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HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA ATLANTIC›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|LANE KIFFIN|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
FLORIDA ATLANTIC50 FPIAAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
46FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#600 BC / 31
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-3ACTUALvs9.7-3.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.9
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
40MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AOHIO STATE#3L 21-4599100100-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HUCF#24L 14-48619090-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ABALL STATE—W 41-31133434+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HWAGNER—W 42-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 28ACHARLOTTE—W 45-27212727+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 28-13341616+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HMARSHALL—L 31-36434747+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AOLD DOMINION—W 41-32033+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 35-24415656-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 37-7472525+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AUTSA—W 40-263955+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HSOUTHERN MISS—W 34-17363232+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 7HUAB—W 49-6324949+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET84NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
JUSTIN AGNERQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
NICK TRONTIQB JURET
★3—00%——
2
CHRIS ROBISONQB SORET
★4★400%—HELD
15
TRENT WESSELQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
CORDEL LITTLEJOHNQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET1NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
37
DANIEL LECONTERB JURET
UNR—00%——
28
JAMES CHARLESRB SERET
★2—00%——
20
MALCOLM DAVIDSONRB JURET
★3—00%——
21
KELVIN DEAN JR.RB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
LARRY MCCAMMONRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
42
JONATHAN FRANCOISFB JURET
★2—00%——
4
BJ EMMONSRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
CHAUNCEY MASONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
RAYQUAN BERRYRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
4
BJ EMMONSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
KELVIN DEAN, JR.RB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
MALCOLM DAVIDSONRB —RET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
WILLIE WRIGHTWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
JAMES BRUNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
TAVARIS HARRISONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
0
JOHN RAINETE SERET
★2—00%——
40
HARRISON BRYANTTE SERET
★2—00%——
85
JOHN MITCHELLWR SERET
★2—00%——
87
DANTE COUSARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
BRANDON ROBINSONWR JURET
★2—00%——
11
JAVION POSEYWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
17
DEANGELO ANTOINEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
LOGAN PETERSONTE JURET
★2—00%——
19
DEANDRE MCNEALWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
JORDAN MERRELLWR JURET
★3—00%——
86
RONALD PATTERSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
20
JORDAN BROOKS-WESSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
NOLAN LYNCHTE SERET
UNR—00%——
15
CORDEL LITTLEJOHNWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
SAAN LEWISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
JEFFTEY JOSEPHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
EYIN COLEWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
88
RAHMOD SMITHTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
TERIQUE OWENSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
33
XAVIER ROBERTS-DONALDSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
GUY MCCARTHYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
48
RHETT WEIDENBACHERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
84
ADRIAN BRYANTWR SORET
UNR—00%——
49
RYAN CAMERONTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
32
MATTHEW AKUCHIEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAMERON WYNNHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
GLOVER COOKHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DIAMANTE HOWARDHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
LATRELL JEANHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
TYE EDWARDSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JD MARTINHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
LA'DARIUS HENRYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TRAVON THOMASHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
LARRY MCCAMMONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KELVIN DEANHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DE'ANDRE JOHNSONTEXAS SOUTHERNQBUNRUNR
KERRITH WHYTE JR.NFL DRAFT R7RBUNR—
DEVIN SINGLETARYNFL DRAFT R3RB★3—
RAY WILSON JR.ELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
SILVER SAUNDERSELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
SHELTON LEWISELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
JALEN YOUNGELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
AZEEZ AL-SHAAIRELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JACOB DOUGLASELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
KHANTRELL BURDENELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#60NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 31 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8339COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST48% BACK48th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG48% BACK48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR84%84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE