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HOME›TEAMS›ARIZONA STATE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG 12|HERM EDWARDS|—RECORD2-2|CONF—
ARIZONA STATE23 FPIB12 · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
85FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#248 BC / 24
BC RATIO
25%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-2ACTUALvs3.1-0.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+17.0
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE4 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
51MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
10NOV 7AUSC#21L 27-28938484-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HUCLA—L 18-25754141+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 11AARIZONA—W 70-7483535+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
16DEC 19AOREGON STATE—W 46-33634343+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET88NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
JAYDEN DANIELSQB SERET
★4—00%——
16
TRENTON BOURGUETQB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
ETHAN LONGQB JURET
★3—00%——
15
DAYLIN MCLEMOREQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
NATHAN MANNINGQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
DANIYEL NGATARB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
1
CHIP TRAYANUMRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
32
JACKSON HERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
CASE HATCHFB SERET
★2—00%——
3
RACHAAD WHITERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
DEMETRIOUS FLOWERSRB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
47
TAVIAN GOULDRB SORET
UNR—00%——
23
DEONCE ELLIOTTRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
24
NOAH VELLARB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
LV BUNKLEY-SHELTONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
84
FRANK DARBYWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
CURTIS HODGESTE SERET
★3—00%——
3
GEORDON PORTERWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
RICKY PEARSALLWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
ELIJHAH BADGERWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
1
ANDRE JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
14
JOHNNY WILSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
80
KYLE HORNTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
JOHN STIVERSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
KEITH DAVISWR SORET
UNR—00%——
28
ANGEL RUIZWR SORET
UNR—00%——
83
TANNOR PARKWR JURET
UNR—00%——
14
NOLAN MATTHEWS-HARRISTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
1
JORDAN KERLEYWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
JAKE RAYTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
JOSH HARTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
39
NICK JOHNSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
85
BRANDON PIERCEWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
39
NICK JOHNSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
17
CHAD JOHNSON JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
23
EVAN BURKHARDTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
19
CADE CADAMWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
36
JUSTIN FAISONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
MEKHI METCALFWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
RYAN MORGANTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
GIOVANNI SANDERSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOHNNY WILSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DANIYEL NGATAHS RECRUITAPB★4UNR
ELIJHAH BADGERHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
LV BUNKLEY-SHELTONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JORDAN BANKSHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
CHIP TRAYANUMHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
OMARR NORMAN-LOTTHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
CHAD JOHNSON JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JOE MOOREHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
CALEB MCCULLOUGHHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOEY YELLENPITTSBURGHQB★4★3
BRANDON AIYUKNFL DRAFT R1WRUNR—
ENO BENJAMINNFL DRAFT R7RB★4—
ROE WILKINSELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
TYLER WHILEYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TOMMY HUDSONELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
KHAYLAN KEARSE-THOMASELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
GEORGE LEAELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
KOBE WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
DARIEN CORNAYELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#24NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
8OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8735COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
11
6
3
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.3 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +4 W
IMPROVED7 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST51% BACK51th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG51% BACK51th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR88%88th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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