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● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BYU›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG 12|KALANI SITAKE|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
BYU65 FPIB12 · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
23FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
27%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#552 BC / 27
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs6.4-5.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.9
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE75
PERFORMANCE75
TALENT43
CONTINUITY27
DEFENSE21
PERFORMANCE21
TALENT43
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
51MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 50-215199+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HBAYLOR—W 26-20717878-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17AOREGON#15L 20-41969292-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HWYOMING—W 38-24112424+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HUTAH STATE—W 38-26171717+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ANOTRE DAME#18L 20-28937373-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HARKANSAS—L 35-52827878-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22ALIBERTY—L 14-4164444+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HEAST CAROLINA—L 24-27424848-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ABOISE STATE—W 31-28486161-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HUTAH TECH—W 52-26————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 26ASTANFORD—W 35-26852929+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 17HSMU—W 24-23555858-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB80TAL60PERF80RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JAREN HALLQB JURET
★3—87100%+33—
3
JACOB CONOVERQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
6
CADE FENNEGANQB SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
18
NICK BILLOUPSQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB50TAL57PERF50RET53ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 25 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CHRISTOPHER BROOKSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—8743%+30—
4
LOPINI KATOARB SERET
UNR—8032%-3—
MILES DAVISRB SERET
★3★35611%+18HELD
7
HINCKLEY ROPATIRB SERET
UNR★3539%+3EMERGED
30
SOL-JAY MAIAVA-PETERSRB JURET
★3—313%+37—
12
PRESTON REXRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—90%——
21
JACKSON MCCHESNEYRB SORET
★3—91%+41—
35
HOUSTON HEIMULIFB SENO SNAPS
★3—50%——
26
MORGAN PYPERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
ENOCH NAWAHINERB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
26
BEAU ROBINSONRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE67TAL32PERF67RET69ROTATIONn=7 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KEANU HILLTE SERET
★3—9639%+33—
83
ISAAC REXTE JURET
★3—9436%+15—
20
BRAYDEN COSPERWR JURET
★3—7731%-4—
2
CHASE ROBERTSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—7023%+29—
12
PUKA NACUAWR JURET
★4★46821%+33HELD
0
KODY EPPSWR JURET
★3★36820%+35HELD
13
MASEN WAKETE SERET
UNR—6714%-30—
5
DALLIN HOLKERTE JURET
★3★3496%-12HELD
87
ETHAN ERICKSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—485%——
18
GUNNER ROMNEYWR SERET
★3—393%-14—
80
LANE LUNTTE SERET
UNR—171%——
88
TERENCE FALLWR FRRET
★3★3131%—HELD
29
CHRIS JACKSONWR SERET
★2—100%——
96
CARTER WHEATTE SORET
★3—100%——
11
PARKER KINGSTONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—100%——
22
MASON FAKAHUATE SERET
★2—90%——
36
TALMAGE GUNTHERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
23
HOBBS NYBERGWR JURET
UNR—00%——
47
KYLE HESTERTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
KADE MOOREWR SORET
★2★200%—HELD
82
QUENTON RICEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
9
DOMINIQUE HENRYWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
30
KYSON HALLWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
85
ANTHONY OLSENTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL70TAL62PERF70RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL38TAL28PERF38RET96n=12 · 7 METRICS · 51 OBS
▸LB27TAL59PERF27RET96n=7 · 10 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸DB51TAL44PERF51RET54n=9 · 6 METRICS · 41 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AISEA MOAHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
CODY HAGENHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DOMINIQUE MCKENZIEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MARCUS MCKENZIEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
NOAH MOEAKIHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JARINN KALAMAHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MICAH WILSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TALIN TOGIAIHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ZOOM ESPLINHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
PETER FALANIKOHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JARED KAPISIELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
SAMSON NACUAELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
URIAH LEIATAUAELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
MITCHELL PRICEELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
NEIL PAU'UNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
SHAMON WILLISNOT LISTEDDB★2—
TYLER ALLGEIERNOT LISTEDRB★2—
ISAIAH HERRONNOT LISTEDDB★2—
BAYLOR ROMNEYNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
DREW JENSENNOT LISTEDLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#55NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8362COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST58% BACK58th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG58% BACK58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST54%54th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE