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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BOSTON COLLEGE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
ACC|STEVE ADDAZIO|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
BOSTON COLLEGE69 FPIACC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
53FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#631 BC / 19
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs5.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
53MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HVIRGINIA TECH—W 35-28807171-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HRICHMOND—W 45-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 13HKANSAS—L 24-48472121+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ARUTGERS—W 30-16581010+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HWAKE FOREST—L 24-27535858-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ALOUISVILLE—L 39-41735353-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HNC STATE—W 45-24742727+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ACLEMSON#2L 7-59949898-69BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ASYRACUSE—W 58-27554141-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HFLORIDA STATE—L 31-38965757-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ANOTRE DAME#12L 7-40918686-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30APITTSBURGH—W 26-19706464-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET86NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
MATT VALECCEQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
DENNIS GROSELQB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
ANTHONY BROWNQB SERET
★3—00%——
10
DAELEN MENARDQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
SAM JOHNSON IIIQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET90NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
BEN GLINESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
39
ANDREW STRADERRB JURET
UNR—00%——
2
AJ DILLONRB JURET
★3—00%——
26
DAVID BAILEYRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
38
PETER STEHRRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
TRAVIS LEVYRB SERET
★3—00%——
5
PATRICK GARWO IIIRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
33
JAVIAN DAYNERB JURET
★3—00%——
48
QUIN STOTTRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
KOBAY WHITEWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
CHRIS GARRISONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JAKE BURTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
KORAB IDRIZITE SERET
★3—00%——
43
ISAIAH MIRANDATE JURET
UNR—00%——
1
ELIJAH ROBINSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
JOEY LUCHETTITE SERET
★3—00%——
11
CJ LEWISWR SERET
★3—00%——
80
HUNTER LONGTE JURET
★3—00%——
3
ETHON WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
4
ZAY FLOWERSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
SPENCER WITTERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
DANNY DALTONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
CHRISTIAN MCSTRAVICKWR SERET
★3—00%——
17
AIDAN HEGARTYWR JURET
★2—00%——
86
RAY MARTENTE SERET
★3—00%——
89
DREW MCQUARRIETE JURET
★3—00%——
87
NOAH JORDAN-WILLIAMSWR JURET
★3—00%——
17
EZECHIEL TIEIDEWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
44
BRENDAN SMITHTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
JEHLANI GALLOWAYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
47
CLIFFORD KURKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
49
KEITH RIDLEYTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
1
ELIJAH ROBINSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
9
KOBAY WHITEWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PATRICK GARWO IIIHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
SAM JOHNSONHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
SHITTA SILLAHHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
SPENCER BONOHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
BRYCE SEBASTIANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JACK CONLEYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BLERIM RUSTEMIHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
JACKSON NESSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
IZAIAH HENDERSONHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JOSH DEBERRYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVON JONESBOWLING GREENRBUNRUNR
TOMMY SWEENEYNFL DRAFT R7TEUNR—
CHRIS LINDSTROMNFL DRAFT R1OLUNR—
ZACH ALLENNFL DRAFT R3DEUNR—
WILL HARRISNFL DRAFT R3DBUNR—
MATT MCDONALDELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
KEVIN BLETZERELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
WYATT RAYELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
CONNOR STRACHANELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JOHN FADULEELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#63NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8523COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST80% BACK80th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG80% BACK80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR86%86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE