SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›HOUSTON›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG 12|DANA HOLGORSEN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
HOUSTON76 FPIB12 · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
61FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#720 BC / 11
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.3-6.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.3
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AOKLAHOMA#7L 31-49959595-58BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HPRAIRIE VIEW A&M—W 37-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 13HWASHINGTON STATE—L 24-31507979-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 19ATULANE—L 31-38427070-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28ANORTH TEXAS—W 46-25372929+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HCINCINNATI#21L 23-38567474-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AUCONN—W 24-172833+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 24HSMU—L 31-34546464-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AUCF#24L 29-44619090-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HMEMPHIS#17L 27-45498888-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ATULSA—W 24-14314444-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HNAVY#20L 41-56147777-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
D'ERIQ KINGQB SERET
★3—00%——
3
CLAYTON TUNEQB SERET
★3—00%——
6
LOGAN HOLGORSENQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
IKE OGBOGUQB SERET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET77NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
PATRICK CARRRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
KYLE PORTERRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
34
MULBAH CARRB SERET
★3—00%——
8
CHANDLER SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
29
KELAN WALKERRB SERET
★3—00%——
37
TERRELL BROWNRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
19
JULON WILLIAMSRB JURET
★3—00%——
26
JAMES FULLBRIGHT IIIRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
QUAVON BECKFORDWR SORET
UNR—00%——
17
TERRY MARKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
KEITH CORBINWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
9
COURTNEY LARKWR SERET
★4—00%——
5
MARQUEZ STEVENSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
PARKER EICHENBERGERTE SERET
★3—00%——
84
COLE MCGOWANWR SERET
★2—00%——
88
SHANE CREAMERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
TRE'VON BRADLEYWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
BRYSON SMITHWR JURET
★3—00%——
1
JEREMY SINGLETONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
80
JA'KORI MORGANWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
CHRISTIAN TRAHANTE SERET
★3—00%——
30
TIMON NOLANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
ANDREW SEGOVIAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
48
BO ALEXANDERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
49
DEKALEN GOODSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
PEYTON SAWYERWR SERET
★3—00%——
27
HENRY THOMASWR FRRET
★3—00%——
BRYSON JACKSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
K'ANDRE STREETWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
36
BRYCE WASHINGTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
41
OSBY MITCHELL IIIWR SORET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS11 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NELSON CEASERHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
KE'ANDRE STREETHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RODQUICE CHANEYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CAM'RON JOHNSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MANNIE NUNNERYHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DEONDRE DANSBYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHAYSE TODDHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
TERRELL BROWNHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
PATRICK PAULHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
LOGAN HOLGORSENHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
QUINTEN DORMADYCENTRAL MICHIGANQBUNRUNR
EMEKE EGBULENFL DRAFT R6LBUNR—
ISAIAH JOHNSONNFL DRAFT R4CBUNR—
ED OLIVERNFL DRAFT R1DT★5—
RAELON SINGLETONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
ROMELLO BROOKERELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
ZACH VAUGHANELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
ROMAN BROWNELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
KHARI DOTSONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
DARRION OWENSELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#72NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 11 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8365COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST89% BACK89th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG89% BACK89th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE