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HOME›TEAMS›GEORGIA STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SUN BELT|SHAWN ELLIOTT|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
GEORGIA STATE87 FPISBC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
38FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
17%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1000 BC / 10
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.7-6.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.2
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE35
PERFORMANCE35
TALENT42
CONTINUITY17
DEFENSE56
PERFORMANCE56
TALENT41
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3ASOUTH CAROLINA#23L 14-35868080-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HNORTH CAROLINA—L 28-35896565-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HCHARLOTTE—L 41-42411010+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HCOASTAL CAROLINA—L 24-41304848-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AARMY—W 31-1414444-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 41-33223333+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AAPP STATE—L 17-42335050-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HOLD DOMINION—W 31-17281919+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ASOUTHERN MISS—W 42-14393939+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HUL MONROE—L 28-31141111+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AJAMES MADISON—L 40-4256262-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AMARSHALL—L 23-28315555-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB52TAL0PERF52RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
DARREN GRAINGERQB SERET
UNR—83100%+19—
10
MIKELE COLASURDOQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
7
STEVEN KRAJEWSKIQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
KEILON BROWNQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
KYLE DURHAMQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
15
NOAH ROSSQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB49TAL92PERF49RET99ROTATIONn=3 · 5 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
26
TUCKER GREGGRB SERET
UNR—8741%+16—
9
MARCUS CARROLLRB SERET
★3★38233%+8HELD
21
JAMYEST WILLIAMSRB SERET
★4—7424%+16—
24
ANTOINE LANERB SERET
UNR—252%+10—
17
KZ ADAMSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★391%—HELD
18
JAY DIXONRB SORET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE51TAL50PERF57RET73ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JAMARI THRASHWR JURET
★3★49535%+35ROSE
7
AHMON GREENTE SERET
★3★38554%-30HELD
8
JA'CYAIS CREDLEWR SERET
★3★37922%+12HELD
14
ROBERT LEWISWR SERET
★3★37318%+15HELD
84
KRIS BYRDTE JURET
★3—7236%-11—
0
TALIQUE WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—6311%-12—
83
LAMARCUS BRANDWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—536%-57—
5
CADARRIUS THOMPSONWR SERET
★2—515%-35—
88
AUBRY PAYNETE SERET
★2—4610%+13—
TERRANCE DIXONWR SERET
★2★2443%-27HELD
9
JACOB FREEMANWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
13
CHRISTIAN THOMASWR SORET
★3—00%——
86
EZEQIEL MARIONWR JURET
★2—00%——
82
JAYLIN TOLBERTWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
36
THOMAS JONESTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
AVION MCBRIDETE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
RYKEM LANEYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
42
ETHAN GARRETTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
JZON HAWKINSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
TARANCE BREEDLOVEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL40TAL21PERF40RET20n=8 · 3 METRICS · 22 OBS
▸DL65TAL45PERF65RET95n=8 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸LB56TAL25PERF56RET100n=7 · 11 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸DB40TAL56PERF40RET95n=7 · 6 METRICS · 37 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
IZAIAH GUYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MICHAI HILLHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ISAIAH HOLLANDHS RECRUITS★3UNR
PJ SIMMONSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CHAUNCEY KAMAKEAHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JAYT JACKSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KZ ADAMSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
AVION MCBRIDEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
D-ICEY HOPKINSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ALEC JOHNSONHS RECRUITIOL★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS BACONBOWLING GREENS★3UNR
CORNELIOUS BROWN IVUT MARTINQB★3UNR
SAM PINCKNEYCOASTAL CAROLINAWR★3UNR
HARDRICK WILLISELIGIBILITY UPDE★2—
DONTAE WILSONELIGIBILITY UPG★2—
ROGER CARTERELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
JHI'SHAWN TAYLORELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
DESTIN COATESELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
IKENINE OCHIEELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
CHRIS MOOREELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#100NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8116COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST79% BACK79th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG79% BACK79th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR20%20th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST95%95th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE