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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›CINCINNATI›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG 12|LUKE FICKELL|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
CINCINNATI#24 AP 44 FPIB12 · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
54FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#481 BC / 25
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-2ACTUALvs10.4-1.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+18.8
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
38MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AUCLA—W 26-17874242+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8AMIAMI (OH)—W 21-0353939+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HALABAMA A&M—W 63-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 22HOHIO—W 34-30155959+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AUCONN—W 49-72911+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HTULANE—W 37-21403131+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ATEMPLE—L 17-24455454+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ASMU—W 26-20472929+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HNAVY—W 42-0172222+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 35-23553636+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AUCF#11L 13-38618787-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HEAST CAROLINA—W 56-6391616+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DESMOND RIDDERQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
JAKE SOPKOQB SERET
★3—00%——
8
HAYDEN MOOREQB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
BEN BRYANTQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
JOHN KELLERQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET56NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
MICHAEL WARREN IIRB JURET
★3—00%——
9
TAVION THOMASRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
24
TAYLOR BOOSERB JURET
UNR—00%——
23
GERRID DOAKSRB SERET
★3—00%——
30
MICHAEL KOPAYGORODSKYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
CHARLES MCCLELLANDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
CAMERON YOUNGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
41
COLIN THURMANRB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KAHLIL LEWISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
JOSIAH DEGUARATE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
THOMAS GEDDISWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
MALICK MBODJWR JURET
★3—00%——
13
TRENT CLOUDWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
RASHAD MEDARISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
JERRON ROLLINSWR JURET
★3—00%——
4
JAVAN HAWESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
87
BRUNO LABELLETE SERET
★3—00%——
12
JAYSHON JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
ALEC PIERCEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
LEONARD TAYLORTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
19
TYRIN SUMMERSWR —RET
★3—00%——
89
JAKE PETERSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
JACK PETERSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
88
BRAXTON NEALWR —RET
UNR—00%——
18
MEECHI HARRISWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LEONARD TAYLORHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
TAVION THOMASHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JOSH WHYLEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
MALIK VANNHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
MEECHI HARRISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ARQUON BUSHHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
BEN BRYANTHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
LORENZ METZHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CHARLES MCCLELLANDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MYJAI SANDERSHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLYIN MINORNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
NORMAN OGLESBYNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
SHELDON DOSSNOT LISTEDSUNR—
ROSS TRAILNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
JAQUAY SAVAGENOT LISTEDWRUNR—
TYLER COGSWELLNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
GRANT COLEMANNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
DAVID NIEHAUSNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
MARK WILSONNOT LISTEDDE★2—
JON VINCENTNOT LISTEDLSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#48NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8443COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST76% BACK76th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG76% BACK76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE