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HOME›TEAMS›BUFFALO›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|LANCE LEIPOLD|—RECORD5-1|CONF—
BUFFALO#25 AP 40 FPIMAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
12FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1300 BC / 15
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-1ACTUALvs5.0-1.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+24.0
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE6 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
12MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
10NOV 4ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 49-301466+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HMIAMI (OH)—W 42-10131212+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ABOWLING GREEN—W 42-17922+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28HKENT STATE—W 70-41162323+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HAKRON—W 56-71022+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
16DEC 18HBALL STATE#23L 28-38132626+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
KYLE VANTREASEQB YRRET
★3—00%——
10
MATT MYERSQB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
4
TREVOR BYCZNSKIQB FRRET
★3—00%——
7
CASEY CASEQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
AARON CHASEQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
DYLAN MCDUFFIERB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
26
JARET PATTERSONRB JURET
★2—00%——
5
KEVIN MARKSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
2
RON COOK JR.RB SERET
★2—00%——
25
TAJAY AHMEDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
THEO ANDERSONRB JURET
★3—00%——
3
KOLBE BURRELLRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
43
LIAM O'MARARB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
30
RYAN RAZZANORB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
TREVOR WILSONWR SERET
★3★300%——
9
DOMINIC JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
ZAC LEFEBVRETE SERET
★2★200%—HELD
1
ANTONIO NUNNWR SERET
★2—00%——
44
JAKE MOLINICHTE SERET
UNR—00%——
8
JOVANY RUIZ-NAVARROWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
JAVIEN CUFFWR SERET
★3★200%—FELL
17
BERNARD PORTERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
13
TITO OVERTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
JULIEN BOURASSATE SORET
★2—00%——
27
STEVEN SHOEMAKERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
30
JOSH GRIFFENWR SORET
UNR—00%——
36
COLE BURNISTONTE SORET
UNR—00%——
16
LEMARO SMITH JR.WR SORET
UNR—00%——
88
DAJUAN HUDSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
TYLER STEPHENSTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
JELANI FOSTERWR SORET
★2★200%—HELD
3
DANIEL LEEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
35
MAX BOWDENWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
84
JACKSON WESTFALLTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
44
WYATT MOLINICHTE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
TAIYO IBURI-BETHELWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
11
MARLYN JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
84
LEVI SHETLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
CARLTON TODDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
TREVOR BORLANDTE SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
82
TYREE O'NEILWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
TAHLIQ BATTLEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GEORGE WOLOHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
BRYCE JOHNSON-MAITHHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JALEN MCNAIRHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CASEY CASEHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
KOLBE BURRELLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DEONDRE DOIRONHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
MICHAEL TETTEHHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
LONNIE RICEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MICHAEL FORD JRHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
TREVOR BORLANDHS RECRUITTE★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT1 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LEDARIUS MACKELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#130NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8043COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST100% BACK100th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG100% BACK100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE