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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
ACC|DABO SWINNEY|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
CLEMSON31 FPIACC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
96FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
91%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
87%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#267 BC / 15
BC RATIO
55%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs8.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.3
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE68
PERFORMANCE68
TALENT90
CONTINUITY91
DEFENSE78
PERFORMANCE78
TALENT86
CONTINUITY87
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HLSU—L 10-17967777-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HTROY—W 27-16283636+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13AGEORGIA TECH—L 21-24727575+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HSYRACUSE—L 21-34761616+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4ANORTH CAROLINA—W 38-10783333+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11ABOSTON COLLEGE—W 41-10502929+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HSMU—L 24-35828484-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HDUKE—L 45-46586868+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HFLORIDA STATE—W 24-10877070+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 14ALOUISVILLE—W 20-19648282-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HFURMAN—W 45-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
14NOV 29ASOUTH CAROLINA—W 28-14886464+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27HPENN STATE—L 10-22939090-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB76TAL99PERF76RET99ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CADE KLUBNIKQB SERET
★5—9283%+5—
17
CHRISTOPHER VIZZINAQB SERET
★4—6115%-6—
15
CHRIS DENSONQB SONO SNAPS
★3—151%——
14
TRENT PEARMANQB SERET
UNR—151%——
99
HUNTER HELMSQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★200%+8FELL
16
CADE TROTTERQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB54TAL94PERF54RET79ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
ADAM RANDALLRB SERET
★4—9970%-6—
8
GIDEON DAVIDSONRB SONO SNAPS
★4—7120%+7—
24
DAVID EZIOMUMERB JURET
★4—496%+28—
19
KEITH ADAMS JR.RB JURET
★3★3363%+10HELD
34
MAX WILSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
JARVIS GREENRB SERET
★3—00%-19—
23
PEYTON STREKORB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
JAY HAYNESRB SERET
★3—00%+33—
▾WR/TE56TAL79PERF63RET88ONE OWNERn=8 · 7 METRICS · 53 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
T.J. MOOREWR JURET
★5★49728%+7FELL
0
ANTONIO WILLIAMSWR JURET
★4—8318%+20—
11
OLSEN PATT-HENRYTE SERET
★4—8155%-3—
12
BRYANT WESCO JR.WR JURET
★4—7715%+28—
6
TYLER BROWNWR SERET
UNR—7614%-18—
0
JOSH SAPPTE SERET
★3★37138%+2HELD
3
TRISTAN SMITHWR SEPORTAL · SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
UNR★37111%-3EMERGED
22
COLE TURNERWR SERET
★3—7011%-9—
18
IAN SCHIEFFELINTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—313%——
44
BANKS POPETE SERET
★3—242%——
20
CLARK SANDERSONWR JURET
UNR—231%——
13
PARKER FULGHUMWR JURET
★3★3231%—HELD
7
LOGAN BROOKINGTE SONO SNAPS
★3—192%——
29
CHASE BYRDWR JURET
UNR—180%——
17
MARKUS DIXONTE JURET
★3★3150%—HELD
10
JUJU PRESTONWR SONO SNAPS
★3—140%——
82
SAM EARLEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—60%——
88
CLAY SWINNEYWR SERET
UNR—60%——
84
AVERY WIETINGWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—60%——
89
ZACH JACKSONWR JURET
UNR—60%——
85
CHARLIE JOHNSONTE SERET
UNR—40%——
86
TRISTAN MARTINEZWR SORET
UNR—00%——
27
JACK PURKERSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
CHRISTIAN BENTANCURTE JURET
★4—00%-30—
83
ETHAN STOKESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
LUKE STUBBSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL65TAL93PERF65RET91n=8 · 3 METRICS · 22 OBS
▸DL63TAL96PERF63RET79n=11 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸LB67TAL78PERF67RET89n=6 · 10 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸DB60TAL83PERF60RET95n=10 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AMARE ADAMSHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
GIDEON DAVIDSONHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
BRAYDEN JACOBSHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
MARQUISE HENDERSONHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ARI WATFORDHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
LOGAN ANDERSONHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
EASTON WAREHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
JAKARRION KENANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
LOGAN BROOKINGHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JUJU PRESTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILL HELDTPURDUEEDGE★3★4
JEREMIAH ALEXANDERALABAMALB★5★3
TRISTAN SMITHSOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATEWRUNR★3
HAYES GALLOWAYNORTH CAROLINAIOLUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRE WILLIAMSMICHIGANDLUNRUNR
A.J. HOFFLERGEORGIA TECHDE★4★3
TROY STELLATOKENTUCKYWR★4★3
JACKSON CROSBYEAST TENNESSEE STATEWRUNRUNR
BARRETT CARTERNFL DRAFT R4LB★5—
R.J. MICKENSNFL DRAFT R6S★4—
PHIL MAFAHNFL DRAFT R7RB★4—
MARCUS TATEELIGIBILITY UPOL★4—
PAYTON PAGEELIGIBILITY UPDT★4—
JAKE BRININGSTOOLELIGIBILITY UPTE★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES47%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS31%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#26NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9048COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
49 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST75% BACK75th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG75% BACK75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR91%91th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST95%95th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE