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HOME›TEAMS›HAWAI'I›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|TODD GRAHAM|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
HAWAI'I102 FPIMWC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
24FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1270 BC / 12
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-7ACTUALvs5.8-7.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.6
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
41MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 28AUCLA—L 10-44846969-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
1SEP 4HPORTLAND STATE—W 49-35————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11AOREGON STATE—L 27-45666666-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19HSAN JOSÉ STATE—L 13-17263535-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 41-21622+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HFRESNO STATE—W 27-24417676-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ANEVADA—L 17-34294949-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 48-34622+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AUTAH STATE#24L 31-51233939-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HSAN DIEGO STATE#25L 10-17316262-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AUNLV—L 13-27221212+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HCOLORADO STATE—W 50-45333333+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AWYOMING—W 38-14134141-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CHEVAN CORDEIROQB SERET
★2—00%——
13
BRAYDEN SCHAGERQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
JUSTIN UAHINUIQB JURET
UNR—00%——
7
BOONE ABBOTTQB FRRET
★3—00%——
19
KAMALI'I AKINAQB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
JAKE FARRELLQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
ARMANI EDDENQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
CONNOR APOQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET24NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
CALVIN TURNER JR.RB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
DEDRICK PARSONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
NASJZAE BRYANT-LELEIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
JORDAN JOHNSONRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
35
HEKILI KELIILIKIRB JURET
★3—00%——
DAE DAE HUNTERRB JURET
★3—00%——
30
LANDON SIMSRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
DAVID CORDERORB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
KAMALU DEBLAKERB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
TAMATOA MOKIAO-ATIMALALAWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
ZION BOWENSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
DIOR SCOTTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
KAMUELA BORDENTE SERET
★2—00%——
23
KOALI NISHIGAYAWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
8
NICK MARDNERWR SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
16
TRU EDWARDSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★400%—EMERGED
85
CALEB PHILLIPSTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
9
STEVEN FISOWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
JAMES PHILLIPSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JONAH PANOKEWR SERET
★3—00%——
23
JARED SMARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
28
AARON CEPHUSWR SERET
★2—00%——
34
JAMES GREEN IIIWR SORET
UNR—00%——
81
GREY IHUWR SERET
UNR—00%——
45
KILA KAMAKAWIWO'OLETE SERET
★2—00%——
46
KALANIKAU KAMAKAWIWO'OLETE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
DAYTON TONEYWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
4
JALEN WALTHALLWR SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
11
KARSYN PUPUNUWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZHEN-KEITH SOTELOHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
TY MARSHHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BRAYDEN SCHAGERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
PETER MANUMAHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JOSH BERTHOLOTTEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JORDAN JOHNSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TARIQ JONESHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
NATE ADAMSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
SONNY SEMEATUHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
MATAGI THOMPSONHS RECRUITS★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PITA TONGAUTAHDTUNR★3
ARNOLD AZUNNAIOWA STATESUNR★3
SOLOMON TURNERBAYLORLBUNR★3
ZACCHAEUS MCKINNEYOKLAHOMADL★3★3
COLBY BURTONMCNEESECB★2★2
KOLBY WYATTGEORGIATEUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT8 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LINCOLN VICTORWASHINGTON STATEWR★3★3
MELQUISE STOVALLPITTSBURGHWR★4★3
MILES REEDSTEPHEN F. AUSTINRB★2★2
MICHAEL ELETISEELIGIBILITY UPOL★4—
RICO BUSSEY JR.ELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
CALVIN TURNERELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
PAUL SCOTTNOT LISTEDLB★3—
MICHAEL WASHINGTONNOT LISTEDDB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#127NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8259COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
610 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE