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HOME›TEAMS›BOISE STATE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
PAC-12|BRYAN HARSIN|—RECORD5-2|CONF—
BOISE STATE46 FPIPAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
51FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#650 BC / 17
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-2ACTUALvs4.4-2.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.7
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE7 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
38MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
8OCT 24HUTAH STATE—W 42-133288+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31AAIR FORCE—W 49-3032929+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HBYU#11L 17-51469595-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HCOLORADO STATE—W 52-21382828+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21AHAWAI'I—W 40-32312424+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12AWYOMING—W 17-9243737+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
16DEC 19ASAN JOSÉ STATE#24L 20-34324747+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET48NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
HANK BACHMEIERQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
6
CADE FENNEGANQB SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
16
JACK SEARSQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
2
ANDY PETERSQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
CHASE CORDQB JURET
★3—00%——
17
ZACH MATLOCKQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET74NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
GEORGE HOLANIRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
TYLER CROWEFB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
ANDREW VAN BURENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
37
DANNY SMITHRB JURET
★3—00%——
34
ROBERT MAHONERB SERET
★2—00%——
25
TAEQUAN TYLERRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
OBI GEERB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
OCTAVIUS EVANSWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
STEFAN COBBSWR SERET
★3—00%——
28
CASEY KLINETE JURET
★4—00%——
2
KHALIL SHAKIRWR SERET
★4—00%——
8
MACLAINE GRIFFINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
RILEY SMITHTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
JOHN BATESTE SERET
★3—00%——
88
TYNEIL HOPPERTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
8
KHYHEEM WALEEDWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
18
BILLY BOWENSWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
CONNOR RIDDLEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
CT THOMASWR SERET
★3—00%——
80
MASON SIKESTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
KADEN DELUNATE SORET
UNR—00%——
9
SHEA WHITINGWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
81
AUSTIN BOLTWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
LATRELL CAPLESWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
40
RUSSELL CORRIGANTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
32
TREVOR COLEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
86
TYLER EIGURENTE SORET
★3—00%——
80
MATT GREENWALDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
COLE WRIGHTWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LATRELL CAPLESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SEMAJ VERNERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HERBERT GUMSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
BRANDON HERNANDEZHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DONOVAN CLARKHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
RODNEY ROBINSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAYLEN CLARKHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
AUSTIN BOLTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KYLE JUERGENSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
ROBERT COOPERHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN HAPPLEOREGONS★3UNR
DEANDRE PIERCEARIZONA STATEDB★3UNR
EZRA CLEVELANDNFL DRAFT R2OL★3—
CURTIS WEAVERNFL DRAFT R5LB★3—
JOHN HIGHTOWERNFL DRAFT R5WRUNR—
JAYLON HENDERSONELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
DAVID MOAELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
KEKOA NAWAHINEELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
MATT LOCHERELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
AKILIAN BUTLERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#65NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8468COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST73% BACK73th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG73% BACK73th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR48%48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE