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HOME›TEAMS›ARKANSAS STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SUN BELT|BLAKE ANDERSON|—RECORD7-4|CONF—
ARKANSAS STATE78 FPISBC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
41FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1110 BC / 14
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-4ACTUALvs8.1-2.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.6
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
24MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2ANEBRASKA—L 36-43795252-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF—W 48-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23ASMU—L 21-44453636+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 43-25281010+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HCOASTAL CAROLINA—W 51-174———NON-FBS OPPONENT
8OCT 19HLOUISIANA—W 47-3161010+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 37-2162222+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ASOUTH ALABAMA—L 19-24341717+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HTEXAS STATE—W 30-12822+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AUL MONROE—W 67-50141414+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2HTROY—L 25-32264949-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET86NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
LOGAN BONNERQB SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
15
JUSTICE HANSENQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
CARSON COATSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
BLAKE DEVERQB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
1
ALDON CLARKQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET91NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
CHAUNCEY MASONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
30
JOHNSTON WHITERB —RET
UNR—00%——
21
JAMAL JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
ARMOND WEH-WEHRB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
WARREN WANDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
LARRY WOODENRB JURET
UNR—00%——
35
ALEX ROBERTSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
DJ CHATMANRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
RYAN GRAHAMRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
CAM DAVISRB SERET
★4—00%——
33
SHAWN RAINERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
KATON HILLRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
OMAR BAYLESSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
DARVEON BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
DIJON PASCHALWR —RET
UNR—00%——
16
BLAKE MACKTE —RET
UNR—00%——
14
CHRIS MURRAYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
13
CHRISTIAN BOOKERWR —RET
★3—00%——
9
JONATHAN ADAMS JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
5
KENDRICK EDWARDSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
JAVONIS ISAACTE SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
18
JUSTIN MCINNISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
37
AVERY JOHNSONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
16
BRANDON BOWLINGWR SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
80
ROSS PAINTERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
EUGENE MINTER JR.TE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
LEROY DESHAZORWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
JONAH HILLTE —RET
UNR—00%——
89
JIMMIE JACKSONTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
CONNOR HAAGWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
JONATHAN ADAMS, JR.WR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DWAYNE FISHERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
A.J. CAYETANOHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ALDON CLARKHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
LARRY WOODENHS RECRUITRB★2UNR
ANDRE HARRIS JR.HS RECRUITOG★2UNR
CHAD GOODENHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
JONATHAN ADAMS JR.HS RECRUITATH★2UNR
ZACH THOMASHS RECRUITPRO★2UNR
JUSTIN DUTTONHS RECRUITOG★2UNR
CALEB BONNERHS RECRUITS★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT28 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DARYL ROLLINS-DAVISAUSTIN PEAYRBUNRUNR
CAMERON ECHOLS-LUPERWESTERN KENTUCKYWRUNRUNR
CODY BROWNNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
CHAD VOYTIKNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
KENDALL SANDERSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
CHASE ROBISONNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
AUSTIN MORETONNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
DARRIUS ROSSERNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
QUANTERIO HEATHNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
CHRIS HUMESNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#111NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7833COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST77% BACK77th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG77% BACK77th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR86%86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE