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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BOISE STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
PAC-12|BRYAN HARSIN|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
BOISE STATE#23 AP 29 FPIPAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
53FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#571 BC / 25
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-3ACTUALvs9.8-3.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.3
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
54MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1ATROY—W 56-20185353+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HUCONN—W 62-72911+78BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15AOKLAHOMA STATE—L 21-44748484-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AWYOMING—W 34-14164848+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HSAN DIEGO STATE—L 13-19436464+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ANEVADA—W 31-27374141+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HCOLORADO STATE—W 56-28462222+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AAIR FORCE—W 48-3873535+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HBYU—W 21-16606565+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HFRESNO STATE#18W 24-17428888-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ANEW MEXICO—W 45-14332424+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HUTAH STATE#22W 33-24268585-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1HFRESNO STATE#18L 16-19428888-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET78NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
JAYLON HENDERSONQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
BRETT RYPIENQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
CHASE CORDQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET67NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
ANDREW VAN BURENRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
SKYLER SEIBOLDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
39
JAKE SHADDOXRB JURET
UNR—00%——
22
ALEXANDER MATTISONRB JURET
★3—00%——
34
ROBERT MAHONERB SERET
★2—00%——
32
SPENCER KEENERB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
OCTAVIUS EVANSWR SERET
★3—00%——
7
AKILIAN BUTLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
GARRETT COLLINGHAMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
JOHN HIGHTOWERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
KHALIL SHAKIRWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
85
JOHN BATESTE SERET
★3—00%——
47
MATT PISTONETE SERET
UNR—00%——
7
A.J. RICHARDSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
CHASE BLAKLEYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
8
SEAN MODSTERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
BILLY BOWENSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
CT THOMASWR SERET
★3—00%——
46
CODY SHOEMAKERTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KHALIL SHAKIRHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
TYNEIL HOPPERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
CHRIS MITCHELLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
STEFAN COBBSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ANDREW VANBURENHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KUKEA EMMSLEYHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
SCALE IGIEHONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
TYRIC LEBEAUFHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
RILEY SMITHHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
BRANDON HAWKINSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
REID HARRISON-DUCROSDUQUESNECB★3UNR
LEIGHTON VANDER ESCHNFL DRAFT R1?UNR—
CEDRICK WILSONNFL DRAFT R6WRUNR—
JAKE ROHNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
ALEC DHAENENSNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
CAMERON HARTSFIELDNOT LISTEDSUNR—
GABE PEREZNOT LISTED?UNR—
RYAN WOLPINNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
BRYAN JEFFERSONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
BROCK BARRNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#57NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8344COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR78%78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE