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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARIZONA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG 12|JEDD FISCH|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
ARIZONA106 FPIB12 · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
51FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#750 BC / 20
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
1-11ACTUALvs2.3-9.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-14.3
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HBYU#19L 16-24326666-52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HSAN DIEGO STATE#25L 14-38316262-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HNORTHERN ARIZONA—L 19-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 25AOREGON#22L 19-41957171-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HUCLA—L 16-34846969-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ACOLORADO—L 0-34662020-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HWASHINGTON—L 16-21883636-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AUSC—L 34-41933838-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HCALIFORNIA—W 10-3724848-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HUTAH#12L 29-38788888-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AWASHINGTON STATE—L 18-44565757-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AARIZONA STATE—L 15-38828181-67BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET43NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
LUKE ASHWORTHQB SORET
UNR—00%——
15
WILL PLUMMERQB SORET
★3—00%——
3
JORDAN MCCLOUDQB SEPORTAL · SOUTH FLORIDA
★3★300%—HELD
9
GUNNER CRUZQB SOPORTAL · ARIZONA
★3★300%—HELD
18
NICK MOOREQB JUPORTAL · OREGON STATE
★2★200%—HELD
16
CAMERON FIETZQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET30NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
JALEN JOHNRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
29
JASHON BUTLERRB JURET
UNR—00%——
21
STEVIE ROCKER JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
MICHAEL WILEYRB SERET
★3—00%——
20
DARRIUS SMITHRB SORET
★3—00%——
21
DRAKE ANDERSONRB JUPORTAL · NORTHWESTERN
★3★300%—HELD
44
CLAY MARKOFFRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
NAZAR BOMBATARB SERET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
JAMARYE JOINERWR SEPORTAL · ARIZONA
★3★300%—HELD
88
ALEX LINESTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
THOMAS REID IIIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
STANLEY BERRYHILL IIIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
4
BJ CASTEELWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
BRYCE WOLMATE SERET
★3—00%——
3
JALEN JOHNSONWR SORET
★3—00%——
5
BOOBIE CURRYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
TAYVIAN CUNNINGHAMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
DORIAN SINGERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
85
ANTHONY SIMPSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
82
ZACH WILLIAMSTE SORET
★3—00%——
88
JADEN MITCHELLWR SORET
★3—00%——
80
CONNOR HUTCHINGSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
46
JACK KOCEMANTE SORET
UNR—00%——
85
ROBERTO MIRANDATE JURET
★3—00%——
84
TRISTEN D'ANGELOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
11
STACEY MARSHALL JR.TE SERET
★3—00%——
25
VALEN JONESWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
14
DYELAN MILLERWR FRRET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMES BOHLSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAVIONE CARRHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KEVON GARCIAHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DJ FRYARHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JACKSON BAILEYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
KOLBE CAGEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
STEVIE ROCKER JR.HS RECRUITRB★3UNR
COLBY POWERSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DALTON JOHNSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MATTHEW WEERTSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRESHAUN HAYWARDWESTERN MICHIGANLB★3★3
GUNNER MALDONADONORTHWESTERNS★3★3
ISAIAH RUTHERFORDNOTRE DAMECB★4★3
JASON HARRISCOLORADOWDEUNR★3
DRAKE ANDERSONNORTHWESTERNRB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RHETT RODRIGUEZUL MONROEQB★3★3
ROY LOPEZNFL DRAFT R6DL★2—
GARY BRIGHTWELLNFL DRAFT R6RB★3—
GRANT GUNNELLELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
LORENZO BURNSELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
MYLES TAPUSOAELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
NATHAN TILFORDNOT LISTEDRB★4—
DREW DIXONNOT LISTEDWR★3—
PARKER HENLEYNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DERRION CLARKNOT LISTEDLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#75NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8354COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1315 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST48% BACK48th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG48% BACK48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR43%43th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE