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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›COLORADO›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG 12|KARL DORRELL|—RECORD4-1|CONF—
COLORADO59 FPIB12 · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
68FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#364 BC / 21
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
4-1ACTUALvs2.8-2.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.6
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE5 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
56MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
10NOV 7HUCLA—W 48-42754141+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14ASTANFORD—W 35-32865555-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28HSAN DIEGO STATE—W 20-10406565-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5AARIZONA—W 24-13483535+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HUTAH—L 21-38748383-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
SAM NOYERQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
TYLER LYTLEQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
BRENDON LEWISQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
DYLAN JACOBQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
MIKE CHANDLER IIQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
GRANT CICCARONEQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
26
MATTHEW RYANQB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET35NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
SHAADIE CLAYTON-JOHNSONRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
3
JAREK BROUSSARDRB 5TRET
★3—00%——
23
JOE DAVISRB SORET
★3—00%——
8
JAREN MANGHAMRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
8
ALEX FONTENOTRB SERET
★3—00%——
20
DEION SMITHRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
21
JAYLE STACKSRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
MATT LYNCHTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
JAYLON JACKSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
38
BRADY RUSSELLTE SERET
★2—00%——
13
MAURICE BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
MONTANA LEMONIOUS-CRAIGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
6
DANIEL ARIASWR SERET
★3—00%——
14
DIMITRI STANLEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
21
K.D. NIXONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
86
C.J. SCHMANSKITE SORET
UNR—00%——
21
ALEC PELLTE SERET
★3—00%——
5
LA'VONTAE SHENAULTWR FRRET
★4—00%——
2
BRENDEN RICEWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
85
JARED POPLAWSKITE JURET
★3—00%——
98
NICO MAGRITE JURET
UNR—00%——
49
JAKE PETERSTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
MICHAEL BYRD JR.WR YRNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
CLAYTON BACAWR SORET
UNR—00%——
82
JAKE GROTHWR SORET
UNR—00%——
87
ALEX SMITHWR SORET
★2—00%——
25
LUKE STILLWELLTE SORET
UNR—00%——
5
CHRIS CARPENTERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
CALEB FAURIATE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
KEITH MILLER IIIWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
89
LOUIS PASSARELLOTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
NICK FISHERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
MICHAEL HARRISONTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHAADIE CLAYTON-JOHNSONHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JASON HARRISHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
CHRISTIAN GONZALEZHS RECRUITS★4UNR
BRENDEN RICEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
BRENDON LEWISHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
JAKE WRAYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CALEB FAURIAHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
MISTER WILLIAMSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DEVIN GRANTHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
CARSON LEEHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVION TAYLORNFL DRAFT R3LBUNR—
LAVISKA SHENAULT JR.NFL DRAFT R2WR★3—
JALEN HARRISELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
MIKIAL ONUELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
TONY BROWNELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
NU'UMOTU FALO JR.ELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
STEVEN MONTEZELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
LUCAS COOPERELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
BEAU BISHARATELIGIBILITY UPTE★4—
DELRICK ABRAMS JR.ELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#36NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8610COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST44% BACK44th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG44% BACK44th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE