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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BYU›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG 12|KALANI SITAKE|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
BYU#19 AP 40 FPIB12 · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
32FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#711 BC / 17
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs8.2-3.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.3
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
51MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AARIZONA—W 24-16511414+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HUTAH#12W 26-17788888-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HARIZONA STATE—W 27-17828181-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 35-27471616+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AUTAH STATE#24W 34-20233939+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HBOISE STATE—L 17-26506969-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ABAYLOR#5L 24-38718989-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AWASHINGTON STATE—W 21-19565757+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HVIRGINIA—W 66-49625858+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HIDAHO STATE—W 59-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
12NOV 20AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 34-17211010+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AUSC—W 35-31933838+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET10NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JAREN HALLQB JURET
★3—00%——
3
JACOB CONOVERQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
16
BAYLOR ROMNEYQB SORET
UNR—00%——
15
RHETT REILLYQB SORET
UNR—00%——
16
JAKE JENSENQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET95NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
JACKSON MCCHESNEYRB SORET
★3—00%——
26
MORGAN PYPERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
TYLER ALLGEIERRB SORET
★2—00%——
4
LOPINI KATOARB SERET
UNR—00%——
MILES DAVISRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
HINCKLEY ROPATIRB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
26
BEAU ROBINSONRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
23
THEO DAWSONRB SORET
★2—00%——
22
SIONE FINAURB SERET
★3—00%——
30
LUC ANDRADARB FRRET
★2—00%——
30
SOL-JAY MAIAVA-PETERSRB JURET
★3—00%——
52
FAKA'OSI NASILAIRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
PUKA NACUAWR JUPORTAL · WASHINGTON
★4★400%—HELD
45
SAMSON NACUAWR SEPORTAL · UTAH
★3★300%—HELD
29
CHRIS JACKSONWR SERET
★2—00%——
18
GUNNER ROMNEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
NEIL PAU'UWR JURET
UNR—00%——
5
DALLIN HOLKERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
MASEN WAKETE SERET
UNR—00%——
96
CARTER WHEATTE SORET
★3—00%——
36
TALMAGE GUNTHERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
KEANU HILLTE SERET
★3—00%——
83
ISAAC REXTE JURET
★3—00%——
15
BENTLEY HANSHAWTE SERET
★2—00%——
20
BRAYDEN COSPERWR JURET
★3—00%——
32
HANK TUIPULOTUTE SORET
★3—00%——
0
KODY EPPSWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
29
TEVITA IKAWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
88
TERENCE FALLWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
22
MASON FAKAHUATE SERET
★2—00%——
80
LANE LUNTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
KADE MOOREWR SORET
★2★200%—HELD
23
HOBBS NYBERGWR JURET
UNR—00%——
35
BEN TUIPULOTUTE FRRET
★3—00%——
90
LOKANA ENOSTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LOGAN FANOHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
VICTORY VAKAHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
RAIDER DAMUNIHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JOHN HENRY DALEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BENTLEY REDDENHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DYLAN ROLLINSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
VILIAMI PO'UHAHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
WESTON JONESHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ISAIAH GLASKERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
NATHAN HOKEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PUKA NACUAWASHINGTONWR★4★4
MUFI HUNTUTAHEDGEUNR★3
JAKOB ROBINSONUTAH STATECB★3★3
SAMSON NACUAUTAHWR★3★3
KALEB HAYESOREGON STATECB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS WILCOXNFL DRAFT R7DB★2—
BRADY CHRISTENSENNFL DRAFT R3OLUNR—
KHYIRIS TONGANFL DRAFT R7DL★2—
ZACH WILSONNFL DRAFT R1QB★3—
DAX MILNENFL DRAFT R7WR★2—
KAVIKA FONUAELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ZAYNE ANDERSONELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TROY WARNERELIGIBILITY UPDB★4—
BRACKEN EL-BAKRIELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
ZAC DAWEELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#71NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8430COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
53 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST56% BACK56th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG56% BACK56th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR10%10th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE