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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
ACC|WILLIE TAGGART|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
FLORIDA STATE67 FPIACC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
96FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1113 BC / 22
BC RATIO
67%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs3.6-8.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-9.6
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HVIRGINIA TECH—L 3-24795858-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HSAMFORD—W 36-26————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15ASYRACUSE#15L 7-30617070-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 37-19373232+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29ALOUISVILLE—W 28-24722525+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AMIAMI—L 27-28868080-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HWAKE FOREST—W 38-17505656-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HCLEMSON#1L 10-59979898-52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ANC STATE—L 28-47717474-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ANOTRE DAME#5L 13-42939191-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 22-21505252-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HFLORIDA#7L 14-41919494-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET96NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
DEONDRE FRANCOISQB JURET
UNR—00%——
1
JAMES BLACKMANQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
14
NOLAN MCDONALDQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
BEAU FILLICHIOQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET96NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
JACQUES PATRICKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
CAM AKERSRB JURET
★5—00%——
8
KHALAN LABORNRB YRNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
23
ANTHONY GRANTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
AMIR RASULRB SERET
★4—00%——
11
ZAQUANDRE WHITERB JURET
UNR—00%——
37
BLAIK MIDDLETONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
DEONTE SHEFFIELDRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
46
RAEKWON WEBBRB SERET
★2—00%——
14
DEONTÉ SHEFFIELDRB —RET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
GABE NABERSTE SERET
★3—00%——
TRE'SHAUN HARRISONWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
26
JOHNATHAN VICKERSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
NYQWAN MURRAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
GEORGE CAMPBELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
NASEIR UPSHURTE JURET
★4—00%——
89
KEITH GAVINWR SERET
★4—00%——
5
TAMORRION TERRYWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
TRE' MCKITTYTE SERET
★3—00%——
80
ONTARIA WILSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
KEYSHAWN HELTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
87
CAMREN MCDONALDTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
7
D.J. MATTHEWS JR.WR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
85
TYRELL MOORERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
MICHAEL BARULICHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
84
ADARIUS DENTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
TRE’ MCKITTYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
CAMREN MCDONALDTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
ALEX MARSHALLTE —RET
★3—00%——
88
TRE’SHAUN HARRISONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
D’MARCUS ADAMSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAIDEN LARS-WOODBEYHS RECRUITS★4UNR
A.J. LYTTONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
ASANTE SAMUEL JR.HS RECRUITCB★4UNR
ROBERT COOPERHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
WARREN THOMPSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TRE'SHAUN HARRISONHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
XAVIER PETERSHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
MALCOLM LAMARHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
ISAIAH BOLDENHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
AMARI GAINERHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSH SWEATNFL DRAFT R4DEUNR—
AUDEN TATENFL DRAFT R7WRUNR—
RYAN IZZONFL DRAFT R7TEUNR—
RICK LEONARDNFL DRAFT R4OLUNR—
DERRICK NNADINFL DRAFT R3DTUNR—
DERWIN JAMESNFL DRAFT R1DBUNR—
JAKE RIZZONOT LISTEDQBUNR—
NATE ANDREWSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
RYAN GREENNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
RO'DERRICK HOSKINSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#11NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
13OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9091COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST87% BACK87th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG87% BACK87th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR96%96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE