SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
ACC|JIMBO FISHER|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
FLORIDA STATE19 FPIACC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
97FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#613 BC / 24
BC RATIO
68%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.4-4.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
73MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AALABAMA#1L 7-24100100100-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HNC STATE#23L 21-27678282+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AWAKE FOREST—W 26-19517676+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HMIAMI#13L 20-24868787+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ADUKE—W 17-10706464+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HLOUISVILLE—L 28-31739090+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ABOSTON COLLEGE—L 3-35525959+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HSYRACUSE—W 27-24535656+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ACLEMSON#4L 14-31949797-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HDELAWARE STATE—W 77-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 25AFLORIDA—W 38-22877474+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2HUL MONROE—W 42-10141414+80BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET97NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
JAKE RIZZOQB —RET
UNR—00%——
16
J.J. COSENTINOQB —RET
UNR—00%——
12
DEONDRE FRANCOISQB JURET
UNR—00%——
1
JAMES BLACKMANQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
BAILEY HOCKMANQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET21NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
JACQUES PATRICKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
CAM AKERSRB JUNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
7
RYAN GREENRB —RET
UNR—00%——
33
COLTON PLANTEFB —RET
UNR—00%——
34
AMIR RASULRB SERET
★4—00%——
37
BLAIK MIDDLETONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
11
ZAQUANDRE WHITERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
ANTHONY GRANTRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
RAEKWON WEBBRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
14
DEONTÉ SHEFFIELDRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
AUDEN TATEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
32
GABE NABERSTE SERET
★3—00%——
83
BRYAN LACIVITAWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
JARED JACKSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
81
RYAN IZZOTE —RET
UNR—00%——
86
JUSTIN MOTLOWWR —RET
UNR—00%——
26
JOHNATHAN VICKERSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
NYQWAN MURRAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
GEORGE CAMPBELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
NASEIR UPSHURTE JURET
★4—00%——
89
KEITH GAVINWR SERET
★4—00%——
TRE' MCKITTYTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
D.J. MATTHEWS JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
89
MAVIN SAUNDERSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
TYRELL MOORERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
MICHAEL BARULICHWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
TYRIQ WITHERSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
5
DA’VANTE PHILLIPSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
TRE’ MCKITTYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
BOBBY LYONS IIWR —RET
UNR—00%——
48
BEN HOYLETE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
GILBERT HENRIC, JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
84
TRISTAN FINEMANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
JAKE DUFFWR —RET
UNR—00%——
81
ALEX MARSHALLTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
MALIQUE JACKSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
JUSTIN SMITHWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAM AKERSHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
MARVIN WILSONHS RECRUITDT★5UNR
JOSHUA KAINDOHHS RECRUITWDE★5UNR
KHALAN LABORNHS RECRUITAPB★5UNR
STANFORD SAMUELSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
D.J. MATTHEWS JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CYRUS FAGANHS RECRUITS★4UNR
HAMSAH NASIRILDEENHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JA'LEN PARKSHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
ZAQUANDRE WHITEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEMARCUS WALKERNFL DRAFT R2DEUNR—
MARQUEZ WHITENFL DRAFT R6DBUNR—
DALVIN COOKNFL DRAFT R2RBUNR—
MARCUS LEWISELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
SEAN MAGUIRENOT LISTEDQBUNR—
JUSTIN SHANKSNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
JACK STEEDNOT LISTEDPUNR—
FREDDIE STEVENSONNOT LISTEDFBUNR—
KERMIT WHITFIELDNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JESUS WILSONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#6NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
13OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9092COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
11
6
3
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.3 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +4 W
IMPROVED7 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST56% BACK56th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG56% BACK56th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE