SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›EAST CAROLINA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|SCOTTIE MONTGOMERY|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
EAST CAROLINA120 FPIAAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
39FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#890 BC / 22
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-9ACTUALvs2.8-9.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-14.6
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
47MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HNORTH CAROLINA A&T—L 23-28————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8HNORTH CAROLINA—W 41-19803333-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22ASOUTH FLORIDA—L 13-20553636-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HOLD DOMINION—W 37-351216160BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6ATEMPLE—L 6-49455454-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HHOUSTON—L 20-42645151-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HUCF#11L 10-37618787-71BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HMEMPHIS—L 41-59477373-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ATULANE—L 18-24403131-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HUCONN—W 55-212911+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ACINCINNATI#24L 6-56546262-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1ANC STATE—L 3-58717474-58BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
CAIDEN NORMANQB JURET
UNR—00%——
9
REID HERRINGQB JURET
★3—00%——
2
KINGSLEY IFEDIQB FRRET
★3—00%——
12
HOLTON AHLERSQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET59NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ANTHONY SCOTTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
CAM COLEMANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
HUSSEIN HOWERB SERET
★3—00%——
32
TRACE CHRISTIANRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
40
DARIUS PINNIX JR.RB JURET
★2—00%——
31
JEFF ONYEGBULERB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
JOHNNY BOGLETE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
JUWAN MOODYWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
15
TERRELL GREENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
TREVON BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
DEONDRE FARRIERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
TAHJ DEANSWR SORET
★3—00%——
89
DUCE FULLERWR FRRET
★2—00%——
80
ANTHONY WATLEYTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
JONATHAN JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
MYDREON VINESWR SERET
★2—00%——
7
LEROY HENLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
BLAKE PROEHLWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
22
TYLER SNEADWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
AUDIE OMOTOSHOWR SERET
★4—00%——
83
CAM MARSHMONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
45
KENYON TAYLORWR SORET
★2—00%——
86
JARAY SAMPSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
D'ANGELO MCKINNIETE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
84
ZECH BYRDTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
WILL PARTINWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
76
DALTON MONTGOMERYTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HOLTON AHLERSHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
DORIAN HARDYHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
DONOVAN NOELHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
DAMIR FAISONHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
NOLAN JOHNSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MYLES BERRYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
XAVIER SMITHHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JAREN RAINEYHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
TY THOMPSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
PEYTON WINSTEADHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GARDNER MINSHEWWASHINGTON STATEQBUNRUNR
XAVIER SMITHELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TYSHON DYENOT LISTEDRBUNR—
KORRIN WIGGINSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
ANTHONY GUTIERREZNOT LISTEDILBUNR—
DEMAGE BAILEYNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
DEVIN ANDERSONNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
BOBBY FULPNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
JORDAN WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDILBUNR—
THOMAS SIRKNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#89NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8130COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST28% BACK28th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG28% BACK28th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE