SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2016 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›DUKE›2016TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2016 FINAL
ACC|DAVID CUTCLIFFE|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
DUKE65 FPIACC · 2016 SEASON
TALENT
65FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#334 BC / 23
BC RATIO
14%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2016 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs4.7-7.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-4.8
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HNORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL—W 49-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HWAKE FOREST—L 14-24514747-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17ANORTHWESTERN—L 13-24675252-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ANOTRE DAME—W 38-35938787-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HVIRGINIA—L 20-34693535+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HARMY—W 13-662121+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ALOUISVILLE#21L 14-24779494-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AGEORGIA TECH—L 35-38636363-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HVIRGINIA TECH#16L 21-24748383-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HNORTH CAROLINA—W 28-27798787-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19APITTSBURGH—L 14-56758383-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AMIAMI#20L 21-40879191-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
PARKER BOEHMEQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
DANIEL JONESQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
QUENTIN HARRISQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
THOMAS SIRKQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
29
SHAUN WILSONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
ZACH BODENRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
JELA DUNCANRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
QUAY MANNRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
JOSEPH AJEIGBERB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
NICODEM PIERRERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
GRIFFIN CARTERRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
RYAN WOLITZERRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
ANTHONY NASHWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
ERICH SCHNEIDERTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
CHRIS TAYLORWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
QUAY CHAMBERSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
DANIEL HELMTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
JOHNATHAN LLOYDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
DAVIS KOPPENHAVERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
T.J. RAHMINGWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
AARON YOUNGWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
TREVON LEEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
KEYSTON FULLERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
DILLON LEOVICWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
KANE BANNERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
SAYVON SAMPSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
BRONSON BRUNEAUTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
DAN BEILINSONTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SCOTT BRACEYHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
DYLAN SINGLETONHS RECRUITS★4UNR
MARK BIRMINGHAMHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
ROBERT KRAELINGHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
BRANDON HILLHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
KOBY QUANSAHHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CHIDI OKONYAHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
BRITTAIN BROWNHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LIAM SMITHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JULIAN SANTOSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT0 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#33NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8602COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHT—2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST75% BACK75th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG75% BACK75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE