SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›CALIFORNIA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
ACC|JUSTIN WILCOX|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
CALIFORNIA52 FPIACC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
68FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#422 BC / 22
BC RATIO
15%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs6.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.5
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HNORTH CAROLINA—W 24-17803333+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8ABYU—W 21-18606565-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HIDAHO STATE—W 45-23————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 29HOREGON—L 24-42826969-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AARIZONA—L 17-24645656+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HUCLA—L 7-37874242+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AOREGON STATE—W 49-7511515+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HWASHINGTON#13W 12-10889090-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AWASHINGTON STATE#10L 13-19567676-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AUSC—W 15-14987474-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HCOLORADO—W 33-21623939+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1HSTANFORD—L 13-23888181-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
ROSS BOWERSQB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
5
BRANDON MCILWAINQB SORET
★4—00%——
14
CHASE FORRESTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
CHASE GARBERSQB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
8
JACK NEWMANQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET62NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
ALEX NETHERDARB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
MARCEL DANCYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
CHRISTOPHER BROWN JR.RB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
DERRICK CLARKRB SORET
★3—00%——
28
PATRICK LAIRDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
99
MALIK MCMORRISFB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
BIAGGO ALI WALSHRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
BIAGGIO ALI WALSHRB SORET
★3—00%——
26
DESHAWN COLLINSRB JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
40
JUSTIN NORBECKFB —RET
UNR—00%——
32
JOHNNY ADAMS JR.RB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
JEREMIAH HAWKINSWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
2
JORDAN DUNCANWR SERET
★3—00%——
1
NIKKO REMIGIOWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
88
RYAN REGANWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
85
MAURICE WAYSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
IAN BUNTINGTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
KANAWAI NOAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
34
MCCALLAN CASTLESTE SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
85
JAKE TONGESTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
RAY HUDSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
VIC WHARTON IIIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JAKE ASHTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
BRANDON SINGLETONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
21
RICKY WALKER IIIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
MATT ROCKETTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
KYLE WELLSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
COLLIN MOORETE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
GAVIN REINWALDTE SERET
★2—00%——
39
EVAN KINGWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
TREVON CLARKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
MOE WAYSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
HIROAKI ENDOWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
GREYSON BANKHEADWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILL CRAIGHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
NIKKO REMIGIOHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
MCCALLAN CASTLESHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
CHRISTOPHER BROOKSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CHIGOZIE ANUSIEMHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JOHNNY ADAMSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
AARON MALDONADOHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JOSEPH OGUNBANJOHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
EVAN TATTERSALLHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
NICK ALFTINHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DYLAN KLUMPHARIZONAPUNRUNR
TRE WATSONTEXASRBUNRUNR
DEMETRIS ROBERTSONGEORGIAWR★5★3
JAMES LOONEYNFL DRAFT R7DEUNR—
DEVANTE DOWNSNFL DRAFT R7ILBUNR—
ZION ECHOLSELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
CAMERON SAFFLENOT LISTEDOLBUNR—
JACOB ANDERSONNOT LISTEDSUNR—
JORDAN VEASYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
MARLOSHAWN FRANKLIN JR.NOT LISTEDCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#42NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8482COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST82% BACK82th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG82% BACK82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE