SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›CINCINNATI›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG 12|LUKE FICKELL|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
CINCINNATI106 FPIB12 · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
46FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#630 BC / 24
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs3.2-8.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-10.9
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HAUSTIN PEAY—W 26-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9AMICHIGAN—L 14-36959090-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AMIAMI (OH)—W 21-17374040-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ANAVY—L 32-42324343-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HMARSHALL—L 21-38423333-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HUCF#6L 23-51608383-58BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ASOUTH FLORIDA#21L 3-33567575-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HSMU—L 28-31453636-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ATULANE—W 17-16362626-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HTEMPLE—L 24-35434444-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AEAST CAROLINA—L 20-48451313+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HUCONN—W 22-213966+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET72NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
ROSS TRAILQB —RET
UNR—00%——
8
HAYDEN MOOREQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
JAKE SOPKOQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
MICHAEL WARREN IIRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
MIKE BOONERB —RET
UNR—00%——
22
JAELEN GREENERB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
24
TAYLOR BOOSERB JURET
UNR—00%——
23
GERRID DOAKSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
CHARLES MCCLELLANDRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
CAMERON YOUNGRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
HUNTER GILLESPIERB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KAHLIL LEWISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
JOSIAH DEGUARATE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
THOMAS GEDDISWR SERET
★3—00%——
15
JAQUAY SAVAGEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
TYLER COGSWELLTE —RET
UNR—00%——
14
JJ PINCKNEYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
21
DEVIN GRAYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
17
RASHAD MEDARISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
JERRON ROLLINSWR JURET
★3—00%——
4
JAVAN HAWESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
87
BRUNO LABELLETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
8
MALICK MBODJWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
GARRETT WEAVERTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
MARCEL PAULWR —RET
★3—00%——
89
JAKE ELFERSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
19
TYRIN SUMMERSWR —RET
★3—00%——
86
JACK PETERSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
BRAXTON NEALWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
R.J. POTTSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MICHAEL WARRENHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JARELL WHITEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
BEN HUTCHHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JAELEN GREENEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAVAN HAWESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MARQUESE TAYLORHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TRENT CLOUDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LORENZO MCCASKILLHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
KYLE BOLDENHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAM GERACILOUISIANAPUNRUNR
MIKE TYSONNFL DRAFT R6SUNR—
GUNNER KIELNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
AVERY JOHNSONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DEYSHAWN BONDNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
FRANKLIN BRUSCIANELLINOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DEIONTE BUCKLEYNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
NATE COLENOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DJ DOWDYNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
TION GREENNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#63NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8281COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST61% BACK61th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG61% BACK61th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR72%72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE