SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA ATLANTIC›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|LANE KIFFIN|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
FLORIDA ATLANTIC92 FPIAAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
52FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#750 BC / 13
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs5.9-6.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.6
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
40MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AOKLAHOMA#4L 14-63939898-60BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HAIR FORCE—W 33-2673535+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HBETHUNE-COOKMAN—W 49-28————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 21AUCF#11L 36-56618787-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 24-25343030+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HOLD DOMINION—W 52-33121616+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AMARSHALL—L 7-31414444-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HLOUISIANA TECH—L 13-21452828+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 49-14442626+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 34-15191414+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15ANORTH TEXAS—L 38-41235050-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HCHARLOTTE—L 24-271199+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET1NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CHRIS ROBISONQB SONO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
14
DE'ANDRE JOHNSONQB JURET
UNR—00%——
2
RAFE PEAVEYQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
TRENT WESSELQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
NICK TRONTIQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
CONNER MILLERQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET75NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
37
DANIEL LECONTERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
JAMES CHARLESRB SERET
★2—00%——
20
MALCOLM DAVIDSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
43
RAY WILSON JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
38
SILVER SAUNDERSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
GERALD HEARNSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
KERRITH WHYTE JR.RB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
DEVIN SINGLETARYRB JURET
★3—00%——
18
D'ANFERNEE MCGRIFFRB SERET
UNR—00%——
42
JONATHAN FRANCOISFB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
6
KERRITH WHYTE, JR.RB —RET
UNR—00%——
20
MALCOLM DAVIDSONRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
WILLIE WRIGHTWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
JAMES BRUNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
TAVARIS HARRISONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
0
JOHN RAINETE SERET
★2—00%——
19
DEANDRE MCNEALWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
HARRISON BRYANTTE SERET
★2—00%——
85
JOHN MITCHELLWR SERET
★2—00%——
87
DANTE COUSARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
RONALD PATTERSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
7
JOVON DURANTEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
DESEAN HOLMESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
JORDAN MERRELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
47
LOGAN PETERSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
41
NOLAN LYNCHTE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
BRANDON ROBINSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
88
JEFFTEY JOSEPHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
18
TERIQUE OWENSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
RHETT WEIDENBACHERTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
ADRIAN BRYANTWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
RAY WILSON, JR.TE —RET
UNR—00%——
44
JACOB WILSONTE —RET
★2—00%——
32
DAVE RICHARDSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
JAREL MILLERWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
46
SHANE ELLISTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
NOAH CARLSONTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEON WOODSHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JAYLEN JOYNERHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
DEVIN HAYESHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
MALCOLM DAVIDSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CORDEL LITTLEJOHNHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
DOUG JOHNSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TEJA YOUNGHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ARMANI ADAMSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
FRANKLIN JACKSONHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
DACODA WEAVERHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DANIEL PARRDUQUESNEQBUNRUNR
JOHN FRANKLIN IIINOT LISTEDWRUNR—
NICK INTERNICOLANOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JEREMIAH TALENINOT LISTEDDLUNR—
MARCUS CLARKNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
JAKOBI SMITHNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
KALIB WOODSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DUSTIN BOWENSNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
HAIDEN NAGELNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JASON DRISKELNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#75NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8254COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST46% BACK46th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG46% BACK46th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE