SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›DUKE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
ACC|DAVID CUTCLIFFE|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
DUKE64 FPIACC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
69FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#491 BC / 21
BC RATIO
10%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs5.0-7.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.9
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AALABAMA#8L 3-421009898-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HNORTH CAROLINA A&T—W 45-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 41-18341616+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AVIRGINIA TECH—W 45-10807171-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HPITTSBURGH—L 30-33706464-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HGEORGIA TECH—W 41-23681515+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AVIRGINIA—L 14-48586767-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ANORTH CAROLINA—L 17-20807878-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HNOTRE DAME#12L 7-38918686-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HSYRACUSE—L 6-49554141+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AWAKE FOREST—L 27-39535858-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HMIAMI—W 27-17887676-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET17NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
QUENTIN HARRISQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
CHRIS KATRENICKQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
DANIEL KARLINQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
GUNNAR HOLMBERGQB SERET
★3—00%——
4
ROBERT NELSONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
JACK COLYARQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
GAVIN SPURRIERQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET85NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
MATAEO DURANTRB SERET
★3—00%——
22
JAYLEN COLEMANRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
JORDAN WATERSRB SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
36
ELIJAH DEVEAUXRB JURET
★3—00%——
4
DEON JACKSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
28
BRITTAIN BROWNRB SERET
★3—00%——
4
MYLES HUDZICKRB SERET
★3—00%——
47
RYAN WOLITZERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
MARVIN HUBBARD IIIRB JURET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
JAKE MARWEDETE SERET
★3—00%——
9
JAKE BOBOWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
SCOTT BRACEYWR JURET
★4—00%——
89
MARK BIRMINGHAMTE SERET
★4—00%——
89
MARK BIRMINGHAMTE —NO SNAPS
★4—00%——
4
ELI PANCOLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
DARRELL HARDING JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
NOAH GRAYTE SERET
★3—00%——
5
JALON CALHOUNWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
AARON YOUNGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
DAMOND PHILYAW-JOHNSONWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
60
PATRICK LEITTENTE SERET
★3—00%——
46
AARON WRIGHTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
DENNIS SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
JARETT GARNERWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
DJ FULLARDWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
JOE HARDISONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
46
MASON RUSSELLTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
MATT SMITHTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
84
TREVOR HORTONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TONY DAVISHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JACOB MONKHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
DEWAYNE CARTERHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
ELI PANCOLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RON CARRHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
AHMAD CRAIGHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
ISAIAH KEMPHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DARRELL HARDINGHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JALEN ALEXANDERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
RJ OBENHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN HAYESUCFSUNRUNR
KEYSTON FULLERRICHMONDWRUNRUNR
BRANDON FEAMSTERRICHMONDSUNRUNR
DANIEL JONESNFL DRAFT R1QBUNR—
CHRIS TAYLORELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TREVON LEEELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
DANIEL HELMELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
JOHNATHAN LLOYDELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
NICODEM PIERREELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
DAVIS KOPPENHAVERELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#49NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8576COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST39% BACK39th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG39% BACK39th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR17%17th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE