SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›COLORADO›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG 12|MEL TUCKER|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
COLORADO70 FPIB12 · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
66FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#441 BC / 20
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs3.9-8.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.3
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HCOLORADO STATE—W 52-31454040-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HNEBRASKA—W 34-31835959-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HAIR FORCE#22L 23-3058181-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AARIZONA STATE—W 34-31776767-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HARIZONA—L 30-35552323+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AOREGON#5L 3-45888989-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AWASHINGTON STATE—L 10-41507979-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HUSC—L 31-35988484-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AUCLA—L 14-31854040-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HSTANFORD—W 16-13863333+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HWASHINGTON—W 20-14878888-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AUTAH#16L 15-45669191-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
STEVEN MONTEZQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
BLAKE STENSTROMQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
SAM NOYERQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
TYLER LYTLEQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
17
JOSH GOLDINQB SERET
UNR—00%——
17
GRANT CICCARONEQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET5NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
ALEX FONTENOTRB SERET
★3—00%——
20
DEION SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
23
JOE DAVISRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
8
JAREN MANGHAMRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
3
JAREK BROUSSARDRB 5TNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
JAYLON JACKSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
38
BRADY RUSSELLTE SERET
★2—00%——
13
MAURICE BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
18
TONY BROWNWR SERET
★2—00%——
9
JALEN HARRISTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
BEAU BISHARATTE SERET
★4—00%——
2
LAVISKA SHENAULT JR.WR JURET
★3—00%——
6
DANIEL ARIASWR SERET
★3—00%——
14
DIMITRI STANLEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
21
K.D. NIXONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
85
JARED POPLAWSKITE JURET
★3—00%——
6
CURTIS CHIAVERINIWR SORET
★2—00%——
98
NICO MAGRITE JURET
UNR—00%——
15
LEGEND BRUMBAUGHTE SORET
★2—00%——
88
DARRION JONESTE SERET
★3—00%——
84
CLAYTON BACAWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
JAKE GROTHWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
C.J. SCHMANSKITE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
ALEC PELLTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
LA'VONTAE SHENAULTWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
21
BRAEDIN HUFFMAN-DIXONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
87
ALEX SMITHWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
LUKE STILLWELLTE SORET
UNR—00%——
80
NICK NAZARIANWR SORET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LA'VONTAE SHENAULTHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JAREN MANGHAMHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MARVIN HAMHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
BRAEDIN HUFFMAN-DIXONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TARIK LUCKETTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MARK PERRYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
AUSTIN JOHNSONHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
KJ TRUJILLOHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ALEC PELLHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
LLOYD MURRAY JR.HS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISRAEL ANTWINEOKLAHOMA STATEDTUNRUNR
JUWANN WINFREENFL DRAFT R6WRUNR—
LJ WALLACEELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
DONOVAN LEEELIGIBILITY UP?UNR—
JAY MACINTYREELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EVAN WORTHINGTONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JAVIER EDWARDSELIGIBILITY UPNTUNR—
RONNIE BLACKMONELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
KYLE EVANSELIGIBILITY UP?UNR—
JASE FRANKEELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#44NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8535COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE