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HOME›TEAMS›EAST CAROLINA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|MIKE HOUSTON|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
EAST CAROLINA64 FPIAAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
42FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
14%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#850 BC / 14
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.8
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE82
PERFORMANCE82
TALENT56
CONTINUITY14
DEFENSE38
PERFORMANCE38
TALENT42
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
49MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HNC STATE—L 20-21756363-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HOLD DOMINION—W 39-21281919+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HCAMPBELL—W 49-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24HNAVY—L 20-2302929+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 48-285199+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ATULANE#9L 9-24477979-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HMEMPHIS—W 47-45476363-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HUCF—W 34-13627373-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ABYU—W 27-24234545+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ACINCINNATI—L 25-27658282-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HHOUSTON—L 3-42585757-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ATEMPLE—W 49-46452020+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27HCOASTAL CAROLINA—W 53-293048480BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB79TAL76PERF79RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
HOLTON AHLERSQB SERET
★3—9797%+3—
10
MASON GARCIAQB SORET
★4★4253%-53HELD
23
MEL JACOBSQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
ALEX FLINNQB JURET
★3—00%——
6
RYAN STUBBLEFIELDQB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
13
GRANTT LOGANQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB57TAL47PERF57RET77ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
KEATON MITCHELLRB SORET
★3—9758%+32—
21
MARLON GUNN JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3—7523%-17—
47
RAHJAI HARRISRB SERET
★3—7019%-31—
37
KAMARRO EDMONDSRB SONO SNAPS
★4★4161%—HELD
40
CJ ARMSTRONGRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
JOSEPH MCKAYRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
22
NEMO SQUIRERB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
30
CAMERON MOORERB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
23
JOSH BENTONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
GRAYSON KLUERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE55TAL62PERF58RET59ONE OWNERn=6 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
ISAIAH WINSTEADWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9936%+25—
5
C.J. JOHNSONWR JURET
★3—9731%+30—
4
RYAN JONESTE SERET
★4★48949%-13HELD
82
SHANE CALHOUNTE SERET
★3★38139%-21HELD
1
JAYLEN JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—7818%+10—
88
JSI HATFIELDWR SERET
★3—639%+23—
7
KERRY KINGWR SERET
UNR—483%——
85
AARON JARMANTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3468%—HELD
9
TYLER SAVAGETE SERET
★3—354%——
19
TAJI HUDSONWR JURET
★3★3251%—HELD
82
JARETT GARNERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—231%-26—
14
MACEO DONALDWR JURET
UNR★2201%—EMERGED
10
BROCK SPALDINGWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—70%——
81
ANDRE PEGUESWR JURET
★2★370%—ROSE
JHARI PATTERSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
84
D'ANGELO MCKINNIETE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
87
JOSEPH SAMSONTE SORET
UNR—00%——
7
TERRANCE COPPER JR.WR FRRET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
19
JOSH MURPHYWR SORET
UNR—00%——
83
BLUE COLEMANWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
BRANDON STILLWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL57TAL58PERF57RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL52TAL32PERF52RET69n=9 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸LB46TAL31PERF47RET79n=7 · 11 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸DB46TAL52PERF46RET93n=9 · 8 METRICS · 53 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARLON GUNN JR.HS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JACOB SACRAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
SAMUEL DANKAHHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ISAIAH BROWN-MURRAYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
J.D. LAMPLEYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CJ MIMSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JA'MAURION FRANKLINHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
NEMO SQUIREHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BROCK SPALDINGHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ETHAN LANGHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT12 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NOLAN JOHNSONMIAMI (OH)CB★3UNR
D.J. FORDELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
AUDIE OMOTOSHOELIGIBILITY UPWR★4—
AARON RAMSEURELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
BRUCE BIVENSELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
WARREN SABAELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
LORENZO DORRELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
TYLER SNEADNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JA'QUAN MCMILLIANNOT LISTEDCB★3—
LIAM CROWLEYNOT LISTEDSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#85NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8320COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST87% BACK87th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG87% BACK87th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST93%93th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE