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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FRESNO STATE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
PAC-12|JEFF TEDFORD|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
FRESNO STATE81 FPIPAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
40FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#871 BC / 20
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs6.0-6.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.1
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AUSC—L 23-31988484-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HMINNESOTA#10L 35-38679191-52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HSACRAMENTO STATE—W 34-200———NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 28ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 30-17855+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AAIR FORCE#22L 24-4358181-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HUNLV—W 56-273888+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HCOLORADO STATE—L 31-41454040-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AHAWAI'I—W 41-38294747-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HUTAH STATE—L 35-37303737+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 7-17455858-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HNEVADA—L 28-35371414+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30ASAN JOSÉ STATE—L 16-17312424+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET3NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
JORGE REYNAQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
BEN WOOLDRIDGEQB SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
9
JAKE HAENERQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
NATE LAMBQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
18
BLAZE MCKIBBINQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET59NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
SAEVION JOHNSONRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
9
JOSH HOKITRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
RONNIE RIVERSRB SERET
★2—00%——
34
ZION ECHOLSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
32
ROMELLO HARRISRB JURET
★3—00%——
7
JORDAN MIMSRB SERET
★2—00%——
28
JEVON BIGELOWRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
32
PEYTON DIXONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
29
ESTEVAN BARRAGANRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
ZANE POPEWR SERET
★3—00%——
7
DERRION GRIMWR SERET
★3—00%——
15
CAM SUTTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
JARED RICETE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JALEN MORENO-CROPPERWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
6
CHRIS COLEMANWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
3
JAMAL GLASPIEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
ERIK BROOKSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
EMORYIE EDWARDSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
KERIC WHEATFALLWR SERET
★2—00%——
80
JUAN RODRIGUEZTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
JOSH KELLYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
19
FRANK DALENAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
DAVID TATE JR.TE SERET
★3—00%——
2
PATRICK ELIMA-JEUNEWR JURET
★3—00%——
81
RICARDO ARIASWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
89
JARED TORRESTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
RAYMOND PAUWELSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
DUNCAN SMITHTE FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
17
RODNEY WRIGHT IIIWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
MICAH PASIONTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALEN CROPPERHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
DEVEN JARVISHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TILINI LIVAIHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
REGGIE STRONG JR.HS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAMAL GLASPIEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
EVAN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DEVONTA BRIDGESHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
NATHAN LAMBHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
COLBY WARKENTINHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
PEYTON DIXONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAMIEN DEGRUYMCNEESEDEUNRUNR
KEESEAN JOHNSONNFL DRAFT R6WRUNR—
KESOMI MAFIELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
MICHIAH QUICKELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JAMIRE JORDANELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JUSTIN ALLENELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
DAVID TANGIPAELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
KYLE RIDDERINGELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
MARCUS MCMARYIONELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
MATTHEW BOATENGELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#87NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8157COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST42% BACK42th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG42% BACK42th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR3%3th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE