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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FRESNO STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
PAC-12|JEFF TEDFORD|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
FRESNO STATE60 FPIPAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
31FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#840 BC / 17
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
9-4ACTUALvs9.6-3.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.5
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HINCARNATE WORD—W 66-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9AALABAMA#1L 10-41100100100-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AWASHINGTON#16L 16-48839393-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HNEVADA—W 41-212399+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 27-103344+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HNEW MEXICO—W 38-0231616+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ASAN DIEGO STATE—W 27-3395858-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HUNLV—L 16-26181212+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HBYU—W 20-13612424+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AHAWAI'I—W 31-211755+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AWYOMING—W 13-783838-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HBOISE STATE#22W 28-17477171-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2ABOISE STATE#22L 14-17477171-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET80NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
CHASON VIRGILQB —RET
UNR—00%——
19
BRENT BAILEYQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
6
MARCUS MCMARYIONQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
JORGE REYNAQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
KYLE LINDQUISTQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET16NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
SAEVION JOHNSONRB SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
9
JOSH HOKITRB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
DEJONTE O'NEALRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
RONNIE RIVERSRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
7
JORDAN MIMSRB SERET
★2—00%——
32
ROMELLO HARRISRB JURET
★3—00%——
30
KHAI WILLIAMSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
AUSTIN HARPERRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
DERRION GRIMWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
DA'MARI SCOTTWR —RET
UNR—00%——
3
KEESEAN JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JAMIRE JORDANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
JUSTIN ALLENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
DAVID TANGIPATE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
JARED RICETE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
DONTE COLEMANTE —RET
★3—00%——
89
KYLE RIDDERINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
87
NAMANI PARKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
CHRIS COLEMANWR SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
19
FRANK DALENAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
DAVID TATE JR.TE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
26
BRIAN BURTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
CAM SUTTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
87
RAYMOND PAUWELSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
KERIC WHEATFALLWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
80
JUAN RODRIGUEZTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
ANTHONY GRAYSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
40
CLAYTON ALEXANDERTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
KEVIN PARKERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
15
DANIEL MORAGATE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
GUNNER JAVERNICKTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
DELVON HARDAWAYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
86
KYLE HENDRICKSONTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WYLAN FREEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
SYRUS TUITELEHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
T.J. MAUGAHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
RICHARD CAGEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DANIEL MORAGAHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ZELAN TUPUOLAHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
PATRICK ELIMA-JEUNEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ZANE POPEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JORDAN MIMSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
RONNIE RIVERSHS RECRUITRB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALEN SMITHELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JAMAL ELLISNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
BRANDON HUGHESNOT LISTEDOLBUNR—
DALEN JONESNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
AARON PECKNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
ZACH KLINENOT LISTEDQBUNR—
JEFF CAMILLINOT LISTEDILBUNR—
DARRELL FUERYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DONTEL JAMESNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
STRATTON BROWNNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#84NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8021COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST61% BACK61th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG61% BACK61th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR80%80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE