SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›CALIFORNIA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
ACC|JUSTIN WILCOX|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
CALIFORNIA55 FPIACC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
64FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#702 BC / 16
BC RATIO
16%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs5.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.7
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2ANORTH CAROLINA—W 35-30805757-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HWEBER STATE—W 33-20————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16HOLE MISS—W 27-16888080-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HUSC#12L 20-30988787-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AOREGON—L 24-45847171-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AWASHINGTON#16L 7-38839393-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HWASHINGTON STATE—W 37-3556969-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HARIZONA—L 44-45665454-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ACOLORADO—L 28-44595050-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HOREGON STATE—W 37-23571515+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ASTANFORD#20L 14-17908585-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AUCLA—L 27-30926060-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
ROSS BOWERSQB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
14
CHASE FORRESTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
BRANDON MCILWAINQB SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET58NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
34
ZION ECHOLSRB SERET
★3—00%——
23
VIC ENWERERB —RET
UNR—00%——
33
DERRICK CLARKRB SORET
★3—00%——
28
PATRICK LAIRDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
99
MALIK MCMORRISFB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
TRE WATSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
ALEX NETHERDARB SERET
UNR—00%——
29
BIAGGIO ALI WALSHRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
23
MARCEL DANCYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
DESHAWN COLLINSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
40
JUSTIN NORBECKFB —RET
UNR—00%——
34
FABIANO HALERB —RET
UNR—00%——
30
BILLY MCCRARY IIIRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
JORDAN VEASYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
10
JEREMIAH HAWKINSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
2
JORDAN DUNCANWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
GAVIN REINWALDTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
9
KANAWAI NOAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
VIC WHARTON IIIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
30
MATT ROCKETTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
KYLE WELLSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
BRANDON SINGLETONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
16
DEMETRIS ROBERTSONWR SERET
★5★300%—FELL
11
RAY HUDSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JAKE ASHTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
MELQUISE STOVALLWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
80
TREVON CLARKWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
ERIK PHILLIPWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
CHAS PETERSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
89
MATT LARISTE —RET
★3—00%——
88
TAARIQ JOHNSONWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
94
TREVOR HOWARDTE —RET
UNR—00%——
32
PARKER CARDWELLWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
GREYSON BANKHEADWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELIJAH HICKSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
CHASE GARBERSHS RECRUITPRO★4UNR
TAARIQ JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BIAGGIO ALI WALSHHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
JEREMIAH HAWKINSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
POUTASI POUTASIHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
BRANDEN SMITHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
GABRIEL CHERRYHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
BEN MOOSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
MICHAEL SAFFELLHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVIS WEBBNFL DRAFT R3QBUNR—
CHAD HANSENNFL DRAFT R4WRUNR—
DEVANTE WILSONNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
PATRICK WORSTELLNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
NOAH BEITONOT LISTEDPKUNR—
STEVEN MOORENOT LISTEDOLUNR—
BRADLEY NORTHNAGELNOT LISTEDLSUNR—
CAMERON WALKERNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
KHALFANI MUHAMMADNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
JACK AUSTINNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#70NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8436COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST35% BACK35th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG35% BACK35th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE