SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARIZONA STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG 12|HERM EDWARDS|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
ARIZONA STATE41 FPIB12 · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
80FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#362 BC / 17
BC RATIO
18%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs7.4-4.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.7
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HUTSA—W 49-73222+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HMICHIGAN STATE—W 16-13767878-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 21-28436464-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AWASHINGTON#13L 20-27889090-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HOREGON STATE—W 52-24511515+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6ACOLORADO—L 21-28623939+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HSTANFORD—L 13-20888181-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AUSC—W 38-35987474-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HUTAH—W 38-20668888-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HUCLA—W 31-28874242+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AOREGON—L 29-31826969-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AARIZONA—W 41-40645656+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
DILLON STERLING-COLEQB JURET
★4—00%——
5
MANNY WILKINSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
KURT WALDINGQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
RYAN KELLEYQB —RET
★3★300%—HELD
9
GRAYSON BARRYQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
BEAU BARRINGTONQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
BOBBY AVINAQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET6NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ENO BENJAMINRB JURET
★4—00%——
25
A.J. CARTERRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
31
ISAIAH FLOYDRB JURET
★2—00%——
28
TRELON SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
22
MARK COSGROVEFB SERET
UNR—00%——
35
BROCK STURGESRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
RYAN NEWSOMEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
TERRELL CHATMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
KYLE WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
BRANDON AIYUKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
RYAN JENKINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
TOMMY HUDSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
32
PAUL LUCASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
N'KEAL HARRYWR JURET
★4—00%——
88
CEEJHAY FRENCH-LOVETE SERET
UNR—00%——
TYERELL BALDONADO-KAEIOPUWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
FRANK DARBYWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
CURTIS HODGESTE SERET
★3—00%——
18
JOHN HUMPHREYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JARED BUBAKTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
80
MARK WALTONTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
ANGEL RUIZWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
TANNOR PARKWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
DEVIN NEALWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
BRANDON PIERCEWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
91
KYLE REMOWR —RET
UNR—00%——
90
JOSH POKRAKATE —RET
UNR—00%——
85
C.J. JARMONWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
92
MICHAEL GOMBERTTE —RET
UNR—00%——
89
JARICK CALDWELLTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
6
KYLE WILLIAMSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MERLIN ROBERTSONHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
AASHARI CROSSWELLHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JARRETT BELLHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
REGGIE HUGHESHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JERMAYNE LOLEHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
GEORDON PORTERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BROCK STURGESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
AJ CARTERHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
STANLEY LAMBERTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MICHAEL MATUSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BLAKE BARNETTSOUTH FLORIDAQBUNRUNR
KALEN BALLAGENFL DRAFT R4RBUNR—
CHRISTIAN SAMNFL DRAFT R6LBUNR—
J'MARCUS RHODESNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
ALANI LATUNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
CHAD ADAMSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
DJ CALHOUNNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DEMARIO RICHARDNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
TASHON SMALLWOODNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
MITCHELL FRABONINOT LISTEDLSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#36NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8651COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE