOREGON—L 28-48847171-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AARIZONA STATE—L 30-42854747+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET79NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
KHALIL TATEQB SERET
★4—00%——
15
DONAVAN TATEQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
BRANDON DAWKINSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
ZACH WERLINGERQB —RET
UNR—00%——
4
RHETT RODRIGUEZQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
ANDREW TOVARQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
K'HARI LANEQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET97NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
34
ZACH GREENRB —RET
UNR—00%——
GARY BRIGHTWELLRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
33
NATHAN TILFORDRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
28
NICK WILSONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
25
ANTHONY MARISCALRB JURET
UNR—00%——
38
BRANDEN LEONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
21
J.J. TAYLORRB JURET
★3—00%——
36
BRYCE COLEMANRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
DAKOTA POERB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
36
NOAH PITTENGERRB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
JAMARDRE HARRIS-COBBFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
85
JAMIE NUNLEYTE SORET
UNR—00%——
2
TYRELL JOHNSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
3
CAM DENSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
18
CEDRIC PETERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
THOMAS REID IIIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
BJ CASTEELWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
BRYCE WOLMATE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
DEVAUGHN COOPERWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
TONY ELLISONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
SHUN BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
SHAWN POINDEXTERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
TREVOR WOODTE —RET
UNR—00%——
83
TERRENCE JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
TAYVIAN CUNNINGHAMWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
CONNOR HUTCHINGSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
DONOVAN WALKERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
ISAIAH RANDLEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
ISAIAH LOVETTWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
DARICK HOLMES JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
20
D.J. HINTONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
BRYCE GILBERTTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
ZACH BENJAMINWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
CHRISTIAN POEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
DONOVAN MOOREWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NATHAN TILFORDHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JALEN HARRISHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
COLIN SCHOOLERHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
TONY FIELDSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
RHEDI SHORTHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DREW DIXONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BRYCE WOLMAHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
MALIK HAUSMANHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
SCOTTIE YOUNG JR.HS RECRUITS★3UNR
KURTIS BROWNHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANU SOLOMONBAYLORQBUNRUNR
CODY IPPOLITOUTAHLBUNRUNR
MATT MORINNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
EDGAR GASTELUMNOT LISTEDPKUNR—
ORLANDO BRADFORDNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
ALBERT GREENNOT LISTEDSUNR—
AIULUA FANENENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
SANI FUIMAONONOT LISTEDDLUNR—
TREY GRIFFEYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JOSH KERNNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#45NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 28 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8410COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST74% BACK74th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG74% BACK74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR79%79th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE