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HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA ATLANTIC›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|WILLIE TAGGART|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
FLORIDA ATLANTIC92 FPIAAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
49FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#820 BC / 19
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs5.9-6.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.3
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AFLORIDA—L 14-35947878-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 38-6211010+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HFORDHAM—W 45-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 25AAIR FORCE—L 7-3115959-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 58-214644+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9AUAB—L 14-31346767-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ACHARLOTTE—W 38-9371212+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HUTEP—W 28-25123030-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HMARSHALL—L 13-28366161-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AOLD DOMINION—L 16-30252424+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 17-52478282-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 17-27423131-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
NICK TRONTIQB JURET
★3—00%——
7
N'KOSI PERRYQB SEPORTAL · MIAMI
★4★300%—FELL
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET81NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
JOHNNY FORDRB JUPORTAL · SOUTH FLORIDA
★3★300%—HELD
28
JAMES CHARLESRB SERET
★2—00%——
20
MALCOLM DAVIDSONRB JURET
★3—00%——
21
KELVIN DEAN JR.RB SORET
UNR—00%——
3
LARRY MCCAMMONRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
42
JONATHAN FRANCOISFB JURET
★2—00%——
2
ZUBERI MOBLEYRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
37
DANIEL LECONTERB JURET
UNR—00%——
39
RAYQUAN BERRYRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
40
JOE LEWISFB FRRET
UNR—00%——
25
TYLER WILLISRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
85
D'MARCUS ADAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
1
WILLIE WRIGHTWR SERET
★3—00%——
7
JAHMAL EDRINEWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
ZAIRE MITCHELL-PADENTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
JOHN MITCHELLWR SERET
★2—00%——
89
BRANDON ROBINSONWR JURET
★2—00%——
15
CORDEL LITTLEJOHNWR SORET
★3—00%——
11
JAVION POSEYWR JURET
★2★300%—ROSE
8
JE'QUAN BURTONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
ADAM BOSELLITE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
LAJOHNTAY WESTERWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
8
T.J. CHASEWR SERET
★4—00%——
13
AARON YOUNGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
AUSTIN EVANSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
24
DAMIAN ALLOWAYWR SERET
★4—00%——
0
JOHN RAINETE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
JORDAN MERRELLWR JURET
★3—00%——
47
LOGAN PETERSONTE JURET
★2—00%——
88
JEFFTEY JOSEPHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
RAHMOD SMITHTE SORET
★3—00%——
14
WILLIE TAGGART JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
49
RYAN CAMERONTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
6
B.J. ALEXANDERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
43
JACOB PASLEYTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
8
KOBE STEWARTWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
FRED EAFORDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
AMARI WANSLEYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BRANDON SCHABERTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAHMAL EDRINEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JULIUS BARFIELDHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DWIGHT DASSAWHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JACOB MERRIFIELDHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JORDAN SANDLINHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JAHBARI HILLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JACOB PASLEYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
N'KOSI PERRYMIAMIQB★4★3
JOHN DUNMOREPENN STATEWR★4★3
KAMAAR BELLAUBURNIOL★3★3
KEYSHAWN GREENENEBRASKALB★4★4
JOHNNY FORDSOUTH FLORIDARB★3★3
ANDREW BOSELLIFLORIDA STATEIOL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT6 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BJ EMMONSELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
LEIGHTON MCCARTHYELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
DIASHUN MOSSELIGIBILITY UPCB★2—
MICHAEL IRVIN IIELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
CHARLES TOOMBSNOT LISTEDS★3—
ALVIN DEMPSEY IIINOT LISTEDDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#82NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8286COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
68 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST94% BACK94th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG94% BACK94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE