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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BOSTON COLLEGE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
ACC|JEFF HAFLEY|—RECORD6-5|CONF—
BOSTON COLLEGE54 FPIACC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
59FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#632 BC / 17
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-5ACTUALvs5.4-5.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.5
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
3SEP 19ADUKE—W 26-6643333+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 26HTEXAS STATE—W 24-21271111+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3HNORTH CAROLINA#18L 22-26849292-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10HPITTSBURGH—W 31-30746969-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17AVIRGINIA TECH—L 14-40768888-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24HGEORGIA TECH—W 48-27794242+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31ACLEMSON#3L 28-34989898-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7ASYRACUSE—W 16-13531919+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HNOTRE DAME#5L 31-45949797-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28HLOUISVILLE—W 34-27657171-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5AVIRGINIA—L 32-435451510BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET52NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
DENNIS GROSELQB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
PHIL JURKOVECQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
4
MATT VALECCEQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
10
DAELEN MENARDQB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
SAM JOHNSON IIIQB FRRET
★3—00%——
8
MATTHEW RUEVEQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET38NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
26
DAVID BAILEYRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
38
PETER STEHRRB JURET
UNR—00%——
23
TRAVIS LEVYRB SERET
★3—00%——
5
PATRICK GARWO IIIRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
33
JAVIAN DAYNERB JURET
★3—00%——
5
ANDRE HINES JRRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
39
JACKSON TREISTERRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
CJ LEWISWR SERET
★3—00%——
80
HUNTER LONGTE JURET
★3—00%——
JEHLANI GALLOWAYWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
JAELEN GILLWR SENO SNAPS
★4★500%—ROSE
3
ETHON WILLIAMSWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
4
ZAY FLOWERSWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
SPENCER WITTERTE JURET
★3—00%——
15
DANNY DALTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
5
KOBAY WHITEWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
RAY MARTENTE SERET
★3—00%——
89
DREW MCQUARRIETE JURET
★3—00%——
87
NOAH JORDAN-WILLIAMSWR JURET
★3—00%——
17
EZECHIEL TIEIDEWR SERET
★2—00%——
16
JOEY LUCHETTITE SERET
★3—00%——
44
BRENDAN SMITHTE JURET
UNR—00%——
83
JUSTIN BELLIDOWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
11
TAJI JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
86
CHARLIE GORDINIERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
HANS LILLISTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
18
ANDREW LANDRYTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
TOMMY BIRMINGHAMTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
JACOB KRAFTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
WILL PROUTYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
OZZY TRAPILOHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
KEVIN PYNEHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
KOREY SMITHHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
CHARLIE GORDINIERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JUSTIN BELLIDOHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ANDRE HINES JR.HS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HANS LILLISHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DWAYNE ALLICK JR.HS RECRUITOG★3UNR
TAJI JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KAM ARNOLDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
IRELAND BROWNRUTGERSOL★3UNR
ANTHONY BROWNOREGONQB★3UNR
AARON GETHERSWESTERN CAROLINADB★3UNR
AJ DILLONNFL DRAFT R2RB★3—
ELIJAH ROBINSONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
NOLAN BORGERSENELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
BEN GLINESELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
MEHDI EL ATTRACHELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
TANNER KARAFAELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JOHN PHILLIPSELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#63NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8514COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST51% BACK51th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG51% BACK51th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR52%52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE