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HOME›TEAMS›ARIZONA STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG 12|SHAUN AGUANO|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
ARIZONA STATE75 FPIB12 · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
72FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
6%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1031 BC / 8
BC RATIO
22%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs4.7-7.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.3
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE56
PERFORMANCE56
TALENT59
CONTINUITY6
DEFENSE28
PERFORMANCE28
TALENT62
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HNORTHERN ARIZONA—W 40-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10AOKLAHOMA STATE—L 17-34727777-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 21-30203131+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HUTAH#10L 13-34779393-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AUSC#12L 25-42939292-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HWASHINGTON#8W 45-38858787-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22ASTANFORD—L 14-15852929+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29ACOLORADO—W 42-345655+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HUCLA#21L 36-50808585-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AWASHINGTON STATE—L 18-28507272-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HOREGON STATE#17L 7-31618484-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AARIZONA—L 35-38664141-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB54TAL28PERF54RET48ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
EMORY JONESQB SENO SNAPS
★4★37252%+18FELL
16
TRENTON BOURGUETQB SERET
UNR—7148%+40—
12
PAUL TYSONQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
15
DAYLIN MCLEMOREQB SORET
★3—00%——
10
FINN COLLINSQB FRRET
★3—00%——
18
BENNETT MEREDITHQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
19
MAX CLARKQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB40TAL77PERF40RET23ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
XAZAVIAN VALLADAYRB SENO SNAPS
★3—9973%+11—
21
DANIYEL NGATARB SERET
★4★36719%+7FELL
44
CASE HATCHFB SERET
★2—374%——
28
TEVIN WHITERB SONO SNAPS
★4—343%-20—
9
GEORGE HART IIIRB SERET
UNR—131%-47—
8
JAVEN JACOBSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
23
DEONCE ELLIOTTRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
29
BRYCE DOUGLASSRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE52TAL61PERF50RET56ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
ELIJHAH BADGERWR SERET
★4★49430%+22HELD
80
MESSIAH SWINSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—8859%+7—
6
GIOVANNI SANDERSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—8322%+11—
1
ANDRE JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★37618%-6HELD
22
BRYAN THOMPSONWR SERET
★3★37417%+24HELD
12
JALIN CONYERSTE SERET
★4★37339%+31—
14
CAM JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3566%-35FELL
CHARLES HALL IVWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—566%-13—
83
COOPER WALLACEWR FRTRUE FR
★3—2835%——
17
CHAD JOHNSON JR.WR SORET
★4—201%——
85
RYAN MORGANTE JURET
★3—141%——
87
BRYCE PIERRETE SENO SNAPS
UNR★3101%—EMERGED
20
SHAWN CHARLESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
ZEEK FREEMANWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
JOSH HARTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
JACOB NEWELLTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
84
JACK COLETE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
JUSTIN ROEHLTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
88
COBEN BOURGUETWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
ISAAC YATESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
4
PATRICK WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
MAX WAREWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL42TAL59PERF42RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL42TAL52PERF42RET70n=9 · 7 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB27TAL71PERF27RET100n=4 · 10 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DB56TAL64PERF56RET40n=11 · 6 METRICS · 53 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS8 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TEVIN WHITEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JAKE NEWELLHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
BENNETT MEREDITHHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ROBBY HARRISONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
BLAZEN LONO-WONGHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JAVEN JACOBSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CARTER BROWNHS RECRUITK★3UNR
ALONZO BROWNHS RECRUITWRUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHIP TRAYANUMOHIO STATERB★4★3
LV BUNKLEY-SHELTONOKLAHOMAWR★4★3
JAYDEN DANIELSLSUQB★4UNR
GEORDON PORTERNEW MEXICOWR★3★3
RICKY PEARSALLFLORIDAWR★3UNR
TOMMI HILLNEBRASKACB★4UNR
ERIC GENTRYUSCLB★3UNR
JOHNNY WILSONFLORIDA STATEWR★4UNR
KELLEN DIESCHELIGIBILITY UPOL★4—
LOGAN TYLERELIGIBILITY UPP★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#103NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 8 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8523COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST13% BACK13th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG13% BACK13th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR48%48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST40%40th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE