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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›COLORADO STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
PAC-12|MIKE BOBO|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
COLORADO STATE111 FPIPAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
46FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#860 BC / 20
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-9ACTUALvs2.9-9.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-13.9
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
49MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 25HHAWAI'I—L 34-43132121+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1AUG 31HCOLORADO—L 13-45623939-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HARKANSAS—W 34-27816060-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15AFLORIDA#7L 10-48919494-72BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HILLINOIS STATE—L 19-35————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 6ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 42-30361212+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HNEW MEXICO—W 20-18332424-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ABOISE STATE#23L 28-56537979-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HWYOMING—L 21-34164848-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ANEVADA—L 10-49374141-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HUTAH STATE#22L 24-29268585-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AAIR FORCE—L 19-2773535-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
K.J. CARTA-SAMUELSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
COLLIN HILLQB SERET
★3—00%——
10
J.C. ROBLESQB JURET
UNR—00%——
8
JUDD ERICKSONQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET46NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
IZZY MATTHEWSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
RASHAAD BODDIERB SORET
★3—00%——
5
MARVIN KINSEY JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
MARCUS MCELROY JR.RB SERET
★3—00%——
46
ADAM PRENTICEFB SERET
UNR—00%——
82
ISIAH PANNUNZIOFB JURET
★3—00%——
1
A'JON VIVENSRB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
45
NATE RYKENFB —RET
UNR—00%——
49
DRUE HARRISRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
PRESTON WILLIAMSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
23
BRENDEN FULTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
GRIFFIN HAMMERTE SORET
★3—00%——
3
EJ SCOTTWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
NIKKO HALLWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
GARY WILLIAMSTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
TREY MCBRIDETE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
81
OLABISI JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
CAMERON BUTLERTE SERET
★3—00%——
9
WARREN JACKSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
22
DARIUS WISEWR SORET
★3—00%——
1
JADON WALKERWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
81
THOMAS PANNUNZIOWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
JUSTICE MCCOYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
40
CORTE TAPIATE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
37
ANTHONY GRASSIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
MAXX SHAPIROTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
RYAN SAYREWR SERET
UNR—00%——
35
JOHN HECKERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
CHANDLER DRACHSLINWR —RET
UNR—00%——
36
GABE CARDENASWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NIKKO HALLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KAVESZ SHERARDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DEVIN PHILLIPSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DEQUAN JACKSONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TYWAN FRANCISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TREY MCBRIDEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
QUINN BRINNONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BRANDON DERROWHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
CAM'RON CARTERHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ZACH SCHLAGERHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MICHAEL GALLUPNFL DRAFT R3WRUNR—
DARIUS MAYNOT LISTEDRB★2—
LEVI OSBORNNOT LISTEDSUNR—
DALYN DAWKINSNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
PATRICK ELSENBASTNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TRENT SIEGNOT LISTEDLSUNR—
COLTON FOSTERNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JOHN FREISMUTHNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
SHUN JOHNSONNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
KEVIN NUTT JR.NOT LISTEDCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#86NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8150COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST23% BACK23th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG23% BACK23th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE