SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BOISE STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
PAC-12|ANDY AVALOS|—RECORD10-4|CONF—
BOISE STATE54 FPIPAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
48FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
8%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#621 BC / 24
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
9-4ACTUALvs9.7-3.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.5
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE44
PERFORMANCE44
TALENT57
CONTINUITY8
DEFENSE45
PERFORMANCE45
TALENT44
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3AOREGON STATE#17L 17-34618484-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9ANEW MEXICO—W 31-141211+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HUT MARTIN—W 30-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23AUTEP—L 10-27102525+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HSAN DIEGO STATE—W 35-13183636+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HFRESNO STATE#24W 40-20445555+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AAIR FORCE—W 19-1405656+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HCOLORADO STATE—W 49-102755+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HBYU—L 28-31234545+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12ANEVADA—W 41-32444+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AWYOMING—W 20-17112424+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HUTAH STATE—W 42-23171717+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3HFRESNO STATE#24L 16-28445555+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 17HNORTH TEXAS—W 35-32454444+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB70TAL74PERF70RET95ONE OWNERn=2 · 7 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
TAYLEN GREENQB SERET
★3★37670%+4HELD
9
HANK BACHMEIERQB SERET
★4★35825%+5FELL
15
SAM VIDLAKQB SENO SNAPS
★3★3264%—HELD
4
MADDUX MADSENQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—81%——
15
COLT FULTONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB62TAL67PERF62RET57ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
GEORGE HOLANIRB SERET
★3—9654%+6—
2
ASHTON JEANTYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—8734%+19—
36
ELELYON NOARB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3506%-26HELD
33
TYLER CROWEFB SERET
UNR—404%——
25
KADEN DUDLEYRB JURET
★3★3302%—HELD
37
ETHAN MIKITARB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
SETH KNOTHERB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
26
TAYLOR MARCUMRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE37TAL58PERF39RET91ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
RILEY SMITHTE SERET
★3—9645%-22—
3
LATRELL CAPLESWR SERET
★3—8829%+7—
88
TYNEIL HOPPERTE SERET
★3★38631%+10HELD
18
BILLY BOWENSWR SERET
★3—8526%+23—
5
STEFAN COBBSWR SERET
★3—8123%-2—
17
DAVIS KOETTERWR SERET
UNR—6512%+4—
87
KURT RAFDALTE SERET
★3★36314%-12HELD
85
MATT LAUTERTE SENO SNAPS
★3—5610%——
1
ERIC MCALISTERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3556%+37HELD
83
COLE WRIGHTWR JURET
★3—332%——
9
SHEA WHITINGWR SERET
★3★3251%—HELD
89
CONNOR RIDDLEWR SERET
UNR—70%——
86
AUSTIN TERRYTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—40%——
82
BEN FORDWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
AUSTIN BOLTWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
14
ZAMONDRE MERRIWEATHERWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
40
RUSSELL CORRIGANTE SORET
★3★300%—HELD
49
JACK BERESFORDTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
96
LUKE VOORHEESTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
HUNTER STEACKERWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL58TAL50PERF58RET0n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL51TAL40PERF51RET84n=12 · 8 METRICS · 63 OBS
▸LB55TAL49PERF55RET64n=6 · 10 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸DB42TAL43PERF42RET99n=9 · 6 METRICS · 54 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DISHAWN MISAHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
AUSTIN TERRYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JAYDEN VIRGINHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ZAMONDRE MERRIWEATHERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KAGE CASEYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ASHTON JEANTYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DIONTE THORNTONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ROGER CARREONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JJ TALOHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
KEENAN MCCADDYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
OCTAVIUS EVANSELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
ANDREW VAN BURENELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
DANIEL CANTRELLELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
KHALIL SHAKIRELIGIBILITY UPWR★4—
MACLAINE GRIFFINELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
SCALE IGIEHONELIGIBILITY UPNT★3—
DAMON COLEELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
UZOMA OSUJIELIGIBILITY UPOL★2—
RILEY WHIMPEYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JACK SEARSELIGIBILITY UPQB★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#62NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8305COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST64% BACK64th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG64% BACK64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR95%95th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST99%99th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE