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● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›COLORADO›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
BIG 12|DEION SANDERS|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
COLORADO75 FPIB12 · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
75FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
16%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
11%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-11IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#294 BC / 18
BC RATIO
21%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs4.5-7.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.7
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE67
PERFORMANCE67
TALENT69
CONTINUITY16
DEFENSE42
PERFORMANCE42
TALENT63
CONTINUITY11
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2ATCU—W 45-42877474-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HNEBRASKA—W 36-14855151-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HCOLORADO STATE—W 43-35222727+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AOREGON#6L 6-42939898-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HUSC—L 41-48957878-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AARIZONA STATE—W 27-24692020+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HSTANFORD—L 43-46741919+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AUCLA—L 16-28828080-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HOREGON STATE—L 19-26618686-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HARIZONA#11L 31-34708787-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AWASHINGTON STATE—L 14-56466363-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AUTAH—L 17-23777777-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB50TAL92PERF50RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
SHEDEUR SANDERSQB SEPORTAL · JACKSON STATE
★4★49991%+38HELD
8
RYAN STAUBQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3468%-24HELD
13
GAVIN KULDQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—121%——
12
KASEN WEISMANQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
COLTON ALLENQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB65TAL71PERF65RET30ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DYLAN EDWARDSRB JUNO SNAPS
★4★39247%-7FELL
0
ANTHONY HANKERSONRB SERET
★3★37829%-24HELD
3
SY'VEON WILKERSONRB SEPORTAL · JACKSON STATE
★3★36516%-30HELD
22
ALTON MCCASKILLRB SEPORTAL · HOUSTON
★3★3476%+3HELD
8
KAVOSIEY SMOKERB SEPORTAL · KENTUCKY
★3★3171%+13HELD
44
CHARLIE OFFERDAHLRB SERET
UNR—91%-23—
45
AHMIR MCGEERB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
48
CHRISTIAN SAREMRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE43TAL90PERF41RET14ONE OWNERn=6 · 7 METRICS · 41 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
JIMMY HORN JR.WR SEPORTAL · SOUTH FLORIDA
★3★410032%-5ROSE
10
XAVIER WEAVERWR SEPORTAL · SOUTH FLORIDA
★3★310032%+23HELD
87
MICHAEL HARRISONTE SERET
UNR★38795%-10EMERGED
12
TRAVIS HUNTERWR JUPORTAL · JACKSON STATE
★5★58314%+6HELD
4
JAVON ANTONIOWR SEPORTAL · NORTHWESTERN STATE
★2★38116%+17ROSE
4
OMARION MILLERWR SENO SNAPS
★4★4669%+28HELD
2
TAR'VARISH DAWSONWR SEPORTAL · AUBURN
★4★4648%-34HELD
13
KALEB MATHISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—392%——
20
WILLIE GAINESWR JUPORTAL · JACKSON STATE
★3★3281%—HELD
83
ELIJAH YELVERTONTE SONO SNAPS
★3★3213%—HELD
12
CALEB FAURIATE SERET
★3★3192%-44HELD
82
COLE BOSCIAWR SERET
★2—100%——
2
CHERNET ESTESWR JURET
UNR—60%——
14
ADAM HOPKINS IVWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
31
SAV'ELL SMALLSTE SEPORTAL · WASHINGTON
★5★300%—FELL
86
BRADY KOPETZTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
JAYLEN ELLISWR JUPORTAL · BAYLOR
★3★300%—HELD
89
LOUIS PASSARELLOTE SORET
★3—00%——
17
ISAIAH HARDGEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
0
ASAAD WASEEMWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
85
JACOB PAGEWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
4
JORDAN ONOVUGHEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
35
ANTONIO POSADASTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
47
GAVIN MARSHWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
KENDAL STEWARTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL50TAL51PERF50RET17n=7 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL58TAL51PERF58RET0n=11 · 8 METRICS · 53 OBS
▸LB57TAL84PERF57RET16n=7 · 10 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸DB45TAL60PERF45RET15n=11 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS6 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CORMANI MCCLAINHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
DYLAN EDWARDSHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ADAM HOPKINS IVHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
OMARION MILLERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
MORGAN PEARSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TAJE MCCOYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN19 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRAVIS HUNTERJACKSON STATECB★5★5
SHEDEUR SANDERSJACKSON STATEQB★4★4
DEMOUY KENNEDYALABAMALB★4★4
ALTON MCCASKILLHOUSTONRB★3★4
JIMMY HORN JR.SOUTH FLORIDAWR★3★4
DERRICK MCLENDON IIFLORIDA STATEEDGEUNR★3
SAV'ELL SMALLSWASHINGTONEDGE★5★3
MYLES SLUSHERARKANSASS★4★3
BRENDAN GANTFLORIDA STATES★4★3
JEREMIAH BROWNJACKSON STATELB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT63 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NIKKO REEDOREGONDB★3★3
CASEY RODDICKFLORIDA STATEOL★3★3
TYRIN TAYLORMEMPHISCB★3★3
JAKE WILEYUCLAOL★3★3
KAYLIN MOORECALIFORNIADB★5★3
JALEN SAMIMICHIGAN STATEDL★2★3
AUSTIN JOHNSONPURDUEOL★4★3
JEREMY MACK JR.OLD DOMINIONLBUNRUNR
CHANCE MAINTEXAS STATEDEUNRUNR
SIMEON HARRISUTAH STATEDB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES72%15 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS93%18 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#29NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8751COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
4758 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST13% BACK13th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG13% BACK13th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR17%17th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST15%15th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE