SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›CINCINNATI›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG 12|LUKE FICKELL|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
CINCINNATI#21 AP 30 FPIB12 · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
56FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#790 BC / 17
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-3ACTUALvs8.7-4.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.3
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
50MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HUCLA—W 24-14854040+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7AOHIO STATE#3L 0-4299100100-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HMIAMI (OH)—W 35-13182222+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AMARSHALL—W 52-14434747+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HUCF#24W 27-24619090-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AHOUSTON—W 38-23613737+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HTULSA—W 24-13314444+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AEAST CAROLINA—W 46-43391111+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HUCONN—W 48-32833+71BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 20-17502121+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HTEMPLE—W 15-13426161+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AMEMPHIS#17L 24-34498888-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 7AMEMPHIS#17L 24-29498888-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET86NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DESMOND RIDDERQB SERET
★3—00%——
10
JAKE SOPKOQB SERET
★3—00%——
2
BEN BRYANTQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
19
COLE KOSCOQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
10
MICHAEL LINDAUERQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET83NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
MICHAEL WARREN IIRB JURET
★3—00%——
9
TAVION THOMASRB JURET
★4—00%——
23
GERRID DOAKSRB SERET
★3—00%——
30
MICHAEL KOPAYGORODSKYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
RYAN MONTGOMERYRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
CHARLES MCCLELLANDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
JJ DAVISRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
25
CAMERON YOUNGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
JOSIAH DEGUARATE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
THOMAS GEDDISWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
MALICK MBODJWR JURET
★3—00%——
13
TRENT CLOUDWR SERET
★3—00%——
17
RASHAD MEDARISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
BRUNO LABELLETE SERET
★3—00%——
12
JAYSHON JACKSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
14
WYATT FISCHERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
ALEC PIERCEWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
LEONARD TAYLORTE SERET
★4—00%——
81
JOSH WHYLETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
BLUE SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
1
TRE TUCKERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
JAVAN HAWESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
GARYN PRATERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
NATE LAWLERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
BRYANT JOHNSON IIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
JIAIR THOMASWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
BRAY GINYARDWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
JACK CAMPBELLTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
BLUE SMITHWR —NO SNAPS
★4—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAM JONESHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JUSTIN HARRISHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JONATHAN ALLENHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
STEVEN HAWTHORNEHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
DORIAN HOLLOWAYHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ZACH HUMMELHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
IZAIAH RUFFINHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
TRE TUCKERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MICHAEL LINDAUERHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JACOB DINGLEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARQUIS SMITHWESTERN ILLINOISCB★3UNR
TY SPONSELLERELONLB★3UNR
CORTEZ BROUGHTONNFL DRAFT R7DTUNR—
HAYDEN MOOREELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
KIMONI FITZELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
TYRELL GILBERTELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
CHRIS MURPHYELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
MALIK CLEMENTSELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
MARQUISE COPELANDELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
KAHLIL LEWISELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#79NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8414COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST86% BACK86th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG86% BACK86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR86%86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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